Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Amarillo, Texas. Blue Norther Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 GFS is cold. Berks and Litchfield Hills get snow tomorrow AM. Could be an overperformer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I saw Will's reply. We'll never know. My area was better vs this one (was in NJ). That was a more wintry year in general but you'd have to talk to the older folks (my age and up) living in the area. This year had the epic 5 weeks ...as good as it gets. But was it better vs 78, better vs 93-94, better vs 95-96 periods? I'm not sure....would love to hear other opinions as it tends to be subjective for all. 78 had two awesome storms with little in between or after 93/94 was unreal and is close This years Late Dec through early Feb was my personal best in terms of snow depth and persistence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 GFS is cold. Berks and Litchfield Hills get snow tomorrow AM. Could be an overperformer. Amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 18z nam has barely any measureable through 18z tomorrow unless you go north of ma/nh border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Not much springlike weather thru day 10 on the Euro. All the warmth stays well to the sw of New Eng. Lots of miserable overrunning rains for us and snow to the north. What an awful looking pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Not much springlike weather thru day 10 on the Euro. All the warmth stays well to the sw of New Eng. Lots of miserable overrunning rains for us and snow to the north. What an awful looking pattern. Spring in New England baby!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Not much springlike weather thru day 10 on the Euro. All the warmth stays well to the sw of New Eng. Lots of miserable overrunning rains for us and snow to the north. What an awful looking pattern. Next weekend looks at or above normal. Wednesday/Thursday in the 50s. Tuesday probably breaks into the 50s too. Monday and Friday look like duds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Next weekend looks at or above normal. Wednesday/Thursday in the 50s. Tuesday probably breaks into the 50s too. Monday and Friday look like duds. I don't see all those 50's. Wed looks like it could actually snow at night.. Next weekend looks like wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I don't see all those 50's. Wed looks like it could actually snow at night.. Next weekend looks like wet I'm just telling you what the Euro says. Wednesday could be upper 40s but I went 52 for BDL. In general I went with the Euro though the Euro and GFS and GEFS are in pretty good agreement. Next 7 days for BDL MON - 45 TUE - 56 WED - 52 THU - 56 FRI - 48 SAT - 57 SUN - 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I'm just telling you what the Euro says. Wednesday could be upper 40s but I went 52 for BDL. In general I went with the Euro though the Euro and GFS and GEFS are in pretty good agreement. Next 7 days for BDL MON - 45 TUE - 56 WED - 52 THU - 56 FRI - 48 SAT - 57 SUN - 59 That warm next weekend? Saturday looks like we have showers all day..and Sunday if we have some decent CAA maybe upper 40's-low 50's like yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 MRG will be happy. Let the temp arguments begin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 That warm next weekend? Saturday looks like we have showers all day..and Sunday if we have some decent CAA maybe upper 40's-low 50's like yesterday Not even close... models are really really warm next weekend. Keep in mind average at BDL is like 58 or 59 by next weekend. Some showers won't keep us in the 40s as we warm sector. it's totally possible the storm track moves south and we wind up on the cooler side of things that's why I undercut GFS MOS and went under what the Euro shows verbatim (60s). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Not even close... models are really really warm next weekend. Keep in mind average at BDL is like 58 or 59 by next weekend. Some showers won't keep us in the 40s as we warm sector. it's totally possible the storm track moves south and we wind up on the cooler side of things that's why I undercut GFS MOS and went under what the Euro shows verbatim (60s). In fact I actually undercut MOS every day next week except for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I saw Will's reply. We'll never know. My area was better vs this one (was in NJ). That was a more wintry year in general but you'd have to talk to the older folks (my age and up) living in the area. This year had the epic 5 weeks ...as good as it gets. But was it better vs 78, better vs 93-94, better vs 95-96 periods? I'm not sure....would love to hear other opinions as it tends to be subjective for all. 60-61 also had the early ending, but it was a better winter with more extreme cold and 3 KU events, all of which delivered 18"+ here. The arctic outbreak in late January 1961 was epic. Many places in NNJ had 40" snow depths after the 2/4 