Stebo Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 How did you beat all of us? lol Its obvious, epic ninja skills..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 How did you beat all of us? lol I told you I'm a secret severe weather junkie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Its obvious, epic ninja skills..... and this too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Synoptic scale ascent is only a small part of it though. And since I like to argue synoptics (I am just messing here), should we be making use of synoptic forcings and the QG Theory of synoptic motion--it should always be differential vorticity advection Haha fair point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 and this too I always knew you were a ninja. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 8, 2011 Author Share Posted April 8, 2011 I told you I'm a secret severe weather junkie lol must be quite bored on the EC SPC seems fairly confident in storms going up INVOF the warm front west of I-35. Still like Nebraska City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 The 12 hr SREF severe probabilities are still most impressed with Central Wisconsin through 00z Monday...for what it's worth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 lol must be quite board on the EC SPC seems fairly confident in storms going up INVOF the warm front west of I-35. Still like Nebraska City. The EC may have Nor'easters--but it doesn't have severe convection that comes close to the Plains/MS Valley/OV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Already had to a few days ago, huge hail storm! Well, it looks like Saturday night/very early Sunday morning might be Hailmageddon Part Two, at least for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 I always knew you were a ninja. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 SPC seems fairly confident in storms going up INVOF the warm front west of I-35. Still like Nebraska City. Bridge access FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 The EC may have Nor'easters--but it doesn't have severe convection that comes close to the Plains/MS Valley/OV. So true...although the past few summers have been very interesting here with a few tornado warnings..an 80 mph wind gust knocking over a huge tree..and some decent sized hail. My most interesting convective event remains July 18 2006--where thunderstorms formed in an extremely unstably environment along old convective boundaries which is extremely rare in the Northeast. Anyway..back on topic..sorry for the de-rail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 The EC may have Nor'easters--but it doesn't have severe convection that comes close to the Plains/MS Valley/OV. Except NYC last year. They pwned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 8, 2011 Author Share Posted April 8, 2011 The 12 hr SREF severe probabilities are still most impressed with Central Wisconsin through 00z Monday...for what it's worth I'm not stepping foot in cheesehead country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Except NYC last year. They pwned. It was wild...but ultimately when you compare the severity of the events that occur out there to the "big ones" that occur here...it's not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 The 12 hr SREF severe probabilities are still most impressed with Central Wisconsin through 00z Monday...for what it's worth Well, I would assume since these are probabilities from 7am to 7pm Sunday, the probs for the next 12 hours will probably look more impressive, as I don't think convection will start until late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 8, 2011 Author Share Posted April 8, 2011 Bridge access FTW. Why do you think i picked there? watch it be a 6/7/09 repeat just a bit further north lol but this time the supercells actually produce tornadoes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 When I think of Wisconsin severe weather I immediately think 06/07/07...not sure why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 It was wild...but ultimately when you compare the severity of the events that occur out there to the "big ones" that occur here...it's not even close. The thing in my avatar produced softball size hail and 100 mph winds. I imagine that's a pretty good event even in the Plains lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 8, 2011 Author Share Posted April 8, 2011 When I think of Wisconsin severe weather I immediately think 06/07/07...not sure why. I think of bust when I hear that date lol I think of 8/18/05 when I think of WI severe wx. There was another good day in 2006 I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 When I think of Wisconsin severe weather I immediately think 06/07/07...not sure why. Do you mean '08? June and early July of 2008 was epic, although the only specific episode I remember of that summer was the Friday and Saturday that included June 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Why do you think i picked there? watch it be a 6/7/09 repeat just a bit further north lol but this time the supercells actually produce tornadoes. Sounds good to me. This time if you stop at Wendy's, don't use the machine that's out of order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 I think of bust when I hear that date lol Yup...wasn't it a 1200z High Risk and a 60% wind at some point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 sunday evening Ohhh, I can deal with that little pocket of 5 up here its unidirectional as crap though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 8, 2011 Author Share Posted April 8, 2011 Sounds good to me. This time if you stop at Wendy's, don't use the machine that's out of order. I need my Dr. Pepper fix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 I need my Dr. Pepper fix Buy a cooler and bring a couple 1L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Ohhh, I can deal with that little pocket of 5 up here its unidirectional as crap though. SREF will likely be muddled out. Potential (not probability) using some deterministic runs would be much less uni should the heights bomb as they potentially could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Well, it looks like Saturday night/very early Sunday morning might be Hailmageddon Part Two, at least for you. Yeah, definitely gonna have to stay sober to keep my car out of dodge :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Euro through 48 looking sick in the height field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 8, 2011 Share Posted April 8, 2011 Euro almost a carbon copy of the UKMET with the surface low at 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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