goldalex Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 So wait let me get this straight....this thread is for banter and bsing? I seriously had no idea! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I was just realizing what a potential mess this is going to be for the Barclays Golf Tournament that's in my area. Starts today and will be delayed by rain. Will have tomorrow and Saturday before essentially having to move the final rounds til who knows when Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I was just realizing what a potential mess this is going to be for the Barclays Golf Tournament that's in my area. Starts today and will be delayed by rain. Will have tomorrow and Saturday before essentially having to move the final rounds til who knows when Yeah, i was so looking forward to watching that too. I have a 6:06 Monday morning. The rain should be over, i hope the course opens up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 So wait let me get this straight....this thread is for banter and bsing? I seriously had no idea! It would appear that some people don't read topic thread titles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 But if we do get a foot of rain and there's some tree damage it could take a couple days to open back up Yeah, i was so looking forward to watching that too. I have a 6:06 Monday morning. The rain should be over, i hope the course opens up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Yeah, i was so looking forward to watching that too. I have a 6:06 Monday morning. The rain should be over, i hope the course opens up. You're a mudder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 You're a mudder? I'm a dew sweeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 But if we do get a foot of rain and there's some tree damage it could take a couple days to open back up yeah, Im fooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Good bye everyone, NAM just wiped us all off the map. I will miss you all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 NAM would seriously produce CATASTROPHIC damage. Unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 NAM would seriously produce CATASTROPHIC damage. Unbelievable. Yeah, that's really frightening...it's the NAM in the long range but probably a worst-case scenario with water piling up the Hudson on S/SE flow as well as a long period of heavy rain, which commences long before the hurricane approaches this latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 NAM would seriously produce CATASTROPHIC damage. Unbelievable. Yeah, it would rival the greek economy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 If there was any doubt the "hurricane hunters" a/k/a "secret military seeding planes" are dumping foam and laundry detergent into this thing to kill it, it has been removed now. Not a healthy looking system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I am bringing in everything tonight to my apartment that I can. All my gardening equipment, hoses, etc. Should I destake my tomatoes and bring the stakes inside as well? Batten down the hatches and stow the main sail! NAM would seriously produce CATASTROPHIC damage. Unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 HI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 the 12z NAM is very similar to my forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder81 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 The next 24 to 36 hours will be critical with the models been trending west that could mean that NYC and LI could be spared the worse but heavy flooding rain is still good possibility. This still serious situation if the 12z NAM verifies this would be devastating for NYC/NJ and LI. The models could get either where 24 hours ago we were talking about likely a fish storm and now storm may cut inland. Don't forget the placement of the trough and the strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 The next 24 to 36 hours will be critical with the models been trending west that could mean that NYC and LI could be spared the worse but heavy flooding rain is still good possibility. This still serious situation if the 12z NAM verifies this would be devastating for NYC/NJ and LI. The models could get either where 24 hours ago we were talking about likely a fish storm and now storm may cut inland. Don't forget the placement of the trough and the strength. Nam went east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 the 12z NAM is very similar to my forecast Interesting graphic. How far out from the center do you think the 85-95mph winds (according to your graphic, when Irene effects NJ and NYC) will extend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder81 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Nam went east. I notice that why nothing is set in stone right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 So I hear that this current rain we're getting in an outer rain band from Irene!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Interesting graphic. How far out from the center do you think the 85-95mph winds (according to your graphic, when Irene effects NJ and NYC) will extend? Good question. I made this map yesterday afternoon, and wasn't thinking too much about the coverage of hurricane force winds at the time, but I'd say that in my scenario, SE Coastal NJ and most of LI would experience hurricane force gusts, but I'm not sure how much wind there will be on the west side of the storm at this point. Of course, I'm open to having to shift my track further west to a Nassau County landfall, but I honestly don't think it's going to pass directly over NYC or further west than that. The wind field, however, will expand, though, as the storm goes further north. The consistent sustained 85-95mph winds would probably from Farmingdale to the Hamptons. My track was supposed to gain a bit more latitude closer to LI, and then a slightly more dramatic "east" turn than what was drawn, but it's just incredibly hard to draw on Paint. SE Coastal NJ would have a period of hurricane force sustained winds, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 GFS makes a full landfall into the carolinas, threat over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Good question. I made this map yesterday afternoon, and wasn't thinking too much about the coverage of hurricane force winds at the time, but I'd say that in my scenario, SE Coastal NJ and most of LI would experience hurricane force gusts, but I'm not sure how much wind there will be on the west side of the storm at this point. Of course, I'm open to having to shift my track further west to a Nassau County landfall, but I honestly don't think it's going to pass directly over NYC or further west than that. The wind field, however, will expand, though, as the storm goes further north. The consistent sustained 85-95mph winds would probably from Farmingdale to the Hamptons. My track was supposed to gain a bit more latitude closer to LI, and then a slightly more dramatic "east" turn than what was drawn, but it's just incredibly hard to draw on Paint. SE Coastal NJ would have a period of hurricane force sustained winds, too. Sounds reasonable to me. Thanks for the detail! The worst winds from a coastal storm of any kind I ever experienced in my lifetime was December 1992 in SE Monmouth in New Jersey. It would be intiguing to see if we could see similar from a hurricane in this region rather than a noreaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 o.k Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Wow at GFS. Just Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Just had thunder and lightning hear, Irene starting to make herself felt. The four day beating from the outer bands are going to really weaken the infrastructure in the metro area and once the main thing comes up here watch out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I'm going to buy a boat and sail away on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 I'm going to buy a boat and sail away on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 25, 2011 Share Posted August 25, 2011 Or maybe swim in the street Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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