Damage In Tolland Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Looks like 1-2 from N Ct on north tonight away from the coast..Maybe enough to get close to 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 NAM clowny loves Dendrite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 How is omega determined? 28.1F after a low of 27.7F. Alas winter is ending... Last day at Wachusett Mountain today http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Omega_equation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 http://en.wikipedia..../Omega_equation Oh I get it now! that image cleared it up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Oh I get it now! that image cleared it up.. I determined that my omega was Oldsmobile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Oh I get it now! that image cleared it up.. Basically the two terms on the right have to do with vorticity advection and the change of temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Looks like the euro lost its anafrontal snows that had had fro 12z.....or at least most of it. It may have a little light snow between 12z and 18z, but from that I can see on the 3hr GFS panels..the GFS offers a little light snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Basically the two terms on the right have to do with vorticity advection and the change of temperature. thanks for that added clarity. looks like a chevy to me dave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I am so pleased the Eastern DB is back, valuable research done can be recaptured. From Will and what's coming. Do not discount more snow for you CNE NNE folks FINAL Updated Total # of events by MJO phase: Phase 1: 13 Phase 2: 23 Phase 3: 17 Phase 4: 10 Phase 5: 12 Phase 6: 11 Phase 7: 18 Phase 8: 26 I was just talking to Will about this the other day...the thread he and Gibbs created about MJO phase vs. events. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I have no interest in out of season snows unless it occurs in autumn. Snow in July would make me sick. Now before you jump down my throat consider this: All of our years are limited. Loss of a summer at in your mid 60s is a big loss and one I'd rather not endure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 downsloping FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 downsloping FTW Should be a nice day today. Still have one last weenie pile in my neighbor's yard that doesn't see the light of day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Just sayin'.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Just sayin'.lol NAM still insistent on some snow, especially the higher interior spots predawn through 15z or so tomorrow. You can see on this map, the NAM pegs modest VV's and the 850-700 critical thickness line is way back over wrn mass and CT and 12z. It would be snow for you prior to this. Looks like it argues for an inch or two, especially up in nrn ORH and perhaps onto the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 NAM still insistent on some snow, especially the higher interior spots predawn through 15z or so tomorrow. You can see on this map, the NAM pegs modest VV's and the 850-700 critical thickness line is way back over wrn mass and CT and 12z. It would be snow for you prior to this. Looks like it argues for an inch or two, especially up in nrn ORH and perhaps onto the Berks. Yeah was just looking at that. Actually could come down at a good clip for a while too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Yeah was just looking at that. Actually could come down at a good clip for a while too. I could see flakes here as well, but not holding my breath on anything sticking. BTW, what was your total for the year down that way?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I could see flakes here as well, but not holding my breath on anything sticking. BTW, what was your total for the year down that way?? 35" There's maybe a couple garbage inches that aren't included but that's what I've measured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 NAM still insistent on some snow, especially the higher interior spots predawn through 15z or so tomorrow. You can see on this map, the NAM pegs modest VV's and the 850-700 critical thickness line is way back over wrn mass and CT and 12z. It would be snow for you prior to this. Looks like it argues for an inch or two, especially up in nrn ORH and perhaps onto the Berks. Cool, seems so far away. Hoping to add more to the year's take. Has it been cold there? Want to see my snowpack survive until my return. Any more snow in the offing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 35" There's maybe a couple garbage inches that aren't included but that's what I've measured. It's getting close to your turn of getting a CC crusher. The type that brings out the Raytoaster jpeg. Hopefully next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 It's getting close to your turn of getting a CC crusher. The type that brings out the Raytoaster jpeg. Hopefully next year. he'll get his when have a Cat 3 into Buzzard's Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 he'll get his when have a Cat 3 into Buzzard's Bay. You still promising that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Probably nothing more then non-accumulating ambiance snow here...but its another shot at seeing snow... and another shot to anger the spring lovers THERMAL PROFILES FAVOR A PERIOD OF SNOW LATESUNDAY NIGHT INTO THE START OF THE MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS THEINTERIOR. MIXED WET SNOW AND RAIN WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN ALONG THECOAST. DO NOTE ABOUT 5 TO 10 MICROBARS OF OMEGA EXTENDING INTO THEDENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER OCCURS SUGGESTINGLIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE SNOW POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CHANGEOVERTO ALL RAIN. HAVE CATEGORICAL POPS ADVERTISED ACROSS MUCH OF THEAREA MONDAY GIVEN STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION AND ISENTROPICLIFT...DIMINISHING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST DURING THE MIDAFTERNOON AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 You still promising that? wish I could...I'd rather have it over GON anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 I wish I had that natural facility for remembering specific dates of events like Will. That part of my brain I don't think actually exists. I wish I had the discipline to write the dates down along with the characteristic of the impact - that would be an alternative, but I am easily ad nauseated by the tedium of that. I can remember sometime in the mid to late 1980's there was an unpredicted 6-10" snow around Middlesex Co. in Mas. A warm frontal wave, much like what the 12z NAM has, did the trick. I seem to recall it being an early April thing, but I just went through the NCEP library and could find it. So who knows... could have been in Feb or March. But I know it did happen, and the antecedent conditions were similar. I'm looking over the 12z NAM and I see wonderful warm front depiction in the PP, and what is clearly some kind of weak wave developed on it ...escaping off the NE Coast.... Then, the warm air gets in later on... Kind of 2 events tucked into one there. This weak wave seems to assist some snow for central NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 wish I could...I'd rather have it over GON anyway. Well that's the town you locked in..lol. In any case, looking forward to another active season hopefully. Some of the ingredients seem in place, I guess the biggest wildcard is if an El Nino develops or do we just have weak to perhaps neutral SST base in the tropical Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Well that's the town you locked in..lol. In any case, looking forward to another active season hopefully. Some of the ingredients seem in place, I guess the biggest wildcard is if an El Nino develops or do we just have weak to perhaps neutral SST base in the tropical Pacific. haha....what am I Kevin or Bastardi now? There are a significant number of members forecasting moderate El Nino by August which is a bit disconcerting. MSLP and precip probability look good for the Atlantic for the first part of the season at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 haha....what am I Kevin or Bastardi now? There are a significant number of members forecasting moderate El Nino by August which is a bit disconcerting. MSLP and precip probability look good for the Atlantic for the first part of the season at least. I haven't looked at those in a while, but wow that's pretty bullish. Hmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Is it possible for ENSO to be weak anymore...Jesus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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