MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I can't believe you are going to float away into the ocean, but hey there is a first time for everything Do you have your Dora the explorer life vest ready? It was nice knowing you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I am not downplaying this event. NYC will have significant damage. But the big time damage will most likely be from Fire Island to Montauk. I'm talking houses near the water being in danger of collapse, days of power outages, thousands of trees down, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Exactly many people are downplaying winds for NYC we will gust to hurricane force with sustain tropical storm force, from NYC east there will still be a lot of trees down and many power outs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 You guys all talk llike the storm is 6 hours away. Considering theres a good 48 hours plus till landfall i wouldnt be saying anything like "nyc will escape hurricane winds". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I wonder from a psycological point i know this is ugly for society yet something inside of me keeps me infactuated with storms to an unreasonable conclusion pretty twisted if bastardi is right and its a 1821 track its lights out for everyone unbelievable and da'leo wrote the prediction with his help so this isn't joe hyping it up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yeah, that track is like 3 miles west of my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Euro is epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Euro is epic. It also strengthens it just before it makes landfall here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I wonder from a psycological point i know this is ugly for society yet something inside of me keeps me infactuated with storms to an unreasonable conclusion pretty twisted if bastardi is right and its a 1821 track its lights out for everyone unbelievable and da'leo wrote the prediction with his help so this isn't joe hyping it up . None of us can say with definite certainty what the exact outcome will be. We all love the power of nature and want to see and feel it. It does not mean we want to see the damage that it does but that is beyond our control regardless of our excitment of experience such an event up close and personal. I am not excited about the potential negatives of Irene but sometimes I think a good whipping by mother nature is necessary to humble a control crazy society. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Wow. That euro loop shows it all. That would be devastating for all of NYC and vicinity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 If any of you have watched the weather channel they have been referencing the computer models and showing animated tracks. I had to laugh out loud when they said "here is a look at the GFS, this is one of our most reliable models" They did say the Euro was best tho, but calling the GFS a reliable model, was pretty freaking funny. It has been consistent for the most part with this storm the last few days tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lindywx Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm very concerned about this storm. Having lived through Gloria as a home owner (same home here in lindenhurst) and looking at a possible land fall just miles to my west or east there is little doubt that there will be flooding concerns south of Montauk Hwy, structural concerns along the immediate coast and undoubtedly massive tree damage for anyone experiencing sustained winds of 60mph or more for even an hour. The power outages be will widespread and many of us will be without it for a week. For those of you looking forward to experiencing your first hurricane, be safe and do it from indoors. Don't underestimate what SUSTAINED winds of 60-80 mph can do in the way of damage. It's far different from a 60mph wind gust in a Thunderstorm. I know that Irene will probably be scraping land on her west side and weakening as she heads our way but SST's are still well into the 70's, not the 60's like they were in late September for Gloria. I just feel that Irene will be worse than Gloria for those of us who experience the eye wall. I hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 That Euro track is simply rape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 9Z Euro is way east. Total fish. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 They have always said that the City is due for one. Well it is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Hows the ukie? Has NYC hit is it reliable Goes back and forth with GFS for 2nd best verification scores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Goes back and forth with GFS for 2nd best verification scores. Ukie Northern Hemisphere, yes, but it does some pretty stupid stuff over the northeast in the winter time, so its inland runner is suspect to me. There is like 50 miles now between the 06z gfs and 00z euro, you can't get any closer for two models who initialize totally different ways and have different physics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Ukie Northern Hemisphere, yes, but it does some pretty stupid stuff over the northeast in the winter time, so its inland runner is suspect to me. There is like 50 miles now between the 06z gfs and 00z euro, you can't get any closer for two models who initialize totally different ways and have different physics. Agreed. Euro and GFS are very close to the same exact track. The tropical models are garbage. Jumping all over the place. A logical conclusion is that landfall would be from NENJ to Jones Beach. That's what the global models, euro, ukie, ggem and GFS have. I'm not gonna make a forecast based on the nam, bam, Gfdl and other crappy models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Farmers almanac predicted a hurricane in the first week of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Agreed. Euro and GFS are very close to the same exact track. The tropical models are garbage. Jumping all over the place. A logical conclusion is that landfall would be from NENJ to Jones Beach. That's what the global models, euro, ukie, ggem and GFS have. I'm not gonna make a forecast based on the nam, bam, Gfdl and other crappy models. Nam/Bam no thank you m'am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 9Z Euro is way east. Total fish. Oh well. This made me laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Some people are taking this as a joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 while i do believe the track is correct, i dont think an 80 mph hurricane will cause hurricane force winds away from the shore...maybe some gusts at the coast, but from past experience, there seems to be a big drop down as soon as you get away from the coast. I think places like JFK on the water will gust to 65ish and islip maybe to 70. Central park i dont see gusting even above 60...just my sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Some people are taking this as a joke. Several of my friends are taking the whole storm as a joke. They think it'll be nothing more than some rain and wind. They are not concerned at all, while it may turn out that it's not as bad as it could be they are not preparing at all. I hope for their sake that it isn't as bad as it has the potential to be because if it is, they are screwed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Some people are taking this as a joke. You are since you're not evacuating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 You are since you're not evacuating. I live on the 2nd floor. I'm not going to evacuate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 My dad is taking all the A.C's out of the window and taping up all the windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I live on the 2nd floor. I'm not going to evacuate. You'll be stuck up there like those people in Katrina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 My dad is taking all the A.C's out of the window and taping up all the windows. you really think taping up the windows is necessary? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 you really think taping up the windows is necessary? If hes right on the shore and the storm doesn't make contact with NJ before LI, absolutely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.