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NYC Banter and BS Thread Part II


earthlight

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The GFS track is more normal, very close to Gloria, maybe slightly east of Belle and west of Carol. The track into the Hudson Valley was absurd. I'm now feeling better about the Eastern LI landfall call though the Euro is bound to do something weird like drive it into Scranton.

I hope this doesn't end up like March 2001 where Bloomberg shuts the city down and we just get some gusty winds and scattered tropical downpours haha. I watched his conference twice and he seems set on shutting down mass transport and evacuating low lying areas of the city.

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Yeah Bloomberg seems set on shutting down mass transit starting Saturday at 8 am as well as evacuating Zone A (whatever that means lol-- but it covers 300,000 people.) He's considering evacuating Zone B also-- which includes many more people. I got a call earlier from Nassau County saying they might not just evacuate the barrier islands (which is a near certainty) but they're thinking of evacuating towns on the main part of the island, that border the bay

also. Goldberg said that the winds could easily gust to

80-100 mph anywhere from JFK on eastward.

I'm in zone A. I'm not going anywhere though.

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Why tropical system move faster when they come north?

. One answer:

These tropical cyclones also have angular momentum with respect to the Earth's axis. The conservation of this angular momentum means that as they move to higher latitudes they experience an acceleration to the east. Thus a hurricane that develops in the low latitude Atlantic and appears to move west begins to turn north. It thus recurves to the east as it moves north.

Courtesy: http://www.sjsu.edu/faculty/watkins/hurricane.htm

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I agree, this is actually a good track for people in NJ and NYC rooting for a big hit in terms of prolific rainfall totals. If it moved over the City or West...the rainfall amounts would likely be cut in half but the surge would be worse.

And then there's me rooting to witness a few hurricane force gust

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