jhamps10 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Thanks for the obs. Don't know if we'll have any period of 20:1 but based on what you guys upstream have been saying and what BUFKIT is suggesting, I think we could very possibly average a 12-14:1 ratio for the event. Snow in Champaign now. Snow as far east as TH and Mattoon-Charleston (REALLY makes me wish I had that apartment this semester) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 00z NAM 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Dendrites make the most beautiful snow. Horrible picture, I just took it with my phone real quick. About 5 inches SW cities. Very fluffy and has a nice crunch sound when you walk through it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 00z NAM 12z NAM Still a little early for Monday Morning quarterbacking but based off the radar kinda looks like the 12Z nam may be a bit closer in reality (at least on the placement on the heaviest band).. Still out the lunch on how far SW the extent is.. oh and starting to get reports of 1-2" in the Peoria and Bloomington-Normal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Sorry for the crude pic, but just to give an idea. This taking a look out the back door at the patio area. Closing in on 3" now, and snowing pretty good. Flake size bigger again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 4+, doubt it. I just noticed LOT has you getting above freezing tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 818 PM CST FRI DEC 3 2010 UPDATE WILL BE UPDATING FORECAST WITHIN THE NEXT HALF HOUR. TRENDS INDICATE SIGNIFICANT SNOWS WILL STAY NORTHEAST OF A INDEPENDENCE IOWA TO GALESBURG ILLINOIS AXIS. PLAN TO CANCEL ADVISORY FOR COUNTIES SOUTHWEST OF THIS LINE WITH ANY SNOW AMOUNTS AN INCH OR LESS. LOCATIONS NORTHEAST OF THIS LINE WILL STILL END UP WITH STORM TOTALS GENERALLY OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN A HALF INCH OR LESS TO 3 PLUS INCHES SNOW STORM TOTALS COULD BE WITHIN 20 MILES OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED AXIS. HEAVIER SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF BETWEEN 11 PM AND 4 AM FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AS SURFACE LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST. AN ISOLATED POCKET OF 6 TO 7 INCHES STILL MAY OCCUR NEAR A DUBUQUE TO CLINTON LINE OF PLUS OR MINUS 20 MILES BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ..NICHOLS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 818 PM CST FRI DEC 3 2010 UPDATE WILL BE UPDATING FORECAST WITHIN THE NEXT HALF HOUR. TRENDS INDICATE SIGNIFICANT SNOWS WILL STAY NORTHEAST OF A INDEPENDENCE IOWA TO GALESBURG ILLINOIS AXIS. PLAN TO CANCEL ADVISORY FOR COUNTIES SOUTHWEST OF THIS LINE WITH ANY SNOW AMOUNTS AN INCH OR LESS. LOCATIONS NORTHEAST OF THIS LINE WILL STILL END UP WITH STORM TOTALS GENERALLY OF 3 TO 6 INCHES. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN A HALF INCH OR LESS TO 3 PLUS INCHES SNOW STORM TOTALS COULD BE WITHIN 20 MILES OF THE ABOVE MENTIONED AXIS. HEAVIER SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF BETWEEN 11 PM AND 4 AM FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST AS SURFACE LOW MOVES SOUTHEAST. AN ISOLATED POCKET OF 6 TO 7 INCHES STILL MAY OCCUR NEAR A DUBUQUE TO CLINTON LINE OF PLUS OR MINUS 20 MILES BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ..NICHOLS.. At least it's only early December but STILL, what a major letdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 I just noticed LOT has you getting above freezing tomorrow. yep, at 32* already. * car reading winds dead calm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 At least it's only early December but STILL, what a major letdown. I was just on the phone with a spotter driving from Linn to Buchanan County. He said that the roads were completely clear until about 3 miles south of Quasqueton, when they became 100% snow covered. That's how sharp this line is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 NAM now over .3 liquid here. Still trying to bring some of the LES band in...I guess it's possible given low level flow over 20 kts and fairly moist profiles. Probably just usual scraps in the form of flurries/light snow showers if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Winter weather advisory has just been canceled for Cedar Rapids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Skilling going with 4-8 most west of chicago but mentioned that parts of Lake and Cook IL could get upwards of 8-10 if the mesolow comes on shore . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 through 12z Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Skilling going with 4-8 most west of chicago but mentioned that parts of Lake and Cook IL could get upwards of 8-10 if the mesolow comes on shore . they almost never do and glad you found us. Heading out to da bar soon, back later, maybe it will be snowing and maybe i will be (more) drunk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Some very nice banding over Champaign right now. Definitely some 1"+/hr rates with that. Also looks like the snow's knocking on the door at LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 through 12z Monday Is that the 18z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Some very nice banding over Champaign right now. Definitely some 1"+/hr rates with that. Also looks like the snow's knocking on the door at LAF. ILX bumped totals slightly to account for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Is that the 18z run? yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Snow now falling as far east as Rockford and Rochelle in the LOT CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 0.07 in the past hour at CMI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 The snow had tapered down for the last 45 minutes to an hour, but is picking back up again. Some pretty decent bands reorganizing over far eastern Iowa between Clinton and Dubuque. We have a bit over 3" here. Thinking we'll pick up another inch or so before we briefly get dry slotted after midnight, and then another inch or so with the wraparound early tomorrow. You guys can see why I was concerned the last few days with being too far south, as you don't have to go too far southwest of us to run out of the decent accumulations. This thing has been a big challenge to forecast on the southern flank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Snowing heavily now east of Lincoln, Illinois. The snowfall rates within the yellow and orange stripe are getting up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Sorry for the crude pic, but just to give an idea. This taking a look out the back door at the patio area. Closing in on 3" now, and snowing pretty good. Flake size bigger again... Thats my favorite, the glittering dendrites on a blanket of snow! Im soo jealous. I know its coming soon, but I want it now lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Thats my favorite, the glittering dendrites on a blanket of snow! Im soo jealous. I know its coming soon, but I want it now lol. Thanks man! It's very early in the season obviously, so there's many many more snows on the way. We have at least 4 more months of big snow potential. Some of you guys missing out on this will no doubt cash in big time later in the season! Latest GFS has me salivating. Drops a swath of 0.50" right over us. Considering we had over an inch down at 6pm that would put us over 6" in theory. I guess we'll see how it goes. RGEM shows a nice pocket of enhanced snows moving through northern Illinois into Indiana near LAF tomorrow morning. If that comes to fruition that could make things a bit interesting down that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 just started here... thinkin 3" tops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Thanks man! It's very early in the season obviously, so there's many many more snows on the way. We have at least 4 more months of big snow potential. Some of you guys missing out on this will no doubt cash in big time later in the season! Latest GFS has me salivating. Drops a swath of 0.50" right over us. Considering we had over an inch down at 6pm that would put us over 6" in theory. I guess we'll see how it goes. RGEM shows a nice pocket of enhanced snows moving through northern Illinois into Indiana near LAF tomorrow morning. If that comes to fruition that could make things a bit interesting down that way. Oh I know its coming. I dont expect to get in on every snowstorm, and the last thing I should do is complain seeing how well my area has done in snowfall in recent years. Its just magnified because its the first widespread storm of the season and Im getting impatient. The abrupt ending to winter last year, snowstorm after snowstorm in Feb than nothing in Mar. Last day with snowcover greater than a T imby was March 7th.So Im just a bit impatient. Its all a tease. Plus it just snowed here for about 48 hours straight and dropped a grand total of 0.3" lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 I'll believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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