Damage In Tolland Posted April 12, 2011 Author Share Posted April 12, 2011 BOX had rain starting tonight... It's pouring rain by 9:00am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 BOX had rain starting tonight... It's pouring rain by 9:00am congrats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 12, 2011 Author Share Posted April 12, 2011 congrats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Forecast from Mon afternoon for Tolland County: TUESDAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY MAINLY IN THE MORNING. MUCH COOLER. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. The forecast issued this morning at 4AM inexplicably took out the rain: TODAY MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. BOX had rain starting tonight... It's pouring rain by 9:00am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 12, 2011 Author Share Posted April 12, 2011 Forecast from Mon afternoon for Tolland County: TUESDAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY MAINLY IN THE MORNING. MUCH COOLER. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. The forecast issued this morning at 4AM inexplicably took out the rain: TODAY MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. This was the AFD from 5:50 this morning NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE PUSH SOUTH AND CLEAR THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST VERY EARLY THIS MORNING. A BRIEF BURST OF 25 TO 35 MPH WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS WILL SCOUR OUT THE REMAINING FOG ACROSS THE CAPE/ISLANDS. OTHER THAN A BRIEF PASSING SPRINKLE/LIGHT SHOWER OR TWO ACROSS OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES...EXPECTING MAINLY A DRY DAY. PARTIAL SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF THE PIKE AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE NOSES DOWN. SOUTH OF THE MA TURNPIKE....PLENTY OF MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL BE AROUND BUT PEEKS OF SUN ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THE MID/HIGH LEVEL LIFT MAY RESULT IN FEW BRIEF PASSING SPRINKLES/LIGHT SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL DRY AIR SHOULD RESULT IN THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY BEING DRY EVEN ACROSS THE INTERIOR. AS FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES...WITH QUITE A MILD START HAVE SIDED WITH THE WARMER MET GUIDANCE. HIGHS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Monday's 12z NAM and GFS did a much better job than today's 0z NAM and GFS on today's rain. Sometimes within 12 hours of an event, the models will produce a goofy run that verifies much poorly than prior runs. This was the AFD from 5:50 this morning NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... THE COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE PUSH SOUTH AND CLEAR THE SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND COAST VERY EARLY THIS MORNING. A BRIEF BURST OF 25 TO 35 MPH WIND GUSTS WILL OCCUR BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS WILL SCOUR OUT THE REMAINING FOG ACROSS THE CAPE/ISLANDS. OTHER THAN A BRIEF PASSING SPRINKLE/LIGHT SHOWER OR TWO ACROSS OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES...EXPECTING MAINLY A DRY DAY. PARTIAL SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTH OF THE PIKE AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE NOSES DOWN. SOUTH OF THE MA TURNPIKE....PLENTY OF MID/HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL BE AROUND BUT PEEKS OF SUN ARE ALSO EXPECTED. THE MID/HIGH LEVEL LIFT MAY RESULT IN FEW BRIEF PASSING SPRINKLES/LIGHT SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN AND WESTERN ZONES. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL DRY AIR SHOULD RESULT IN THE MAJORITY OF THE DAY BEING DRY EVEN ACROSS THE INTERIOR. AS FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES...WITH QUITE A MILD START HAVE SIDED WITH THE WARMER MET GUIDANCE. HIGHS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larvay Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 BOX had rain starting tonight... It's pouring rain by 9:00am Big, big rain incoming for you. Bone dry here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 12, 2011 Author Share Posted April 12, 2011 Monday's 12z NAM and GFS did a much better job than today's 0z NAM and GFS on today's rain. Sometimes within 12 hours of an event, the models will produce a goofy run that verifies much poorly than prior runs. Looks like mostly a CT /RI event during most of today anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Looks like mostly a CT /RI event during most of today anyway It's pouring here... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A COLD FRONT HAS FINALLY MOVED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING. REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING A BAND OF ECHOES FROM HARTFORD TO BOSTON THIS MORNING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TELL A DIFFERENT STORY THOUGH...WITH MOST LOCATIONS BENEATH THIS BAND REPORTING CLOUDS FROM 8-15 KFT AND ONLY TRACE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AT MOST. AS SUCH...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY A CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE RAINFALL AT MOST HEADING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 It's pouring here... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A COLD FRONT HAS FINALLY MOVED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING. REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING A BAND OF ECHOES FROM HARTFORD TO BOSTON THIS MORNING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TELL A DIFFERENT STORY THOUGH...WITH MOST LOCATIONS BENEATH THIS BAND REPORTING CLOUDS FROM 8-15 KFT AND ONLY TRACE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AT MOST. AS SUCH...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY A CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE RAINFALL AT MOST HEADING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. that's a pretty solid shield of precip too. the returns to your SW over NJ/PA etc look pretty meaningful as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 12, 2011 Author Share Posted April 12, 2011 It's pouring here... