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Sunday April 10th severe outbreak


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its not that i'm writing off the chance of svr, wouldn't surprise me at all to see some wind damage across western mi with temps still in the 70s keeping some instablity around, its just what could have been if the storms were a few hours quicker, if something could have went up ahead of the cold front, etc. When you see numbers like ehi of 8, supercell comp. of 28, and sig. tornado number of 6-8 you just kinda hang your head and think if only.......

edit: to clear things up a little, yes with those numbers things could go boom in a big way once the storms reach land, but to me nighttime tornadoes are useless because A: they don't provide the photographic element that i want on a storm/tornado and B: they are 10x more dangerous to chasers/spotter/general population.

Holy crap, I didn't even notice the sig tors and EHI's in MI...lol

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Pretty frustrating day for us. We followed the storms from initiation in northeast Iowa, but the horrible road network and lack of bridge crossings really screwed us today. If it wasn't for our great day yesterday this would have really been a downer. Still managed a few wall cloud shots before the storms scooted away into Wisconsin.

post-613-0-10154700-1302493909.jpg

post-613-0-94904200-1302493921.jpg

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MOC229-110445-

/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110411T0445Z/

WRIGHT MO-

1117 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN

WRIGHT COUNTY...

AT 1114 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR DUNCAN...OR 12 MILES EAST OF MARSHFIELD...

MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE DUNCAN...GROVESPRING...MANES AND ODIN.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE

DAMAGING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX

1110 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

TXC307-110430-

/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110411T0430Z/

MCCULLOCH TX-

1110 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL

MCCULLOCH COUNTY...

AT 1104 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BRADY LAKE...OR 7

MILES NORTHWEST OF BRADY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

ROCHELLE BY 1125 PM CDT...

PLACID BY 1130 PM CDT...

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MOC229-110445-

/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-110411T0445Z/

WRIGHT MO-

1117 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN

WRIGHT COUNTY...

AT 1114 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR DUNCAN...OR 12 MILES EAST OF MARSHFIELD...

MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE DUNCAN...GROVESPRING...MANES AND ODIN.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE

DAMAGING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

Impressive LEWP storm

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0404

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1103 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN LWR MI...NWRN IND...CNTRL AND ERN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 110403Z - 110530Z

SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY REMAIN SOMEWHAT SPARSE IN COVERAGE...BUT TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT THAT COULD REQUIRE A WW.

STRONGER SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEEPENING CYCLONE ARE SHIFTING INTO ONTARIO...WITH STRONGEST MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION. HOWEVER...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH AXIS TRAILING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY HAS STRENGTHENED SUFFICIENTLY TO SUPPORT INCREASING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IN A NARROW BAND AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT. IT IS NOT CLEAR THAT THIS ACTIVITY IS ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER...WHICH IS SLOWLY STABILIZING... BUT WEAK TO MODERATE CAPE AND PRECIPITABLE WATER UP TO AROUND 1.5 INCHES MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO MAINTAIN VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS OVERNIGHT. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE DEEP LAYER MEAN SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IN WHICH THE STORMS ARE EMBEDDED /IN EXCESS OF 50 KT/...AND SIZABLE SUB-CLOUD TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS EVIDENT IN 00Z RAOBS AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS...STORMS PROBABLY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK FOR AT LEAST LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..KERR.. 04/11/2011

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TXC193-110545-

/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110411T0545Z/

HAMILTON TX-

1234 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM CDT FOR EASTERN

HAMILTON COUNTY...

AT 1235 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

DEVELOPING TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES EAST OF

HAMILTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

CRANFILLS GAP AROUND 1245 AM CDT...

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX

1235 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

TXC319-110600-

/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110411T0600Z/

MASON TX-

1235 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR

SOUTHEASTERN MASON COUNTY...

AT 1232 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LOYAL VALLEY...OR

15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MASON...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF

SOUTHEASTERN MASON COUNTY.

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One heck of a storm north of the Metroplex.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX

1235 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

TXC085-121-110615-

/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0041.000000T0000Z-110411T0615Z/

DENTON TX-COLLIN TX-

1235 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM CDT

FOR NORTHERN COLLIN AND EAST CENTRAL DENTON COUNTIES...

