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Overnight thunderstorm potential into Tuesday morning


IsentropicLift

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Got dark for a few here in Long Beach. the winds have actually diminished here with the front. Allot of erosion and some monster surf right now as a result of the huge fetch of southerly winds ahead of the squall line down south.

The same here.Got some estimated wind gusts in the 35-40 mph range from the SSW with the heavier showers before the winds dropped off right with the front.

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This is the current forecast for Blairstown for this afternoon. Keep in mind it is 39.6 right now.

This Afternoon: Showers, mainly before 2pm. High near 55. Breezy, with a west wind between 18 and 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.

I think the front came thru sooner.

A section of the AFD for your area.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

1133 AM EDT TUE APR 5 2011

.SYNOPSIS...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. BEHIND THE

FRONT...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. LOW

PRESSURE TRACKING NORTH OF THE AREA WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH

THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL STALL IN OR JUST SOUTH

OF OUR AREA LATE THIS WEEK. A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL

TRACK ALONG THE STALLED FRONT LATE THIS WEAK INTO THIS WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

-- Changed Discussion --THE 11 AM UPDATE IS GOING TO HAVE HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM EARLY

THIS MORNING. WILL UPDATE THE LEGACY PRODUCTS AGAIN MIDDAY.

OBVIOUSLY THE WIND HAS BLOWN STRONG 40-49 KT THIS MORNING....MOST

OF IT BEHIND THE CONVECTIVE LINES...EXCEPTING EARLY MORNING SVR`S.

THE SUSSEX COUNTY DEL 615 AM VERIFICATION WAS SEEN VERY NICELY ON

DOX 88D.

LSR ON SVR AND OR NON SVR SUSTAINED 35 KNOTS AND/OR GUSTS 50+ KNOTS

WILL CONTINUE TO BE UPDATED.

PNS FOR WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA WILL POST THIS AFTERNOON.

SHOWERS WILL END THIS AFTERNOON. THEN CLEARING LATE.-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

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I just saw a few very wet snow flakes mixed in with the rain on the windshield while driving...44 degrees...

Yes, I thought I observed a few snowflakes falling in Southern Westchester, very light precipitation though.

Down to 42.7/39, such a dreary and morose day, typical for early April in this area. Big difference between when I got to work at 8:30am and when I left at 3:30pm, airmass is much more refreshing now with a stiff NW breeze. Should be much cooler the next few days before Sunday's warm-up.

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I witnessed no action whatsoever (as usual lol). But I did feel a fairly significant temperature drop, felt very rainy day-March-like 20 minutes after my initial post. Went from mid 60's to low 50's.

This squall line was the largest I've witnessed, stretching from Pennsylvania into the Gulf of Mexico last night.

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