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A COLD FRONT HAS FINALLY MOVED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING. REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING A BAND OF ECHOES FROM HARTFORD TO BOSTON THIS MORNING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TELL A DIFFERENT STORY THOUGH...WITH MOST LOCATIONS BENEATH THIS BAND REPORTING CLOUDS FROM 8-15 KFT AND ONLY TRACE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AT MOST. AS SUCH...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY A CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE RAINFALL AT MOST HEADING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. Yeah it's been pouring over much of CT most of the morning. Even here at the office in Windsor it has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Should be a good dump of rain for many tomorrow. Big theta-e plume overriding the colder air at the surface and probably some sort of CF contribution over ern mass. Throw in some low top sheet rain too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Should be a good dump of rain for many tomorrow. Big theta-e plume overriding the colder air at the surface and probably some sort of CF contribution over ern mass. Throw in some low top sheet rain too. good descriptor there. LOL. perhaps an MQE special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 12, 2011 Author Share Posted April 12, 2011 We've been lucky so far..Looks like just today/tomorrow..and then part of the weekend is ugly. Spring so far has been pretty nice overall. Looks like next week could be pretty nice too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 good descriptor there. LOL. perhaps an MQE special. It could really dump in a narrow corridor. Steve already called the EM's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Very few of the sfc obs are actually in the heart of the rain band over SNE, because it's so narrow. It's pouring here... .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A COLD FRONT HAS FINALLY MOVED SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING. REGIONAL RADARS SHOWING A BAND OF ECHOES FROM HARTFORD TO BOSTON THIS MORNING. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TELL A DIFFERENT STORY THOUGH...WITH MOST LOCATIONS BENEATH THIS BAND REPORTING CLOUDS FROM 8-15 KFT AND ONLY TRACE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AT MOST. AS SUCH...WILL MAINTAIN ONLY A CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE RAINFALL AT MOST HEADING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 It could really dump in a narrow corridor. Steve already called the EM's. Steve is filling sandbags and running through Westerly alerting them to the threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Very few of the sfc obs are actually in the heart of the rain band over SNE, because it's so narrow. Yeah has definitely let up a bit with the heaviest sliding just south but it looks like more is moving up from the south over NJ/PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Weird looking radar http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=box&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no Gorgeous here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Big, big rain incoming for you. Bone dry here so far. Clouds but fairly bright up here. I'm not sure the rain even gets up here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 I hope the rain doesn't make it up here in force tomorrow. I don't need add any more water to my basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Weird looking radar http://radar.weather...1101111&loop=no Gorgeous here today. Nice little deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Nice little deformation band. Lol, poorly forecast by the models. Raining pretty hard here in Danbury. 48/44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Lol, poorly forecast by the models. Raining pretty hard here in Danbury. 48/44 It's like in winter when we say to watch out for a possible deformation band setting up to the N of the system even though it isn't modeled well...except this time it's just rain.You can see the stretching well on vis loops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 It's like in winter when we say to watch out for a possible deformation band setting up to the N of the system even though it isn't modeled well...except this time it's just rain. You can see the stretching well on vis loops. Yeah nice little mesoscale phenomena there. Narrow area of strong lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larvay Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Clouds but fairly bright up here. I'm not sure the rain even gets up here today. I don't see that stuff in CT getting here, much less to you. The real action was supposed to be tonight anyway, perhaps as evidenced by VA/NC radar returns.. It almost feels like a "drought" situation lately where the rain seems to find a way to miss us. The forecast calls for an inch, however; it's fun to watch unfold, especially if you can pretend it was snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 It could really dump in a narrow corridor. Steve already called the EM's. Steve is filling sandbags and running through Westerly alerting them to the threat. LOL alert the NG Spring has pretty much sucked arse, couple of hours of full sun since when? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 LOL alert the NG Spring has pretty much sucked arse, couple of hours of full sun since when? It hasn't been all that bad imo. We are due for a disaster like tomorrow...it's April in SNE after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 It hasn't been all that bad imo. We are due for a disaster like tomorrow...it's April in SNE after all. I am about 1.5 under normal for the month, been stuck in that marine air with clouds and chilly breezes. One good day so far. Last year was awesome, everything was bloomed, grass growing full tilt etc. Looking around it's still got that bleak winterish look. Looking forward to some sunny, warm real spring type days with full clear blue skies. Couple of hours of late day sun just is not enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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