AT 1234 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BASEBALL SIZE HAIL...AND

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5

MILES WEST OF PROSPER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THIS STORM HAS

REPORTEDLY DAMAGE HOMES NORTH OF LITTLE ELM. THIS IS A VERY

DANGEROUS STORM...RESIDENTS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM NEED TO TAKE

COVER IMMEDIATELY!

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

CELINA...MCKINNEY...NEW HOPE...WESTON...MELISSA...ANNA...WESTMINSTER

AND BLUE RIDGE

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Should I drive north and intercept? :scooter:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL

1245 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

SOUTHEASTERN FORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

IROQUOIS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

SOUTHEASTERN KANKAKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...

BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

JASPER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

NEWTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

SOUTHEASTERN PORTER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST INDIANA...

* UNTIL 130 AM CDT/230 AM EDT/

* AT 1240 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ASHKUM TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MILFORD TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RANKIN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 80 MPH.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX

115 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

EASTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 145 AM CDT

* AT 115 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

DEVELOPING TORNADO 9 MILES SOUTH OF KEENE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50

MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

KEENE AROUND 120 AM CDT...

ALVARADO AROUND 125 AM CDT...

VENUS AROUND 130 AM CDT...

and yes to you Hoosier :P

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Formidable bow echo in N TX atm:

TXC119-223-231-110830-

/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0051.000000T0000Z-110411T0830Z/

DELTA TX-HUNT TX-HOPKINS TX-

251 AM CDT MON APR 11 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 AM CDT

FOR HOPKINS...NORTHEASTERN HUNT AND DELTA COUNTIES...

AT 251 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS

OF 80 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF SULPHUR

SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 85 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

TIRA AROUND 300 AM CDT...

THIS WILL IMPACT I-30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 106 AND 142.

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some texas reports

0151 AM TSTM WND GST 5 N WAXAHACHIE 32.47N 96.85W

04/11/2011 M90 MPH ELLIS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

POSSIBLE TORNADO ACCORDING TO SPOTTER

..REMARKS..

0230 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 S CASH 32.94N 96.12W

04/11/2011 HUNT TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROOFS OFF OF HOUSES AND 2 HOUSES ALMOST

DESTROYED. POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE IN A DEFINED 1/2 MILE

WIDE SWATH.

0230 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 S QUINLAN 32.89N 96.13W

04/11/2011 HUNT TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE

COUNTY. NUMEROUS TREES...POWERLINES AND STRUCTURES

DAMAGED.

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It seemed like the storm became more progressive in nature and never really got the negative tilt that the models were forecasting earlier in the week.

The conditions for a classic tornado outbreak really didn't line up well. BUT there were still some spectacular events caught on video.

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Other than a rain shower around midnight. there was nothing.

Tornado watches stopped short of the Chicago metro area. Apparently that warm air "cap" was way too much to be overcome. It also appeared, via radar, that any storms that tried to develop due west of me, were getting sheared apart....

Kind of a let down, I guess...

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Gabrielson...doesn't surprise me.

Yeah, you're not supposed to get under the freaking wall cloud of a storm already producing a tornado.

From what I saw yesterday, alot of chasers are plain reckless. We saw chasers stopped a mile in front of a supercell and it was moving 70-75 mph towards them. Tons of hail and dangerous winds probably ruined their day. And it dropped a tornado like 30 minutes later...

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Here are a few shots from Sunday's chase...

We were on the move most of the time, so I didn't end up with any spectacular shots. The best storm structure we saw came with what was previously the La Crosse tornadic supercell as it approached the Appleton, WI area...it eventually went on to produce a tornado just east of Appleton, in Kaukauna, WI.

skyhigh75.jpg

skyhigh76.jpg

skyhigh77.jpg

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When u guys were out there did u stop and meet the other chasers? How many were out there? just curious. Thanks.

There was quite a bit of people out on saturday and alot of the "well known" chasers made the trek up to IA.

We met up with Adam Lucio and Danny Neal for awhile and shot the breeze with them for about an hour in IA before we left and decided to go a bit further west right before CI took place.

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