tmagan Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 After Saturday, the back will be broken on the miserable spring weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 High of 59.4F, so much for the torch. Currently a few clouds and 55.8/51 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 After Saturday, the back will be broken on the miserable spring weather. I am a warm weather or snow kinda guy. 50's and cloudy is about as bad as it gets in my book. 80 and sunny or 20 and snowing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 pretty bad call for the warmth and storms today. Yes, areas to the extreme s and w did "warm up" but I more people than not stayed cold. The srefs were a big fail on the storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 pretty bad call for the warmth and storms today. Yes, areas to the extreme s and w did "warm up" but I more people than not stayed cold. The srefs were a big fail on the storms. Yeah the cold NAM wiped the floor with all those SREFS this time. What was NYC's high today, 65? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Yeah the cold NAM wiped the floor with all those SREFS this time. What was NYC's high today, 65? Highs today: ACY 85 DOV 84 PHL 83 MIV 83 TTN 82 PNE 82 WRI 82 VAY 82 PTW 82 ILG 82 LOM 81 NEL 81 DYL 79 MJX 79 MQS 79 LNS 79 MUI 77 UKT 75 RDG 75 SMQ 73 AVP 73 BLM 70 MMU 70 CDW 70 XLL 68 ABE 68 TEB 68 MPO 68 EWR 67 12N 67 FWN 67 NYC 65 MGJ 65 ISP 62 JFK 61 SWF 61 HPN 60 FRG 60 LGA 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 After Saturday, the back will be broken on the miserable spring weather. Not according to Today's 12z euro. It had cold and drizzly for Sunday. 1 warm day on Mobday and then back to crappy drizzly weather for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Yeah the cold NAM wiped the floor with all those SREFS this time. What was NYC's high today, 65? I was referring to the srefs severe weather progs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 21, 2011 Author Share Posted April 21, 2011 GFS is warmer again next week...Tuesday looks like a warm day. 2m temps are into the mid 70's Tuesday & Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 GFS is warmer again next week...Tuesday looks like a warm day. 2m temps are into the mid 70's Tuesday & Wednesday. We're definitely going to have warm 850s next week with the strong low over the Plains/Midwest and the continued lack of high-latitude blocking. However, it seems as if whenever we approach these chances for heat, they inevitably fall apart with strong S/SE flow and cloud cover/showers. The GFS has been showing lots of cloudiness in this warm sector as well, with the winds ahead of the cutter being almost due south. Friday night/Saturday morning will be chilly with 850s around 0C as a line of showers approaches, definitely chances for flurries in the high country of NE PA, SE NY, NNJ...I think most of us stay in the 40s Saturday with low 50s possible in Downtown Manhattan, Central NJ, and the usual milder places: Although warmth builds in Saturday night, a front approaches Sunday and cools us down again...the afternoon definitely should see temperatures dropping into the 40s/low 50s as more showers associated with a strong cold front approach the area: Warm 850s arrive early next week but that huge high near the Canadian Maritimes is going to pump in a lot of easterly flow, and there should be some clouds around as well: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Temp back up into the mid 60s in the city. Win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are over 70 degrees on the 0z euro. Saturday now has over 1.10" of rain. Easter Sunday is upper 50's with rain in morning and in the afternoon and Monday is in the 60's but will drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are over 70 degrees on the 0z euro. Saturday now has over 1.10" of rain. Easter Sunday is upper 50's with rain in morning and in the afternoon and Monday is in the 60's but will drizzle. The GFS is not far behind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are over 70 degrees on the 0z euro. Saturday now has over 1.10" of rain. Easter Sunday is upper 50's with rain in morning and in the afternoon and Monday is in the 60's but will drizzle. What a crappy pattern. I hope it doesn't rain on Easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shades Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Temp back up into the mid 60s in the city. Win. The High temperature for many areas today will have been recorded overnight rather than during the day, it will struggle to get back to the mid 60's during the daylight even with the late April sun today. Interesting to also note with the temperature spike last night in the city, LGA went from 55 degrees at 12AM to 65 by 1AM. Impressive 10 degree jump given the hour, but that's what happens when the marine influence is pushed out immediately preceding spring time cold fronts. If everything was timed differently, and that passage occurred during the day, 80's would have occurred area-wide. So yesterday's failure to achieve forecast highs in some locations, was more an issue of timing rather