CoastalWx Posted April 3, 2011 Share Posted April 3, 2011 Oh nice! I didn't look at the 0z euro. It still probably means nothing for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 3, 2011 Author Share Posted April 3, 2011 It still probably means nothing for most. Even if the front were to come through in the afternoon I'm not really sure that would change anything. The only thing it would do is give us a chance to see some stronger solar heating and warmer temperatures so we'd see steeper low level lapse rates which could help with the threat for some strong wind gusts. This convection though (up at least up our way) was always going to be more dependent on dynamics/lift anyways...not much in the way from sfc instability. The dynamics/lift are there and mid-level lapse rates are fairly steep so perhaps we still get a fine line of forced convection with some thunder/lightning...I know that's nothing impressive but it's still fun. Better chance at severe will be down across the mid-Atlantic towards the coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 Tomorrow morning could be fun with thunder/lightning! There will be an inversion from hell so I don't think we'll see much in the way of convective winds. Models are indicating a good deal of elevated instability though with TT"s getting above 50, KI getting into the lower 30's, SI dropping just below zero, even the LI gets fairly close to zero indicating there could be some very weak sfc instability. The dynamical support will be there and there will be some very strong lift. There could be a nice fine line of convection with some good lightning and a few loud booms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 we may end up getting a couple thunderstorms today. There's lightning in those cells near Hunter, NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Wiz., check this out. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 EUro has a major torch on Monday with a possible t-storm/servere outbreak late in the day /at night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tstorm723 Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 EUro has a major torch on Monday with a possible t-storm/servere outbreak late in the day /at night Bring it on baby! Had a good storm earlier this afternoon. Maybe this will end up being a decent early season? Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 EUro has a major torch on Monday with a possible t-storm/servere outbreak late in the day /at night :axe: I hate all aspects of this post...(not the poster, just the 3 things - Torch, t-storm.severe, at night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 Wiz., check this out. lol SICK! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 EUro has a major torch on Monday with a possible t-storm/servere outbreak late in the day /at night Not anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Not anymore. We're more likely to get accumulating snow in October than a severe wx event in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 We're more likely to get accumulating snow in October than a severe wx event in April. What a horrible time of year. Last year it was welcomed after that the debacle of a winter. This year it's like coming down from a high and now there's nothing to look forward to. Perhaps we can try and muster up an interesting summer wx wise.....well interesting by SNE standards, anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 What a horrible time of year. Last year it was welcomed after that the debacle of a winter. This year it's like coming down from a high and now there's nothing to look forward to. Perhaps we can try and muster up an interesting summer wx wise.....well interesting by SNE standards, anyways. a little humidity and mid 80s... wow... what a great thing to experience At least last year had nasty highs in triple digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 This thread is a complete fail... I see nothing to make me confident in any storms really... Really looks like showers and garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 Very impressive squall line down to our SW. Severe thunderstorm watch issued for a large chunk of NJ. It will be interesting to see whether or not the northern extent of that line can develop more. Mid level lapse rates are fairly steep, up around 6.5 C/KM and there is a good deal of dynamics in place. Based on where the line is located seems like it's getting a good deal of support from the nose of the LLJ, especially more towards the extent of the northern portion of the line. The line may also be getting support from the right entrance region of a very potent ULJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 My God it must be awesome living in the SE right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Seems like the rumbles I had yesterday afternoon are the best I'm going to see (check that: hear). Mild start to the day, 43.0/42. Foggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 50s and humid when I left this morning. Short sleeves FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 How about those Uconn Huskies!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 How about those Uconn Huskies!!!! Oh shut up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 How about those Uconn Huskies!!!! Why do you like them, again?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Why do you like them, again?? I live 10 minutes from campus..and have been following them since the late 80's..When I got into high school I became a huge college hoops fan. The best part is Wiz has nothing to say and can't even offer a congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 Why do you like them, again?? b/c they've been good the past decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 I live 10 minutes from campus..and have been following them since the late 80's..When I got into high school I became a huge college hoops fan. The best part is Wiz has nothing to say and can't even offer a congrats I'll offer a congrats to the team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 Getting an increase in lightning in the portion of the line over SE PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 I live 10 minutes from campus..and have been following them since the late 80's..When I got into high school I became a huge college hoops fan. The best part is Wiz has nothing to say and can't even offer a congrats Well congrats on the win. I could care less about NCAA, but I know you love them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted April 5, 2011 Share Posted April 5, 2011 Well congrats on the win. I could care less about NCAA, but I know you love them. One of the worst nat'l championship games I've ever watched. Both teams should have lost. 20 points a piece at half? Defense my azz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted April 5, 2011 Author Share Posted April 5, 2011 One of the worst nat'l championship games I've ever watched. Both teams should have lost. 20 points a piece at half? Defense my azz. Is that line going to increase any at the northern edge? Am I going to see anything today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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