HoarfrostHubb Posted April 13, 2011 Share Posted April 13, 2011 I think I actually understood that! Thank you very much, great example, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 13, 2011 Share Posted April 13, 2011 eh, since there is no much else gong on ... Better than 50/50 likeliness for there to be a at least 2 days over the next 10 featuring 10-15+ departures, and somewhat anomalous severe chances relative to time of year. Tomorrow, the 14th, looks like a 10 topper of the year.... 66F and nearly full sun bursting through any left over morning mirk... Light NW downslope winds with +3 at 850mb - we probably won't quite get the mixing depth that high, but with strong April sun and downsloping, that is a recipe for super-adiabatic conditions. That's just a fancy word for expanding the BL partial heights. That may make it 875mb, so using that as the adiabatc extrapolation yields 67F and a couple of pingers to 69F... Together with the heat of the sun and flag extending albeit light breezes really witll score that day quite high on the annual quota for sensible joy. So Kevin can go crank him self - hahahahhahaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 13, 2011 Share Posted April 13, 2011 eh, since there is no much else gong on ... Better than 50/50 likeliness for there to be a at least 2 days over the next 10 featuring 10-15+ departures, and somewhat anomalous severe chances relative to time of year. Tomorrow, the 14th, looks like a 10 topper of the year.... 66F and nearly full sun bursting through any left over morning mirk... Light NW downslope winds with +3 at 850mb - we probably won't quite get the mixing depth that high, but with strong April sun and downsloping, that is a recipe for super-adiabatic conditions. That's just a fancy word for expanding the BL partial heights. That may make it 875mb, so using that as the adiabatc extrapolation yields 67F and a couple of pingers to 69F... Together with the heat of the sun and flag extending albeit light breezes really witll score that day quite high on the annual quota for sensible joy. So Kevin can go crank him self - hahahahhahaha. Yeah it looks great for the most part. I wish I had tomorrow off instead of today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 14, 2011 Share Posted April 14, 2011 2 things: 1. The Canadian 00z GGEM run for D8-10 clearly indicating a tropical storm developement out around 45/30 - Wow! 2. This next storm is interesting to me... It is not just a mere run-of-the-mill boring trough passage, but the whole of the system acts like a seasonal migration of the polar boundary - sort of symbolically if you will. The thermal fields lift out on the back side leaving us squarely in 70F surface potential with low trying to go west there after. Probably won't last with the NAO going negative in 10 days... but interesting for this dork nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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