KokomoWX Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 late fri thru 12 z Sun Thanks for those maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Thanks for those maps. YW! That was off 18z and he's gonna run another in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 FWIW...0Z RGEM 36 & 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 FWIW...0Z RGEM 36 & 48 Interesting, RGEM showing that meso-low signature too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 Skilling going with 4-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 FWIW...0Z RGEM 36 & 48 Those maps (and the GGEM ones) are great. Thanks for posting them all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Those maps (and the GGEM ones) are great. Thanks for posting them all the time. Agree! Looks like GFS won't throw any surprises and will be a tad drier than 18z.. Good for, cyclone.. stupid High P. I'd still take a little less than the .30 the gfs gave and be happy. I just want it snowing while killing a xmas on saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Skilling going with 4-8" New graphics for the RPM model...nice. It also shows the meso low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Amazing just watching that high hang on a tad longer and about 20 or 30 miles south. It just takes $man out by 20 or 30 miles. Goes in rhythm ever run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2010 Author Share Posted December 3, 2010 New graphics for the RPM model...nice. It also shows the meso low. That must of been the new NAM that he just showed the zoomed in totals for. GFS at 30hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Can we kill that high please? Or at least pay it to go about 30-40 miles farther east or be weaker in general? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 GFS looks like it will be come in at least a little wetter than the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Well, $.. Guess we hang our last gasp on the low heading for LM like MKE said.. I think I heard others talk about that, too in past winters.. I just don't think in this type of system that theory holds much weight.. Another one of those weenie sayings when the models don't look like we want Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 LAF doesn't even get more then .25 QPF in this run. It just kills the system as it heads east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 LAF doesn't even get more then .25 QPF in this run. It just kills the system as it heads east. That does suck, If us up here don't get snow I'd like the LAF group to cash in, they deserve it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 0z GFS bumps totals (w/ a longer swath as well) a bit in southern MN and northeast IA, compared to the 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 That does suck, If us up here don't get snow I'd like the LAF group to cash in, they deserve it. The exact placement will probably still get tweaked. I'd be perfectly content to split the difference between the NAM and RGEM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 MKX .UPDATE...A LOOK AT THE NEW NAM COMING IN THIS EVENING SHOWS A BIT OF A SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE QPF/SNOW FIELD FOR THE FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY SNOW EVENT. IT ALSO SHOWS THE LAKE CONTRIBUTION NOT HAVING ENOUGH TIME TO BRING ADDITIONAL ACCUMS TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE NAM SHOWS WINDS BACKING QUICKLY TO THE NORTH THEN NORTHWEST... KEEPING THE FORMING LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND MORE OFF-SHORE DURING THE EVENT. THE FRONTOGENTIC FORCING...ESPECIALLY AT 600MB HAS SHIFTED FARTHER SW. THESE AREN/T SIGNIFICANT CHANGES THAT WOULD HAVE A NOTICEABLE IMPACT ON THE FORECAST AT THIS POINT. THESE FLUCTUATIONS ARE NORMAL AND EXPECTED. WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT FOR THE GFS AND THE ECMWF TO COME IN BEFORE ANY REAL ADJUSTMENT CAN BE MADE WITH CONFIDENCE. WE HAVE NOTICED THAT DURING THIS TIME OF YEAR...EARLY WINTER... THESE SYSTEMS DO TEND TO GET PULLED CLOSER TO THE GREAT LAKES THAN WHAT MODELS INITIALLY INDICATE...SO I/D BE HESITANT TO MAKE CHANGES THAT WOULD BE OPPOSING THIS NOTABLE TREND...I.E. MOVE THE SNOW BAND FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND WEST. IN SHORT...STEADY AS SHE GOES. this is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Well, $.. Guess we hang our last gasp on the low heading for LM like MKE said.. I think I heard others talk about that, too in past winters.. I just don't think in this type of system that theory holds much weight.. Another one of those weenie sayings when the models don't look like we want I'm interested in what MKX said as well. I thought that it applied more for other types of setups and earlier in the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 this is correct. JB say so? How ya been man? Getting pumped for the 1st event and broken plows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 The exact placement will probably still get tweaked. I'd be perfectly content to split the difference between the NAM and RGEM... Or just take the RGEM at face value In all honesty, I never check the RGEM because I don't know where to find the better maps...Is it ever all that great? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 I'm interested in what MKX said as well. I thought that it applied more for other types of setups and earlier in the year. I could see in a cutter throwing that out there..but with this system, meh. Just my worthless opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Or just take the RGEM at face value In all honesty, I never check the RGEM because I don't know where to find the better maps...Is it ever all that great? It can get flaky at 48 hours sometimes, but I like checking it in the 12-36 hour timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Hoosier, when does the RGEM come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 It can get flaky at 48 hours sometimes, but I like checking it in the 12-36 hour timeframe. I just need a small trend north and then I'll at least get a couple inches and you guys in LAF would still be solid too Oh well, I'm encouraged by the look of next week for some extended periods of light accum. that may add up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 If the 00z runs end up being right I'll end up eating my words from earlier. Actually a bit surprised to see the shift south after what seemed like a slow trend north by the last few GEM/NAM runs. There could still be adjustments with the 12z runs. Skilling's new graphics shown tonight were pretty sweet. He's always been on the cutting edge of showing new graphic animations on his weather segments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 LAF doesn't even get more then .25 QPF in this run. It just kills the system as it heads east. GFS hasn't been kind to us, but it's really about the exact same as the 12z run with respect to QPF...we barely sneak into the 0.25" shading. Eh, fits well with my thoughts of 2-4" for LAF...I'll take it if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Cyclone, enjoy, this thing is gonna be a nice event for you. S trend ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 me Can we kill that high please? Or at least pay it to go about 30-40 miles farther east or be weaker in general? Think we're kinna SOL.. PV ready to drop down and the system backing in off the atlantic seem to box it in from moving much.. W/E only going to get minor shifts now and it is what it is. 1-2" for the city is till the call from me and I'll be happy with that. I can see the bust long before MKE will admit defeat and this is one of them I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2010 Share Posted December 3, 2010 Hoosier, when does the RGEM come out? It's already out. There were a couple maps posted earlier in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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