Ed Lizard Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Are the SPC probs (15%, hatched, etc.) generated by a program, or by a forecaster using best judgement and all available data and models and ensembles. And more importantly, using a 50 mile radus instead of a 25 mile radius, which increases the numbers by a factor of 4 if everyone had the exact same idea, has anyone verified how close Dr. Forbes 'TorCon' is to the SPC probabilities? Does a 4/10 usually equate to an SPC 10%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 TORCON is the smart model of cable TV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtticaFanatica Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Are the SPC probs (15%, hatched, etc.) generated by a program, or by a forecaster using best judgement and all available data and models and ensembles. forecaster subjectively And more importantly, using a 50 mile radus instead of a 25 mile radius, which increases the numbers by a factor of 4 if everyone had the exact same idea, has anyone verified how close Dr. Forbes 'TorCon' is to the SPC probabilities? Does a 4/10 usually equate to an SPC 10%. don't know, nice guy though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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