Allsnow Posted April 7, 2011 Share Posted April 7, 2011 Chilly start today. Hopefully spring comes next week. Late with grass and trees compared to last two springs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 raining now and 48 degrees... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 at this point, i just want to see a few days of sunshine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 raining now and 48 degrees... 45.7/33 here, OVC....trees still not showing much signs of life, still looks like late winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 43 here, light rain.. 0.05 in. so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Stupid wind cooperating with the stupid cold ocean water, if we don't get to at least 70 on Monday.... And what is with this "overcastedness" lol, feels like I'm in San Francisco, I need some serious sun soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Radar reminds me of Feb 5th-6th, 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Radar reminds me of Feb 5th-6th, 2010. i just said that to ray martin in an IM, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killabud Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 i like rain and that radar is really pissing me off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Huge late season snowstorm for the Hudson Valley and New England at 192 on the 18z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 Huge late season snowstorm for the Hudson Valley and New England at 192 on the 18z GFS: yeah, im getting excited for big noreaster mid april..obviously no snow here but look at that high showing up, could be high winds and heavy rain for nyc..long way to go, tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 yeah, im getting excited for big noreaster mid april..obviously no snow here but look at that high showing up, could be high winds and heavy rain for nyc..long way to go, tho Maybe similar to the famous Tax Day Storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 9, 2011 Share Posted April 9, 2011 yeah, im getting excited for big noreaster mid april..obviously no snow here but look at that high showing up, could be high winds and heavy rain for nyc..long way to go, tho I'm definitely going to be chasing as it's a Saturday, the first day of spring break for those of us who work in the public schools (I'm a substitute teacher and also work at a restaurant a few nights per week)....if we get a big Nor'easter, I will either head to my family's vacation home in the Poconos or to Middlebury, VT where I have a bunch of friends from college. I wanted to chase the 3/31 storm until the system totally fell apart and didn't give anyone the expected amount of QPF. If you're interested and have the time, let me know...you're definitely invited! Maybe similar to the famous Tax Day Storm? That storm got down to 968mb over NYC; at my college in Middlebury VT, we received 5" of snowfall before changing over to rain as the sun rose. I had no idea the storm was coming, wasn't following the weather closely, but I woke up to use the bathroom at 4am, glancing out the window as I'd heard casually that there might be some snow. Everything was covered in solid white and it was pouring snow, although I was so tired from papers and a broken arm that I fell asleep again quickly...The Adirondacks stayed all snow, as well as the Green Mountains, picking up over a foot of snow on 4/16/07. The photos of the flooding in NYC metro with the bare trees, hardly any buds upon them, remind me of the cold spring we're having this season. 2007 was even more extreme with a devastating hard freeze in early April that crippled the South's vegetation, as the -10C isotherm was all the way to the GA/SC border long after things had begun to leaf out down there. In Vermont, that was the tale of two winters...the first half being an unmitigated torch, and then the period from 1/18-4/16 being incredibly snowy and brutally cold. We had 25" in the Valentine's Day storm with blizzard conditions that shut down the campus (some parts of the Adirondacks had over 40", historic system), Burlington hit a record low of -18F on the morning of March 7th (four mornings in a row below 0F at no elevation in early March), and then the Tax Day Nor'easter crushed VT and Upstate NY...spring arrived on 4/20 when I was visiting a friend at Brown in PVD for spring concert weekend, temperatures in the 70s and the sweet smell of you know what pouring across the campus. Epic year that was.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 dont know if im still drunk or if im hallucinating things but the euro brings back the ghost of winter somehow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 dont know if im still drunk or if im hallucinating things but the euro brings back the ghost of winter somehow Low levels stay warm. Maybe snow would mix in. This time of year you really need thicknesses below 534. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 Low levels stay warm. Maybe snow would mix in. This time of year you really need thicknesses below 534. It's still a chilly pattern for mid-April on the 0z ECM, however. A few days of cut-off misery after tomorrow's torch and then 850s drop to like -5C after the FROPA Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 12z GFS is cool and wet in the long range. Horrible weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 It's currently 99 degrees in the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 11, 2011 Share Posted April 11, 2011 Road trip to the Midwest? http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_090l.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 Road trip to the Midwest? http://www.nco.ncep....fs_ten_090l.gif The GFS just totally crushes Northern Iowa and Southern Minnesota...beautiful cut-off low with classic deformation banding..90 is a great frame for those areas: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 The GFS just totally crushes Northern Iowa and Southern Minnesota...beautiful cut-off low with classic deformation banding..90 is a great frame for those areas: GFS ensemble mean agrees. I wish I was there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 GFS ensemble mean agrees. I wish I was there. I definitely wish our snow season went a little longer. Apparently the 12z ECM is a decent hit for the Upper Midwest, I believe the 12z GGEM was a bit further north and had the heaviest snows over the Dakotas. That system will cool us down a lot, Anthony...it's not going to be particularly warm with the cut-off, but the FROPA from the midwest snowstorm should get the suburbs a freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 GFS ensemble mean agrees. I wish I was there. I notice you like to post the GEFS. I use it as well. Well, FYI, and to all, NCEP is planning a big upgrade to the GEFS to have the SAME resolution as the OP GFS very soon. Won't that be a hoot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 That rain looks pretty heavy over NW Jersey and PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 That rain looks pretty heavy over NW Jersey and PA. I'm surprised you haven't started a flood thread and aren't posting your emergency response reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 I notice you like to post the GEFS. I use it as well. Well, FYI, and to all, NCEP is planning a big upgrade to the GEFS to have the SAME resolution as the OP GFS very soon. Won't that be a hoot! Why would they go and ruin a good thing by making it exactly like the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 I'm surprised you haven't started a flood thread and aren't posting your emergency response reports. that's because I don't hype a flood threat when there really is no flood threat. The two times I hyped it earlier this year, we got major flooding both times. I think its fair to mention it when March 1'st rolls around and there is still a large snowpack on the ground, as was the case both last year and this year. Maybe I made a few poor estimates with regards to amounts in the past, but you act as if I know nothing, and thats far from the truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 that's because I don't hype a flood threat when there really is no flood threat. The two times I hyped it earlier this year, we got major flooding both times. I think its fair to mention it when March 1'st rolls around and there is still a large snowpack on the ground, as was the case both last year and this year. Maybe I made a few poor estimates with regards to amounts in the past, but you act as if I know nothing, and thats far from the truth. You reallly exagerate man, and I am not the only one who feels that way. Not every event wether rain, snow, whatever, is a major/sever event. Take yesterday, you totally blew out of proportion the threat for severe weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 12, 2011 Share Posted April 12, 2011 You reallly exagerate man, and I am not the only one who feels that way. Not every event wether rain, snow, whatever, is a major/sever event. Take yesterday, you totally blew out of proportion the threat for severe weather. Why? Because I started a thread about it? I don't recall calling for a severe weather outbreak... Anyone think that strong convection over the Chesepeake stands a chance at making up this way, it looks to be on a trajectory for north Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6zNam Posted April 13, 2011 Share Posted April 13, 2011 Thunderstorms at night are great. There's something about night that makes them feel more intense. The only thing is during the day I love watching the storms roll in. Seeing the awesome cloud structure and dark grey clouds approaching is probably the most exciting feeling. Can't wait till summer what's good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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