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4/10-4/11 Potential torch


earthlight

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It's getting much brighter here despite still being foggy/overcast.

I'm hoping we hit at least 70, I'm warmer than JFK so hopefully it's attainable. Time will tell.

I noticed the forecasts across the whole region (NYC, Philly, D.C., etc.) were brought down overnight by 5-10 degrees.

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ATLANTIC CITY MOSUNNY 73 60 63 SW12G20 29.78F

WRIGHTSTOWN PTSUNNY 72 61 67 W14 29.73F

TOMS RIVER MOSUNNY 75 61 60 SW13 29.75F

BELMAR MOSUNNY 72 61 68 SW15 29.74F

TRENTON MOSUNNY 73 60 63 SW12 29.74F

CENTRAL PARK MOSUNNY 66 55 68 SW10G16 29.75F

LAGUARDIA APRT PTSUNNY 65 56 72 SW10 29.72F

NEWARK/LIBERTY PTSUNNY 69 57 65 SW18 29.73F

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Interesting convective threat this afternoon. If we can get dew points to spike a bit and can develop some surface based instability we have some very steep mid level lapse rates (an elevated mixed layer) overhead.

12z soundings from ALB and IAD were very impressive.

With the amount of shear and very steep lapse rates severe convection could overperform but that's conditional on getting surface based instability.

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