Weathergun Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Hopefully, we don't get too much cloud debris tomorrow from the t-storms over the Midwest. That would put a lid on the warmth. We have a waste of good dynamics with the cold front Tuesday am. An 80kt LLJ with steep mid-level lapse rates. Enough for showers and t-storms with some heavy rains and gusty winds. But no CAPE for severe wx. I would also think with La Nina we do better we severe wx with systems still progressive across the country and strong SE ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I wonder where the U/A ridge is??? lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 0z euro has mist for most of the day. If we get any sun to poke thru in afternoon, We should easily make 70 degrees, with 850 temps of 15 degrees+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 Cloud cover is streaming northeast ahead of the warm front..looks like the convective debris is to our north. But it should be interesting to see what time we break through the clouds. This is going to be a close call for northern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Cloud cover is streaming northeast ahead of the warm front..looks like the convective debris is to our north. But it should be interesting to see what time we break through the clouds. This is going to be a close call for northern areas. I hate to be the bearer of bad news for your northern friends, but it's 38.9°F here in NEPA this morning and we're socked under full clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 I hate to be the bearer of bad news for your northern friends, but it's 38.9°F here in NEPA this morning and we're socked under full clouds. The beginning of these days can often seem as if they have no hope to clear. Believe me, it most likely will with the warm sector broadening and the warm front pushing north. Will definitely take longer the further north you go, hence the gradient this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I didn't wear a jacket today. It better warm up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 I didn't wear a jacket today. It better warm up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Its cold out. I did not bring a hoodie to work. What the hell earthlight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 It looks like the breaks will eventually show up mainly south of 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 Its cold out. I did not bring a hoodie to work. What the hell earthlight 50 degrees at 9am is not cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 The thinner clouds and breaks in the clouds are advancing pretty well now into Central PA..good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 where is the warmth? it was supposed to torch? 70 looks untouchable now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 where is the warmth? it was supposed to torch? 70 looks untouchable now. give it a few hours...already seeing mid/upper 60s across SW PA and adjacent WV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 0z euro cloud cover. This is 2pm today. Clouds try to thin out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 0z euro cloud cover. This is 2pm today. Clouds try to thin out. that might work for earthlight, but not the city on north, especially near the water, its still only early april so after 2pm its going to be difficult to heat up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 give it a few hours...already seeing mid/upper 60s across SW PA and adjacent WV. Yeah, at 9am. This is a broad warm sector for this time of year...I'm still riding on the train for impressive warm at least to NYC's latitude today as I have been for 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 The cloud debris streaming along the warm front are already gaining latitude as the warm front pushes northward this morning. This is a good sign for a very warm day this afternoon under even a bit of clearing and sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion -- 13Z ENHANCED SHORT TERM FORECAST UPDATE /ESTF/ HAS ADJUSTED TEMP HOURLY DATA WARMER IN DELAWARE ALL DAY AS TEMPS ARE NOW WARMING RAPIDLY THERE AS OF 9AM. ZONES WILL UPDATE AROUND 1030 AM WITH TEMPS WARMER BY 5F THERE. INCREASED GUSTS IN S DEL THIS MORNING PRIOR TO THE WIND ADVY TIME FRAME. INCREASING SUNSHINE IS AT HAND FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. BOTH THE 12Z KIAD AND KAPG SOUNDINGS JUST TO OUR SW ARE VERY DRY ABOVE THE SFC AS ARE THE 13Z ELEVATED METAR SITES IN WVA AND WESTERN VA. ITS ALSO VERY VERY DRY WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MIXED LAYER BELOW 5000 FT...AND EVEN BELOW 2500 FT OF ONLY 36! MIDDAY MIXING IS GOING TO DRILL DOWN THOSE DEWPOINTS IN DEL EMD AND EVEN NJ/SE PA AND AM CONCERNED ABOUT RED FLAG WARNING. IAD OFFERS A FULL SS MAX OF 81 AND ABERDEEN MD STILL ONLY 71 BUT THINK STRONG WAA WILL DRILL THOSE ABERDEEN MD SOUNDING RESULTS HIGHER IN THE REGION S OF TTN THIS AFTN! HAVE CONSULTED WITH MOST STATE FORESTRY OFFICIALS AND WILL EITHER AN SPS FOR ENHANCED FIRE DANGER AT 1115 AM OR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE REGION FROM PHL WRI-NEL SOUTHWARD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'm really hoping for a beautiful afternoon. Just got engaged on Friday night and I'm looking forward to possibly taking the fiance on a nice ride with the top down tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 I'm really hoping for a beautiful afternoon. Just got engaged on Friday night and I'm looking forward to possibly taking the fiance on a nice ride with the top down tonight. congrats!!! sun starting to come out in midtown, up up we go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 congrats!!! sun starting to come out in midtown, up up we go! thanks and skies are starting to brighten up here in Ramsey but its still overcast as of noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Slowly getting there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 4, 2011 Author Share Posted April 4, 2011 here we go..temp is rising at a good pace. clearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 here we go..temp is rising at a good pace. clearing. I ate lunch outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Up to 55 in central park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 65 and sunny with southerlies in Villanova. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 65 and sunny with southerlies in Villanova. Wow ur lucky. Been fighting clouds here in Holmdel. Don't think we see 70 Today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Wow ur lucky. Been fighting clouds here in Holmdel. Don't think we see 70 Today 66 and climbing in Princeton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted April 4, 2011 Share Posted April 4, 2011 Cloudy in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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