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Late Season SVR Threat (Nov 30th - Dec 1st)


WeatherNC

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Amazing.... just checked my obs and I now sit with a temp of 64 with a dp of 59. An hour ago I was at 55/49, and two hours ago I was at 48/42. The warm front means business! Winds have also swung around to the south sustained at 10 mph.

The sun is now out in the CLT area as well.

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Still at 46/45 here!!!

Amazing.... just checked my obs and I now sit with a temp of 64 with a dp of 59. An hour ago I was at 55/49, and two hours ago I was at 48/42. The warm front means business! Winds have also swung around to the south sustained at 10 mph.

The sun is now out in the CLT area as well.

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I'm 59 now. Temp rising fast. Its not often I get to feel such an abrupt change going from cold to warm like this..but its pretty neat.

I am at 72 already my forecast high is 70. lol are there any good FREE weather notifications that call you when there is a tornado warning? im in rockingham nc (central) and i think i gonna need that for tonight.

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Solid line of severe warned storms west of me now- was thinking of chasing but any tornadoes are likely to be rain/wrapped QLCS type things, so will sit home and await the arrival of the line- 40-50 mph winds at least seem likely...

Seems to be slowing down???

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New mcd from the spc includes most of GA, the upstate of SC and southern foothills of NC...

mcd2099.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2099

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1217 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NRN GA...WRN SC...WRN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 758...

VALID 301817Z - 302015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 758 CONTINUES.

CONDITIONS ARE BEING MONITORED DOWNSTREAM OF WW 758 WHERE LOW LEVEL

MOISTENING AND DESTABILIZATION IS OCCURRING. NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE

REQUIRED BEFORE 20Z.

SURFACE WEDGE FRONT OVER NORTHERN GA/WESTERN CAROLINAS IS SLOWLY

RETREATING INTO THE MOUNTAINS...ALLOWING MOIST AND MARGINALLY

UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO EXPAND NORTHWARD AS WELL.

MEANWHILE...PRE-FRONTAL QLCS HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD INTO WESTERN GA

AND SOUTHEAST AL...AND CONTINUES TO RESULT IN OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED

MESOCYCLONES AND ASSOCIATED THREAT OF WIND DAMAGE/TORNADOES.

STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WINDS WITH TIME IN VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY

WILL MAINTAIN THAT RISK AS STORMS SPREAD EASTWARD THROUGH THE

AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THIS

AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN GA/WESTERN SC...WHICH MAY ALSO SUPPORT

ISOLATED DISCRETE CELLS IN THE WARM SECTOR. WW 758 EXPIRES AT

20Z...AND NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED BEFORE THAT TIME TO EXTEND

RISK EASTWARD.

..HART.. 11/30/2010

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I am at 72 already my forecast high is 70. lol are there any good FREE weather notifications that call you when there is a tornado warning? im in rockingham nc (central) and i think i gonna need that for tonight.

TWC has a free text service (and a pay voice service). I haven't tried it yet--but just signed up for tonight. Seems to give you warnings based on Zip Code.

https://registration.../alerts/manage?

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Tornado on the ground... Troy University in the path

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL

1227 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010

ALC011-109-301900-

/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0085.000000T0000Z-101130T1900Z/

PIKE AL-BULLOCK AL-

1227 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BULLOCK AND CENTRAL PIKE

COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CST...

AT 1226 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS REPORTED...PRODUCING. THIS TORNADO

WAS LOCATED NEAR TROY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

TROY...TROY UNIVERSITY...TROY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT AND ANTIOCH AROUND

1235 PM CST.

BANKS AROUND 1240 PM CST.

LINWOOD AROUND 1250 PM CST.

BEANS CROSSROADS AROUND 1255 PM CST.

INVERNESS AND 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ABERFOIL AROUND 100 PM CST.

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Or a possible one near Troy University...

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL

1232 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010

ALC011-109-301900-

/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0085.000000T0000Z-101130T1900Z/

PIKE AL-BULLOCK AL-

1232 PM CST TUE NOV 30 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BULLOCK AND CENTRAL PIKE

COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CST...

AT 1230 PM CST...A POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS INDICATED BY RADAR. THIS

TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TROY UNIVERSITY...OR NEAR TROY...MOVING

NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

BANKS AROUND 1240 PM CST.

LINWOOD AROUND 1250 PM CST.

BEANS CROSSROADS AROUND 1255 PM CST.

INVERNESS AND 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ABERFOIL AROUND 100 PM CST.

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Wind is picking up here, since about 11am... Several confirmed leaf-twisters imby over the past hour, quick spin-ups in the SE flow gusting close to 25mph at times. Kind of odd in that I do not recall seeing little "whirl-winds" with such frequency before, almost every good gust spins them up, all over the yard. Partly to mostly cloudy conditions, sun is making appearances between the large cumulus that are passing through. SPC backed off on the wording slightly in the afternoon update, referencing more of a pre-frontal convective band vs discrete cells ahead of the front. 12z WRF agrees and pops this over SC at 0z, band breaks up after that and forms a couple discrete cells working into central NC. Feel the action may be west and south-west of here, from a CAE to RWI line, and to the left of that.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/hiresw/12/model_l.shtml

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