forkyfork Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 12z euro is ugly the next 7 days. The weekend looks cold and drizzly and it continues into Monday and Tuesday. Monday is the only day that has temps into the 60's. monday looks like 70's, followed by a break tuesday. we go back into the warm sector for wed and thurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 monday looks like 70's, followed by a break tuesday. we go back into the warm sector for wed and thurs. Off text soundings: Thurs: 55 degrees Fri: 48 degrees Sat: 51 degrees Sun: 53 degrees (starts off warmer very early in morning but drops all day) Mon: 71 Tue: 54 From Friday-Tuesday, it shows rain falling on almost every single 6 hour interval. So all the days, except for Monday late afternoon are dreary, foggy and drizzly, with heavier rain on Saturday. Just an aweful pattern for the next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Off text soundings: Thurs: 55 degrees Fri: 48 degrees Sat: 51 degrees Sun: 53 degrees (starts off warmer very early in morning but drops all day) Mon: 71 Tue: 54 From Friday-Tuesday, it shows rain falling on almost every single 6 hour interval. So all the days, except for Monday late afternoon are dreary, foggy and drizzly, with heavier rain on Saturday. Just an aweful pattern for the next 7 days. I wish I had access to the paid Euro site so I could avoid asking these questions. What does it look like in terms of QPF? The GFS backed off a tad and seems to keep more the action over New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Euro caves into the GFS once again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 The AO is also forecasted to go negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 I wish I had access to the paid Euro site so I could avoid asking these questions. What does it look like in terms of QPF? The GFS backed off a tad and seems to keep more the action over New England. For Saturday it has .59" of qpf for NYC. And then it has .01"-.10" for every single 6 hour interval, right thru Wednesday morning. Terrible. MMU is very similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Euro caves into the GFS once again! you gonna throw a rain shower party? everything is going to be light as everything is too fast and there is no big storm potential at all to get a storm on the east coast. These systems will drop all their moisture out west and we will be left with clouds and showers like today (the thing is starving for moisture) . Next week doesnt look too bad, we already knew this weekend will suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 you gonna throw a rain shower party? everything is going to be light as everything is too fast and there is no big storm potential at all to get a storm on the east coast. These systems will drop all their moisture out west and we will be left with clouds and showers like today (the thing is starving for moisture) . Next week doesnt look too bad, we already knew this weekend will suck. Saturday has .25"-.30" for 2 consecutive 6 hour periods. So not that light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Saturday has .25"-.30" for 2 consecutive 6 hour periods. So not that light. yeah but definately not enough to get massive flooding in pompton plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 you gonna throw a rain shower party? everything is going to be light as everything is too fast and there is no big storm potential at all to get a storm on the east coast. These systems will drop all their moisture out west and we will be left with clouds and showers like today (the thing is starving for moisture) . Next week doesnt look too bad, we already knew this weekend will suck. huh? I wam talking temps more than anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 huh? I wam talking temps more than anything yeah im sorry man, i read your screen name wrong lol that post was intended towards noreaster85 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 yeah but definately not enough to get massive flooding in pompton plains Excuse me? It's almost past your bedtime, this forum is for adults. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Tomorrow should be gorgeous. 60F, sunny, low RH, maybe frost tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Tomorrow should be gorgeous. 60F, sunny, low RH, maybe frost tomorrow night. Thats great news (except the frost part lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Excuse me? It's almost past your bedtime, this forum is for adults. that should be good news for you since your area always has flooding issues, heavy quick hitting rain is worst case scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Case in point is today, NYC will stay in the 40's until 8 PM, and once the occclusion passes temps will soar to the upper 50's for a few hours until dropping quickly to the low 40's by Thursday morning in Canadian airmass. 