jbcmh81 Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Here's the map from IND in regards to snow amounts.. That kind of trajectory would put the 3-4" into Central Ohio, yet ILN says an inch or less through I-70. Seems to be some disagreement still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL 1105 AM CST FRI DEC 3 2010 UPDATE UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWED INTENSE WARM AIR ADVECTION OCCURRING TO THE WEST OF THE DVN CWA. ALREADY DECENT SNOWS FALLING IN NW IA WITH ESTERVILLE PICKING UP 3 INCHES THIS MORNING. WARM ADVECTION MID/HIGH CLOUDS HAVE SPREAD OVER ALL THE CWA THIS MORNING. WITH THE CLOUDY SKIES HAVE LOWERED MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES FROM PREVIOUS GRIDS. UPDATED FORECAST ALSO TO SPREAD THE SNOW INTO EASTERN IA SOONER. CONCERNED THAT A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL SET UP ROUGHLY ALONG AND NEAR HIGHWAY 20 CORRIDOR. WITH SUCH INTENSE WARM ADVECTION THERE IS CERTAINLY THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSNOWS WITH ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES. MAY NEED TO UPGRADE TO A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SOME OUR OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES SOMETIME THIS AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 Most all area radars up and running on GRL3 . Two appear delayed. Storm spotter in Palo Alto County . Iowa reports 3 inches at 16:29 Z 1029 AM SNOW S EMMETSBURG 43.11N 94.68W 12/03/2010 M3.0 INCH PALO ALTO IA TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 First echoes pushing into WI. Definitely virga for now, but things are progressing fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 zones have me at 4-7" dont see my area getting near the high end of that. Tonight: Snow, mainly after 9pm. Low around 25. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Saturday: Snow. High near 32. North northwest wind between 5 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbcmh81 Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Is this thing further east than expected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Radars take a crap again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 zones have me at 4-7" dont see my area getting near the high end of that. Tonight: Snow, mainly after 9pm. Low around 25. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Saturday: Snow. High near 32. North northwest wind between 5 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. I'm really wondering about Chicago. Of course the lake could boost things a bit but it will be interesting to see if the heavier band of system snows streaks off just to the south. The 00z ECMWF had about .4 at ORD so it will be interesting to see what the 12z run does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 zones have me at 4-7" dont see my area getting near the high end of that. Tonight: Snow, mainly after 9pm. Low around 25. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Saturday: Snow. High near 32. North northwest wind between 5 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. The HRRR brings a pretty healthy light snow band into Chicagoland tonight. I don't think the upper end of that range will be common, but if the HRRR is right, areas far enough west might sneak into one of the narrow enhanced bands before they weaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 I took the over in the bet with Caplan....4" at ORD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 I'm really wondering about Chicago. Of course the lake could boost things a bit but it will be interesting to see if the heavier band of system snows streaks off just to the south. The 00z ECMWF had about .4 at ORD so it will be interesting to see what the 12z run does. Im still riding my 3-6" call, we'll see. should be fun watch tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 I'm really wondering about Chicago. Of course the lake could boost things a bit but it will be interesting to see if the heavier band of system snows streaks off just to the south. The 00z ECMWF had about .4 at ORD so it will be interesting to see what the 12z run does. Early HRRR indicaitons say the heaviest (relative) band will set up west of the city from NW to SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 Early HRRR indicaitons say the heaviest (relative) band will set up west of the city from NW to SE. lets hope Batavia lol radar lighting up some in southeast ND, not at home so dont have my GR radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Snip from Mr. Izzi's WSW: * ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS...POSSIBLY LOCALLY SIGNIFICANT COULD OCCUR WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Euro QPF: SW WI: .25-.5 SC WI: .1-.15 MKE: .15-.25 ORD: .25-.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 Snip from Mr. Izzi's WSW: * ACCUMULATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS...POSSIBLY LOCALLY SIGNIFICANT COULD OCCUR WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. You mean winter weather advisory? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 You mean winter weather advisory? lol I guess that was a bit misleading...the product is officially coded WSW but it's actually an advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 HRRR showing some early indications of lake enhancement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Euro QPF: SW WI: .25-.5 SC WI: .1-.15 MKE: .15-.25 ORD: .25-.5 Fairly significant difference in northeast IL compared to the NAM. Guess I wouldn't worry too much around Chicago as even if the best system snows don't quite make it in, there's the lake factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 I took the over in the bet with Caplan....4" at ORD Under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Under. smart man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Euro is still about .4 for LAF and ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 smart man Alek and Chi storm against me, this can't be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 Euro is still about .4 for LAF and ORD. OVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 I'm riding the euro until the end. Here are my calls: Chicago: 5-7 Milwaukee: 3-5 FDL: 1-3 Madison: 4-6 Laf: 3-5 MSP: 7-9 S. MN: 6-8 La Crosse: 5-7 South Bend: 5-7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 I'm riding the euro until the end. Here are my calls: Chicago: 5-7 Milwaukee: 3-5 FDL: 1-3 Madison: 4-6 Laf: 3-5 MSP: 7-9 S. MN: 6-8 La Crosse: 5-7 South Bend: 5-7 Good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Alek and Chi storm against me, this can't be good. Main band will be to our south and you can't count on LE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Take it with a grain of salt I would laugh if I got at least 2 of those predictions right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Main band will be to our south. I don't know if that's a given yet. I do like where I'm sitting though even with a general weakening trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Skilling Still going with 3-8". 6-8" should be in Lake and Cook Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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