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Weather Disco for April 9, 2011


Wow

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I am with Foothills, something big and bad is coming this way. I keep switching wind directions, from the E to NE to SE. That just screams possible Tornado risk and maybe a strong derecho. Anyone else having there winds changing on them? And I don' think the Triad or Triangle are out of the woods either, I would imagine temps rising there as the day goes on. It's gonna be a looonnng day.

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I was just looking at corfidi vectors, and this is a classic in the making. Already looking at the Infrared, explosive development is occurring ahead of a surface convergence line in eastern Kentucky, and dropping southward fast. So the development should expand rapidly at the tail end of the line, in theory anyway, and so far thats what appears to be happening. My extrapolation would look something like this for the overall line development later today. It could get very ugly soon in the Carolinas. and northeast Ga.and east TN. Crazy temp contrast going on in this areas. I'm now 80, and 40's are just a few miles northeast of here.:arrowhead:

post-38-0-84058000-1302375838.jpg

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what makes this situation unique is the placement of almost everything. The wedge is oddshaped, and the timing and strength of the incoming MCcomplex is pretty strong ,and its location in respect to the mountain chain, the location of the ridge to its south, unusual high dewpoints and temp contrast, time of day and year, all argue for a severe outbreak, and possibly even tornadic in many spots. When momentum builds with the line coming off themountains, sometimes a derecho develops, similar to the Mar 2004 event in the western Carolinas. Its a pretty fascinating setup once again. I'm afraid news reports are going to look bad in the morning in some areas.

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I was just looking at corfidi vectors, and this is a classic in the making. Already looking at the Infrared, explosive development is occurring ahead of a surface convergence line in eastern Kentucky, and dropping southward fast. So the development should expand rapidly at the tail end of the line, in theory anyway, and so far thats what appears to be happening. My extrapolation would look something like this for the overall line development later today. It could get very ugly soon in the Carolinas. and northeast Ga.and east TN. Crazy temp contrast going on in this areas. I'm now 80, and 40's are just a few miles northeast of here.:arrowhead:

post-38-0-84058000-1302375838.jpg

Nice WV image...looks like a tropical system

Love the sups forming in the warm sector of that MCS

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I was just looking at corfidi vectors, and this is a classic in the making. Already looking at the Infrared, explosive development is occurring ahead of a surface convergence line in eastern Kentucky, and dropping southward fast. So the development should expand rapidly at the tail end of the line, in theory anyway, and so far thats what appears to be happening. My extrapolation would look something like this for the overall line development later today. It could get very ugly soon in the Carolinas. and northeast Ga.and east TN. Crazy temp contrast going on in this areas. I'm now 80, and 40's are just a few miles northeast of here.:arrowhead:

It's definitely looking healthy in its development. Talk about an impressive look to the MCV. Shows up nicely on the water vapor. Sitting at 75 with a mix of clouds and sun.

9h8j6s.jpg

Also:

* Tornado Warning for...

western Alleghany County in northwest North Carolina

central Ashe County in northwest North Carolina

* until 400 PM EDT.

* At 324 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a

severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado near Lansing...

moving east at 40 mph.

* Locations impacted include...

Lansing...

Scottville...

Stratford...

Twin Oaks...

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Check out the insane seabreeze front that moved west off the Charleston shore. It was 88 here and now it's 72!!! I hope that doesn't diminish our chances of something big later. At the very least, the radar image is really cool. You just see it clearing up everything in its wake!

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=CLX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

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Check out the insane seabreeze front that moved west off the Charleston shore. It was 88 here and now it's 72!!! I hope that doesn't diminish our chances of something big later. At the very least, the radar image is really cool. You just see it clearing up everything in its wake!

http://radar.weather...101111&loop=yes

Cursed marine layer. Keeps us just too warm for the winter storms and stabilizes the atmosphere just enough for events like this. I might drive over to Walterboro where it's still 90 :scooter:

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Check out the insane seabreeze front that moved west off the Charleston shore. It was 88 here and now it's 72!!! I hope that doesn't diminish our chances of something big later. At the very least, the radar image is really cool. You just see it clearing up everything in its wake!