than potential. Would not be surprised to have this repeated in the coming weeks. More optimistic that this is not a cool regime that we're in along the coast - it is a typical early spring time climate - the warmth and HEAT is VERY close-by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 The 06z NAM is just terrible, nearly 2" of rain in the next 84hrs. Hopefully it's overdone as it seems to be on the higher end of guidance at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 The 06z NAM is just terrible, nearly 2" of rain in the next 84hrs. Hopefully it's overdone as it seems to be on the higher end of guidance at the moment. I hope you don't get flooded bro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 I hope you don't get flooded bro. Thanks, I'm actually going up to Foxwoods on Saturday for an overnight trip and the last thing I wanted to do is drive 3 hours each way in the rain. The river by me should be able to handle 2". Much more than that and were in trouble again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 12Z GFS looks pretty warm for next week. 850 temps run pretty much in the 12-16C range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 12Z GFS looks pretty warm for next week. 850 temps run pretty much in the 12-16C range. It also keeps things unsettled, but it's not nearly as wet as the NAM in the short term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 21, 2011 Author Share Posted April 21, 2011 Nice, 70's on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 It also keeps things unsettled, but it's not nearly as wet as the NAM in the short term. yea... some fully sunny days with good mixing would be very nice.. at least if we can get that for a few days.. I can't tell you how frustrating yesterday was. Though we did break out into a lot of sunshine yesterday afternoon, the temps here didn't completely respond how I would have liked.. we stuck in the lower 60's.. winds stayed very light and we were never able to fully mix out the inversion from the morning unfortunately... I mean, it was still much nicer than being stuck in the 40's, but it would have been nice to get to over 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 It also keeps things unsettled, but it's not nearly as wet as the NAM in the short term. met 101, the nam is always the wettest model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbo81 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 any prelim ideas yet on 4/30 (next saturday)? my friend is getting married and wants me to investigate. she's well aware i am a weather nut...so the pressure is on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAT5ANDREW Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 We are having a normal spring.While it may be a bit cooler than normal this month,it is by no means cold.The wet dreary rainy regime we are in is normal,even into a good chunk of MAY it can be nasty.April 1997 was very chilly,much worse than this.Heck,May 2002 was a chilly raw month as well.My front yard which was destroyed by the 9/16/10 macroburst and cost me over $10,000 to replace is loving this wet cool weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 So 12z NAM has 68 degrees on Easter Sunday with no rain and 0z euro has 50's with rain in morning and in the afternoon. I hope 12z euro, coming out in a few, caves to the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 It's actually not cooler than normal, most places are actually running near to a bit above. In fact today is about as close to a "normal" spring day as you'll see. Average highs are in the low 60s and most places are in the 58-61 range as of 2pm with a few hours of daytime heating left. We are having a normal spring.While it may be a bit cooler than normal this month,it is by no means cold.The wet dreary rainy regime we are in is normal,even into a good chunk of MAY it can be nasty.April 1997 was very chilly,much worse than this.Heck,May 2002 was a chilly raw month as well.My front yard which was destroyed by the 9/16/10 macroburst and cost me over $10,000 to replace is loving this wet cool weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 saturday might have a late high with a warm fropa around 19z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 It's actually not cooler than normal, most places are actually running near to a bit above. In fact today is about as close to a "normal" spring day as you'll see. Average highs are in the low 60s and most places are in the 58-61 range as of 2pm with a few hours of daytime heating left. yep. I just checked my report from my weather station for this April and I am running very slightly above normal so far this month.. already 2 inches above average as far as rainfall goes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 saturday might have a late high with a warm fropa around 19z yea... saturday night is a little tricky too.. we get a warm surge but then it looks like a weak surface high wants to build in the following morning.. but winds upstairs are still rather brisk, so I don't think it's a night where temps will drop all that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.