Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I just had to rub it in Mark's face that he was wrong. he should know better. unless it's cloudy these days are almost always 5 degrees warmer than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 The individual storms in that line approaching WV are moving at real fast pace to the NW, covering several counties in an hours time. At least the kids will be home from school before they hit. Currently 81/60...starting to feel muggy. Mostly cloudy now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Afternoon AFD from LWX WITH SYNOPTIC FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE POTENT UPPER TROUGH ANDSFC COLD FRONT REMAINING TO THE WEST AND STRONG CAPPING INVERSIONS BETWEEN IN THE MID LVLS...UPSTREAM CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA THRU THE FIRST HALF OF THE EVE. HOWEVER...CANNOT RULE OUT SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY CLIPPING THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS AND WRN MD DURING THE LATE AFTN/ERY EVE AS A PRE-FRONTAL SFC TROUGH NEARS THE NWRN CWA. COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE OH/TN VLYS WILL BEGIN TO CROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AROUND MIDNIGHT AND QUICKLY MOVE THRU THE CWA DURING THE OVNGT/ERY MRNG HRS. DESPITE CONVECTION CROSSING THE REGION DURING AN UNFAVORABLE TIME FOR SVR WX /WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING/ VERY STRONG WIND/SHEAR PROFILES AND A NARROW TONGUE OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL WARRANT A RISK FOR SVR WX LOW-TOPPED TSTMS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS WITH SECONDARY THREATS BEING ISO HAIL/TORNADOES ALONG AND WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. WITH 70-80 KT LLVL JET STREAK ONLY A FEW THOUSAND FEET ABOVE THE SFC...IT WONT TAKE MUCH TO BRING SOME OF THOSE WINDS DOWN TO THE SFC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 86 with no humidity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 STW's with potential of quarter sized hail in SW PA/N WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'm quite aware of over-performing temps... just didn't think winds from 200 deg. was gonna do it (not as much downsloping as a WSW wind). It's just really effin dry on its own, which lead to the +++ temps. EDIT: BWI also has one of the biggest departures from MOS in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 A lot of little cells popping up ahead of the main line now. They are moving fast...probably won't have much lead time with any warnings. This will be a good test for this LightningFinder App I'm trying out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'm quite aware of over-performing temps... just didn't think winds from 200 deg. was gonna do it (not as much downsloping as a WSW wind). It's just really effin dry on its own, which lead to the +++ temps. EDIT: BWI also has one of the biggest departures from MOS in the region. 850s are pretty warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 TW in Ohio... a bit surprised (just east of Columbus) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 TW in Ohio... a bit surprised (just east of Columbus) Heh... Licking County. Probably one of a few TOR warns that will come from embedded cells in that region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Hey Ian what was MOS for today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 83 and beautiful near Union Station. Wish I was headed to the O's game tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 Find the 90+ reading. Hint: It's not to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Hey Ian what was MOS for today? not sure.. prob u 70s? it was ~70 on friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Thanks! in Austria with crappy wifi so I'm information deprived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 84 @ DCA/BWI 83 @ IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 84 @ DCA/BWI 83 @ IAD these are records for bwi/iad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'm about to get it...loud thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'm liking those cells moving out of eastern Kentucky into SW WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'm liking those cells moving out of eastern Kentucky into SW WV. Lots of time for them to weaken though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Find the 90+ reading. Hint: It's not to the south. I'd think the fact that there is less vegitation has allowed temps to overperform, transevaporation is a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'd think the fact that there is less vegitation has allowed temps to overperform, transevaporation is a big deal. That would be one of the reasons, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 18z NAM simulated radar, ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 88* here. Strong sw gusts up to 40pm (43 about 90 mins ago). My question: Will the strengthening line on the southern end (LA, MS AL, etc.) rob us or will it help feed convection this far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'm about ot get raked by the main line...STW out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 this stuff is hauling .. not sure it's going to hold off as long as the models were showing though i guess these lines speed up more often than slowing down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Charlston WV about to get completely Owned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 SO NICE OUTSIDE!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 this stuff is hauling .. not sure it's going to hold off as long as the models were showing though i guess these lines speed up more often than slowing down. It almost looks like the flow is trying to back, maybe another low will form along the frontal boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 this stuff is hauling .. not sure it's going to hold off as long as the models were showing though i guess these lines speed up more often than slowing down. I guess that's a good thing...earlier the better perhaps? Although - SPC has a new mesoscale disco out saying no WW is expected in our area. Not surprising. I just want some nice thunderstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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