60 at Central Park. Double fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 that should be good news for you since your area always has flooding issues, heavy quick hitting rain is worst case scenario I'm just as sick as everyone is of this rain and if we don't snap out of this pattern soon its going to get real ugly. The river by me rose 10 feet in less than 20hrs on Saturday night, I just don't see how thats going to happen with the active pattern were stuck in. We need that high to be located over the SE US instead of 500 miles offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 I'm just as sick as everyone is of this rain and if we don't snap out of this pattern soon its going to get real ugly. The river by me rose 10 feet in less than 20hrs on Saturday night, I just don't see how thats going to happen with the active pattern were stuck in. We need that high to be located over the SE US instead of 500 miles offshore. agreed, i dont see this pattern breaking up either anytime soon. Gonna be alittle while before we get consistent warm and sunny days unfortunately, with some type of rain every other day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 agreed, i dont see this pattern breaking up either anytime soon. Gonna be alittle while before we get consistent warm and sunny days unfortunately, with some type of rain every other day then stop with the flood comments. you and a few tools on here are driving me insane. I've hit major flood stage on the Pompton River 4 times in the past 13 months so to say my concerns have not been validated is absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 then stop with the flood comments. you and a few tools on here are driving me insane. I've hit major flood stage on the Pompton River 4 times in the past 13 months so to say my concerns have not been validated is absurd. But your a small localized area. Every time a model shows a small rain storm of .50"-2" (yes thats not a big rainstorm for NYC), the flood talk comes out. Doesnt belong in the general NYC thread, which covers millions of people. A few hundred that are affected by poorly designed neighborhoods built on flood plains is unfortunate, but a general NYC thread should not be constantly clogged by floods everytime a little rain hits. Thats all we are trying to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 But your a small localized area. Every time a model shows a small rain storm of .50"-2" (yes thats not a big rainstorm for NYC), the flood talk comes out. Doesnt belong in the general NYC thread, which covers millions of people. Not a few hundred that are affected by poorly designed neighborhhods built on flood plains. Thats all we are trying to say. This. Plus, every post of yours reads as if they end of the world is coming. Not every event is the next big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 then stop with the flood comments. you and a few tools on here are driving me insane. I've hit major flood stage on the Pompton River 4 times in the past 13 months so to say my concerns have not been validated is absurd. lol, i just find your comments alittle weird, it just seems like you want more rain... I guess thats what the internet does, you cant really dissect people's emotions and feelings like you would 1 on 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 lol, i just find your comments alittle weird, it just seems like you want more rain... I guess thats what the internet does, you cant really dissect people's emotions and feelings like you would 1 on 1. He lives in a area that has a threat of flooding from 2"-3" of rain. I understand that it must suck but that is not normal and millions of people in this region have no effect from a little rain. Its like saying saying that every time it rains, my basement floods due to a poorly designed drain or slope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 The usual locations will see radiational cooling early Friday with the big high moving overhead. The GFS MOS takes KFOK down to 30 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 He lives in a area that has a threat of flooding from 2"-3" of rain. I understand that it must suck but that is not normal and millions of people in this region have no effect from a little rain. Its like saying saying that every time it rains, my basement floods due to a poorly designed drain or slope. Unfortunatly most of northeastern NJ is a flood plain. If you noticed with the last event, I didn't mention it once until I actually hit flood stage and even then it was put into an observation thread. The only time you'll see me make a seperate thread about it is when a widespread 3-4"+ event is well forecasted and during a time of year in which the water is high. The flooding has been so bad this year many people have just cut there losses and vacated there homes. Like I mentioned before, I'm just as tired of this crappy weather as the next person out there, but since I have no control over what happens, I'm not going to get all pissy just because the models look like crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 So close to y'all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 ^^^Lol that upset me today, it was still nice out but 60's don't beat 80's. It's only a matter of time though. It's also much warmer than this "56" to the left, especially with the sunshine. Then again I'm not on the water like JFK is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 59F with an east wind now, after a 72F high. Big difference between here and Villanova today. Often times these warm fronts get hung up right over NYC/Coastal Monmouth County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 This has been a ruff spring right on the coast. Last year we had, had several beach days already. The fog held tight down here till late afternoon. Its partly cloudy now but temps are still in the low 50s, The chance of more then 3 drops of rain making out here are slim to none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Got up to the mid 50's here. Feels like it dropped back a bit; I can easily see my breath. It felt nice though with the sun out and so I went for a nice 3 mile walk and got some rainbow ice. The 80's can come in June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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