storm and over 100" seasonal total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Not even close... models are really really warm next weekend. Keep in mind average at BDL is like 58 or 59 by next weekend. Some showers won't keep us in the 40s as we warm sector. it's totally possible the storm track moves south and we wind up on the cooler side of things that's why I undercut GFS MOS and went under what the Euro shows verbatim (60s). Definitely agree...the SE ridge really starts to progress north next weekend looking at the ECM and GFS. Any showers look to be intermittent and light. I'm starting to notice a very aggressive Southern Plains/SE ridge developing....the -EPO is keeping the Northern Tier cool, but could this be a harbinger of another scorching summer? Also, when will Texas get relief from its awful drought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Definitely agree...the SE ridge really starts to progress north next weekend looking at the ECM and GFS. Any showers look to be intermittent and light. I'm starting to notice a very aggressive Southern Plains/SE ridge developing....the -EPO is keeping the Northern Tier cool, but could this be a harbinger of another scorching summer? Also, when will Texas get relief from its awful drought? I'm heading to Atlanta mid day 4/11 through dinner time 4/14. Looking forward to summer like (at least June like in SNE) temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I'm heading to Atlanta mid day 4/11 through dinner time 4/14. Looking forward to summer like (at least June like in SNE) temps. Looks hot there, well inside the 10C contour: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I'm just telling you what the Euro says. Wednesday could be upper 40s but I went 52 for BDL. In general I went with the Euro though the Euro and GFS and GEFS are in pretty good agreement. Next 7 days for BDL MON - 45 TUE - 56 WED - 52 THU - 56 FRI - 48 SAT - 57 SUN - 59 Don't you think 45 is a little too cold for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Don't you think 45 is a little too cold for tomorrow? If I did I probably wouldn't have forecasted it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 If I did I probably wouldn't have forecasted it NWS has 53F... Are you talking afternoon highs or daily highs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 It's kinda interesting to see the 12z NAM with over .7" for BOS, go to less than .1" on 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 NWS has 53F... Are you talking afternoon highs or daily highs? Daily highs. BDL has a hell of a time getting warm fronts through. NAM MOS has 49 and I normally undercut in these situation but if the 18z NAM is right I'll bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Daily highs. BDL has a hell of a time getting warm fronts through. NAM MOS has 49 and I normally undercut in these situation but if the 18z NAM is right I'll bust low. Did not know that..well hopefully you outsmart NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Did not know that..well hopefully you outsmart NWS. 18z NAM is way way warmer. A lot of times you'll see something like 39F at BDL and 50 in HFD in these warm front situations this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 18z NAM is way way warmer. A lot of times you'll see something like 39F at BDL and 50 in HFD in these warm front situations this time of year. Wow, that is a tight gradient. So does the new NAM change your thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Wow, that is a tight gradient. So does the new NAM change your thinking? 2 rules of thumb come to mind.... 1) warm fronts always move through BDL slower than you think (outside of the summer) and 2) never change your forecast based on the 18z NAM lol But seriously it could turn out to be in the low 50s. I'm forecasting 50 for most of the shoreline and western CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 2 rules of thumb come to mind.... 1) warm fronts always move through BDL slower than you think (outside of the summer) and 2) never change your forecast based on the 18z NAM lol But seriously it could turn out to be in the low 50s. I'm forecasting 50 for most of the shoreline and western CT. Lol, alright sounds reasonable. Hopefully the rain holds off and bypasses us like the NAM is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 MRG will be happy. Let the temp arguments begin! Last day at Wachusett. Sad to see them close with side to side coverage on 21 of 22 trails. Plenty of snow left We actually were some of the last few people to ride up the lift (maybe 3rd or 4th last chair). Bluebird skies, warmish temps... very fun. From the summit you could see the slopes at Stratton Mt 67 miles away! Cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Lol, alright sounds reasonable. Hopefully the rain holds off and bypasses us like the NAM is showing. Yeah I really could see it going either way. Who knows lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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