Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 i wonder if the retrgraded low sitting over maine has anything do with the dampened out low heading east. 12z didnt even have that feature, 0z has a sub 992 low just north of maine Definitely played a part. The upper level low was basically closed off, and dampened the pattern...kind of like what the 12z and 18z GFS runs had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 156 storm number 2? in the sw Hopefully it actually ejects out of there. I'm afraid of the bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 n mid atl and northeast lots of flurries and snow showers with that stalled low just north of ny/canada border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 the block on the euro is just massive, its connecting with the ridge out west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 If it does eject, we may have something here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 174 storm number 2 in texas, trying to eject out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 if someone can post the 500 map around hr 168, the block is just nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 if someone can post the 500 map around hr 168, the block is just nuts. It is indeed insane!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 180 juiced up storm number 2 down in central and eastern tx and southern ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 The block extends soooo far west...it connects with the ridge out to the west, and we have a circle of ridging surrounding our upper-level low. And the shortwave appears to be ejecting. Hopefully the ridging forces a piece of energy to rotate on the back-side of our upper-level low, and phase with the shortwave tot he south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 186 storm number 2 eastern tx, la central and southern la, southern ok, snowing from little rock to dallas to central tx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 180 juiced up storm number 2 down in central and eastern tx and southern ok i like the sound of that. hope it doesnt get blocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 storm number 2 looks like its just going to slide out, the cut off over the northeast, is not allowing any amplification just a flattened zonal flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 192, deep south still getting snow, shifted to northern la, ark, central and northern mississippi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 storm number 2 looks like its just going to slide out, the cut off over the northeast, is not allowing any amplification just a flattened zonal flow I would agree, but if there is a phase (which it looks like it might be TRYING to do at 198), then this thing might come up the coast. It'll be close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 198 sub 1004 low 100 miles south of mobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Meh, just realized the low closed off already in Louisiana...that's a bit too far south for us. The deep south and the Carolinas might get crushed again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 It still is trying to phase, though. But normally, when a low closes off that early that far south, that means the storm will be suppressed. Will be interesting to see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 204 sub 1000 low 100 miles south of panama city, fl, snowing birmingham to atlanta to just starting in raliegh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 sub 1000 low 150 miles east of savanah snowing in nc, sc, ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Damn, so close to a phase. It's going to capture the storm too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 hr 216 sub 992 low 250 miles ese of hatteras majority of precip offshore except immediate coastal nc,sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 storm out to sea, very cold and dry over n mid atl and northeast with flurries and snow showers basically...that cutoff over maine thats retrogrades over to just north of ny state i thnik killed storm 1 and 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 Damn, so close to a phase. It's going to capture the storm too late. yea it blows up about 500 miles east of ack, sub 976 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 yea it blows up about 500 miles east of ack, sub 976 lol Well, onto 12z. Guess the Euro is susceptible to flip-flops as well this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 the model tracking today was really somethin, no agreement at all on which storm does what, all options are on the table right now imo and the potential is still high for a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Still plenty of time, these storm threats are still anywhere from 5-9 days away. If the Euro continues to show this solution in a couple of days then I would start getting concerned but chances are it will change again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted November 30, 2010 Author Share Posted November 30, 2010 alright, im off to bed, ill be back for the 12z euro for another game of guess the next model solution, take care alll... and rememeber we a re still 5-7 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 Hard to beleive that early december will feature a snowstorm in the deep south according to the 0Z Euro - models are famous for this - thiis far out. North trend should begin within a couple of days...................We have seen this many times in the past............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted November 30, 2010 Share Posted November 30, 2010 From this far out the euro is no better than any other model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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