That's what our gust front looked like last night moving through the Sandhills. We just now saw the sun for the first time today. How often is it 20 degrees warmer in Asheville than in Faynam this time of day?

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West Marion getting slammed big time with a rapidly strengthening severe cell. You can see on radar what appears to be a small line stretching southward as the cell progresses eastward. Wondering if it will clip my area, though it would most likely get Cherryville if any place in Gaston county.

EDIT: Tornado warning has occurred for that area.

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West Marion getting slammed big time with a rapidly strengthening severe cell. You can see on radar what appears to be a small line stretching southward as the cell progresses eastward. Wondering if it will clip my area, though it would most likely get Cherryville if any place in Gaston county.

This thing is going tornadic quickly

Edit: folks on that stretch of 40 are prolly seeing a well formed funnel at the very least

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:yikes:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC

358 PM EDT SAT APR 9 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHWESTERN CLEVELAND COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA...

SOUTHERN BURKE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

SOUTHEASTERN MCDOWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MARION...

NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 353 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR GLENWOOD...

OR 4 MILES SOUTH OF MARION...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

NEBO AND LAKE JAMES...

DYSARTSVILLE...

GLEN ALPINE...

CASAR...

PLEASANT GROVE...

BELWOOD...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER.

OTHERWISE...GO TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME

OR PLACE OF BUSINESS. MAKE SURE THERE ARE AS MANY WALLS AND FLOORS

BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF

BASEBALLS WILL PRECEDE THE TORNADO. WIND DRIVEN HAIL OF THIS SIZE

POSES A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF INJURY AND DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES AND

VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER. OTHERWISE...GO TO

AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR PLACE OF

BUSINESS.

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IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO THREAT...DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF

BASEBALLS WILL PRECEDE THE TORNADO. WIND DRIVEN HAIL OF THIS SIZE

POSES A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF INJURY AND DAMAGE. MOBILE HOMES AND

VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER. OTHERWISE...GO TO

AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR PLACE OF

BUSINESS.

Baseball-sized hail!! Wow!! I know that would cause a lot of damage, but I'd sure like to see that happening too.

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Thinking this stuff stays out of SC for the most part. The turn to the south is not taking place as was forecast. Another story for NC west of I-77 where a rough evening seems to be in store.

Its just now occuring. It will probably fill in more and you can see how the line is still gapped up, but slowly developing . I think northern SC is going to get hit hard.

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Thinking this stuff stays out of SC for the most part. The turn to the south is not taking place as was forecast. Another story for NC west of I-77 where a rough evening seems to be in store.

unfortunately, as most of ne ga as well (except for a tiny part) - unless we can get some development on the western side looks like its going to scoot off just to our north :thumbsdown:

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Widespread golf ball size hail across a good portion of southern mcdowell from that storm that just went through. Even reports of larger. That was a fast developer and could be a bad sign for the rest of the evening.

quick development for sure. Look at the line coming out of northeast TN, that bottom area should lurch across the mountains in western NC and northeast GA and western SC later in a few hours. Thats the line that sweeps hard across the Carolinas. Currently its scattered between Crossville, Cookesville, and Knoxvill . I think several areas around you are going to get hit multiple times. But isolated monsters are very likely too, hard to say exactly where, but would probably be in areas of NE GA and upper SC where the atmosphere has yet to be worked.

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Got my focus on this cell for sure. Earlier it looked like it would head due east but now is showing signs of a more southeastward direction, which would put me at risk.

like always, any and all severe weather cells are at peak around South Mountains. Gotta get me a house up there soon. I think some on here are confused about how this plays out and are being fooled by the radar. The White lines are how the motions have been earlier and now, but soon, the second part of the system will begin to dive southward. Don't let your guard down really anywhere in eastern TN , n. GA and the Carolinas, just b/c radar may be pathetic where you are now. Its a fast changing system and SPC has good reasoning why the watches are placed. The southwest most part of any line like this is usually the place where the isolated twisters are, and are great thunderstorms.

post-38-0-96662100-1302381079.jpg

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