Riptide Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 On 4/5/2011 at 3:10 AM, Kmlwx said: Yes. People in Leesburg think this. I was right about the outflow boundary. Squall line building northwards again, hopefully it's fast enough for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 On 4/5/2011 at 3:14 AM, Riptide said: I was right about the outflow boundary. Squall line building northwards again, hopefully it's fast enough for DC. Please continue to be positive! Maybe you can will it back to life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 What a gorgeous night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 On 4/5/2011 at 3:23 AM, Kmlwx said: Please continue to be positive! Maybe you can will it back to life 0z NAM crushes you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Well, outflow rains completely died...can't hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Heavy rain at the moment, up to 0.88". It looks like this will break an inch before it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 my forecast update was worse than my forecast -- lol UCONN!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 Morning! The line of storms in the SW parts of the region coming in about as expected... could build up into the DC area overnight. Severe parameters not looking too good in central VA, but conditions are better closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lester Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Tornado Watch for Baltimore, Washington down into Richmond, VA beach til 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 On 4/5/2011 at 6:30 AM, lester said: Tornado Watch for Baltimore, Washington down into Richmond, VA beach til 10 http://www.spc.noaa....tch/ww0101.html Tornadoes Probability of 2 or more tornadoes: Mod (40%) Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes: Low (20%) Wind Probability of 10 or more severe wind events: Mod (60%) Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots: Mod (30%) Hail Probability of 10 or more severe hail events: Low (<5%) Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches: Low (<5%) Combined Severe Hail/Wind Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events: High (80%) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 Signs of rotation in the southern end of the line to the NW of Richmond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Winds weren't severe level, but around 45-50mph with rainfall rates of 15" per hour according to VP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pityflakes Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 On 4/5/2011 at 2:24 AM, Kmlwx said: Well for those of you who hang onto every last piece of hope - The latest HRRR model run still brings a pencil thin line of gusty looking showers through here tomorrow around 10z. And when I say pencil thin I mean like maybeee a few miles wide. FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dude Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Just gotten woken up by some wind driven pea-size hail. Quick hitting, but nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Woken up here as well. Definitely sounded like some wind driven hail here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 55 mph gust at DCA, wow! SPECI KDCA 050837Z 27032G48KT 1/8SM R01/3000VP6000FT +TSRA SQ BKN040CB OVC065 18/14 A2939 RMK AO2 PK WND 27048/0835 TSB32RAB35 PRESRR OCNL LTGICCCCG OHD TS OHD MOV E P0000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Very nice lightning strike and loud associated thunder. Like Ian has been saying - this has to be a good sign for our peak severe season that we can get these overnight storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 I woke up on my own, but looks like I woke up just in time for a severe t-storm warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 "Tornado vortex signature" showing up on NEXRAD radar west of Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 WOW! - Tornado warning PG, Charles, Calvert, AA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Very strong wind and heavy rain here in Waldorf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Looks like the 2 circulations went north and south of Waldorf along the line...according to analyst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 just woke up in severn, AA co, where are these tornado warnings exactly, why does this **** happen at night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Prince Frederick and Huntingtown are in the path of this circulation and it is tightening up near Hughesville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Another new TOR warning for St. mary's and southern Calvert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 just got a look at radar and appears any tornados are going south of northern aa co? I dont get why you warn pratically a whole county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Central AA county circulation passed south of Bowie and is between Bowie and Annapolis...looks weaker on last scan probably will pass north of Annapolis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 On 4/5/2011 at 8:58 AM, mdhokie said: just got a look at radar and appears any tornados are going south of northern aa co? I dont get why you warn pratically a whole county. Little quick spinups are possible in this kind of situation - anywhere along the line. Covering the bases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Yea it appears the line has passed through here.. Very little rain, and some wind, but nothing to write home about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 On 4/5/2011 at 9:03 AM, mdhokie said: Yea it appears the line has passed through here.. Very little rain, and some wind, but nothing to write home about. Must have missed the main part - got very nasty here for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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