Nikolai Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 had 16 hours of flying today... still made last minute decision to leave for NYC (in DC now) at 730AM today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 You really cool with watching the storm surge go through your neighborhood/house? Yes I am.I want to video tape the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yes I am.I want to video tape the event. Wow, I applaud your courage, not to say everyone should take big risks in order to witness the storm. I feel quite safe here on a hilltop in Westchester...as bad as the storm may get, I know my house won't flood. At the same time, being on an exposed hilltop at 350' elevation, with the woods behind me nearing 425', may increase wind speeds, especially if we get a funneling effect from the Hudson Valley. We had very dangerous wind gusts during the Boxing Day blizzard, and I'm wondering what sort of localized convergence zones may develop with the hurricane's wind pattern, especially if the storm tucks into the NJ coastline and we have due south/SSE winds moving up the Hudson Valley. I wouldn't want to forecast gusts higher than 60-70mph in Southern Westchester right now, but it's certainly possible. The Taxter Ridge of Central Westchester with such high elevations compared to the rest of the county would see incredible tree damage...I certainly won't be taking a walk in the woods during the storm, too hazardous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Yeah^ and there's only zone a b c, a cat 1 b moderate cat 2 and c cat 3 and up then the rest is no zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 MT Zucker will stop this cane and turn it east........to the top we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Wow, I applaud your courage, not to say everyone should take big risks in order. I have a 2 floor house . Most likely, I will stay on the 2nd floor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 MT Zucker will stop this cane and turn it east........to the top we go Shear from the Zucker Range usually breaks up the cane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIJohn Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I'm located in central Suffolk County. Am I more likely to see hurricane conditions or tropical storm conditions? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Imagine if this could have been snow, even though impossible by nature. That would make this 1000 times more fun, even with the higher winds. Rain is so boring even if blown sideways. It is like turkey without any gravy or trimmings, snow is the whole darn feast with the pumpkin pie to wash it down. I enjoyed tracking 12/26 the days before it was changing on the models, hurricanes are too dangerous to wish for or to want a direct strike. They are interesting to watch from the back row of the house, but front row seats, no thanks !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Good morning folks how am i looking in whitestone my boat should be toast on city island time will tell hope all is good Alex its been a while . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Good morning folks how am i looking in whitestone my boat should be toast on city island time will tell hope all is good Alex its been a while . You should move it to some place safer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Oh No !!! Not the Freeport Nautical Mile in Nassau including Fire Island and the Hamptons further east in Suffolk, some of LI scenic treasures along with the affluent Silver Coast canal and bay towns of LI's South Shore. I feel very bad for Long Beach and other barrier island residents right now. Please leave us alone Irene, the earthquake really felt like an ominous harbinger that this could happen even though unrelated natural events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Alex and Sundog don't have to go on a boat to go fishing on Sunday, the LI Sound will be in their house. All those fish they pissed off over the years are gonna have revenge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Alex and Sundog don't have to go on a boat to go fishing on Sunday, the LI Sound will be in their house. All those fish they pissed off over the years are gonna have revenge Imagine if someone introduced piranha into the Sound? Who knows, maybe some great white sharks will get trapped into the circulation and will be funneled down the Sound Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 insurance after 25 yrs if she goes she goes i have a bad feeling about this one from a human side of the story especially inland the tree situation is gonna be ugly . I'm pretty much setup for any diaster and i'm sure most on the the board are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderdude Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 This a scary track and anybody just east of where the center/eye will have the worse conditions including the strongest damaging winds. I was wrong very little chance of NYC and LI escaping this storm unless it takes an expected track out to sea after hitting eastern NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I bet The Book of Mormon ticket lottery (Broadway show) will have 300-400 people for Sunday's performance in the hellish conditions. That would be irrational, and stupid but sure it would happen if the theatre is open. They better hunker down the bus in Priscilla Queen of the Dessert at the Palace theatre so she does not become a boat and float away. Will this event stop and close Broadway theaters this weekend ? One would think it should for safety and the shows could always be made up on the theatre's "dark" days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Our beloved choo choo trains on Long Island will do wonderful in this, one snowflake seems to stop them in their tracks in the winter. Imagine what a cane will do.... I really hope they can handle this and only sustain very minimal system impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I don't know how old many of you guys are but, i am telling you- this whole thing is scaring the living **** out of me... I was in Dix Hills, in 1985 - ya i was only 8 years old, but I remember the extensive damage out here.. If this storm is anywhere close to Gloria we are so screwed.. The tree damage is going to be immense. Places just west of the Nassau/Suffolk border did not have the intense winds that places to our east had in Hurricane Gloria.. Check for yourself - look at the highest gusts in Gloria for JFK, LGA etc... If Bill Evans is right and 80+ mph winds comes to locations west of where they did in Gloria - this is going to turn out to be a mega disaster.. As CAT5Andrew and others have stated- our trees up in the Northeast or NOT designed for these types of winds... If this storm plays out in the METROPOLITAN area as some believe it may - Sunday is going to be a very scary day.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I am going to stock up on batteries later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Andrew changed my mind about canes i was in fla. back then and saw up close and personal what these systems are capable of and i'm concerned people are going to underestimate the situation. That nuke left an image in my mind i'll never forget and all the illegals that died for fear of going to the shelters the political climate was much different on migrant workers and they stayed in the trailor parks in kendall,homestead,fla city dade county didn't publicize the death count it was astounding.My father in-law worked for broward county and i hitched a ride into dade before national guard arrived ugly basically a nuke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Just watch ch 7 noreaster27 favorite weather gang.....they are going with 60-80 mph winds and 100+ on the east end....and 5-10 of rain.....hope i saved you sometime on ur morning routine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I can't draw "straight" lines that are supposed to represent a slight logarithmic curve on Paint. That's what I tried to draw when showing what the 6z GFS did. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Too much banter in the main thread, people gonna get in trouble when the mods wake up Dougie, I thought your map was beautiful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Too much banter in the main thread, people gonna get in trouble when the mods wake up Dougie, I thought your map was beautiful! When does earthlight wake up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 Too much banter in the main thread, people gonna get in trouble when the mods wake up Dougie, I thought your map was beautiful! Why thank you! I try. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 When does earthlight wake up? Usually when Sundog nudges him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I can't believe that I might see my first hurricane . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 after 25 yrs of hurricane partys on docks with lunatics staying with the boat with this one is insane been there with bertha and swore as a young man i would never do that again i gave a her a high five and called it a day see ya, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 26, 2011 Share Posted August 26, 2011 I can't believe that I might see my first hurricane . I can't believe you are going to float away into the ocean, but hey there is a first time for everything Do you have your Dora the explorer life vest ready? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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