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SNE April obs/disco Thread


HoarfrostHubb

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I checked a few more and I can tell you that the following areas are open for next weekend: Whiteface, Gore, Stowe, Killington (obviously), Tremblant..... Mont Sainte Anne is open through the Easter Weekend (25th)....

quote name='nzucker' timestamp='1302487443' post='622658']

Spring break from teaching starts this Friday, so might try to get one last shot at the snow up north...I really miss winter!

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I checked a few more and I can tell you that the following areas are open for next weekend: Whiteface, Gore, Stowe, Killington (obviously), Tremblant..... Mont Sainte Anne is open through the Easter Weekend (25th)....

Thanks so much...I would really love go to a Montreal/Tramblant trip...skiing must be great up there, they probably have tons of snow from the active Niña winter.

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Not surprising I guess considering that uber dry air in the low levels.

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I heard it hitting my windows and was like..."is that sleet?". Then I did a classic weenie observation, by checking out the rooftop of my car and sure enough...pieces of semi frozen crud coming down. Rain now.

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I heard it hitting my windows and was like..."is that sleet?". Then I did a classic weenie observation, by checking out the rooftop of my car and sure enough...pieces of semi frozen crud coming down. Rain now.

I'm amazed you could have sleet with the freezing level near 700mb on that sounding; that's really bizarre. You're actually pretty warm up there right now, surprisingly...I'm at 46.3/44 with howling east winds.

wow! check out the storms blowing up along the NJ coast!!

That convection looks intense....the line of storms near NYC doesn't look that bad on radar, but it's actually pretty wild down here: vivid flashes of cloud-to-cloud lightning, heavy rain, gusty winds. Nasty night out there but seems surprisingly cold to have all these convective elements going on.

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I'm amazed you could have sleet with the freezing level near 700mb on that sounding; that's really bizarre. You're actually pretty warm up there right now, surprisingly...I'm at 46.3/44 with howling east winds.

That convection looks intense....the line of storms near NYC doesn't look that bad on radar, but it's actually pretty wild down here: vivid flashes of cloud-to-cloud lightning, heavy rain, gusty winds. Nasty night out there but seems surprisingly cold to have all these convective elements going on.

Wetbulbs are below freezing near 850 and just below. The fact that the echoes are getting eaten up as they come towards BOS, is a testament to the dry air.

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the gfs and the nam do not have this rain. Steady moderate rain at the moment.

It's amazing: the 0z NAM shows no measurable precip in CT by 6z, and look at that band of heavy rain over the state. This 6-hour forecast is an absolute FAIL:

I've never seen the models make so many short-range mistakes as they have this winter/early spring...this cut-off low does seem a bit bizarre, but the forecast is still terrible given anyone could see the movement of the banding on radar.

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Wetbulbs are below freezing near 850 and just below. The fact that the echoes are getting eaten up as they come towards BOS, is a testament to the dry air.

Well that and also it's a beautiful deformation zone south of the high that's preventing steady northward progression.

But yeah, that's why I feel pretty confident that we could see a period of sleet in Plymouth tomorrow morning also. And again, I'm also curious about some elevated convection perhaps...

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interesting...I didn't look at much today...I figured most of the rain was tomorrow. Is it going to be persistent or is this initial band going to move out?

It looks like the band might weaken perhaps, but it seems like the nrn edge is getting chewed away. The rain looks like it's being enhanced by some mid level frontogenesis around 700mb or so. I think that stuff south of LI will probably consolidate into a band of heavier rain as it pushes into SNE towards dawn or so.

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Beautiful...

Storms forming right along the nose of a very potent MLJ (about 80 knots) as well as right entrance region of a 85-90 kt ULJ. Some nice low-level WAA to go along with some mid-level cooling leading to 500-1000 J/KG of MUcape. ML lapse rates between 6-6.5 C/KM and some modest height falls.

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