wxmx Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Normally it seems like we see annulars further out into the pacific, headed towards the CPAC. This year's quasis have been closer to MX it seems. I just checked Maue's page...they're up to almost 45 ACE now. No long trackers are really ruining some of the potential, though. -PDO ... other than relatively close to MX, the basin is going to be dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 -PDO ... other than relatively close to MX, the basin is going to be dead. it's okay. this is the worst basin anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Made it to 120kt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman22 Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 Wow!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 3, 2011 Author Share Posted August 3, 2011 For posterity, here's a shot of Eugene at its current (120-kt) intensity. How sad that these sorts of cyclones are spinning out into the open EPAC while we sit and microanalyze crap like Emily on the other side. I am literally embarrassed for the NATL so far. It'll change-- it's only 03 Aug-- but the first five NATL "cyclones" have been a Hall o' Shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 The EPac is trying to make up for last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted August 3, 2011 Share Posted August 3, 2011 i think it's peaking now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gil888 Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 great year for the epac with lots of quality. If the Atlantic eventually turns active, you might expect this basin to quiet down some-- we shall see! Pretty to watch, that's for sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 4, 2011 Share Posted August 4, 2011 Eastpac is kicking names and tacking ass this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 4, 2011 Author Share Posted August 4, 2011 Weakening (now down to 110 kt)-- but still shapely and hawt: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 5, 2011 Author Share Posted August 5, 2011 Down to 75 kt this evening and decaying rapidly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 6, 2011 Share Posted August 6, 2011 Kind of odd to see the last advisory declared despite being a 35kt system when dissipated due to spinning down over colder waters. Can't remember any other recent system at least being declared dead with tropical storm force sustain winds without becoming an extratropical cyclone system or losing it's low level circulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 6, 2011 Author Share Posted August 6, 2011 Kind of odd to see the last advisory declared despite being a 35kt system when dissipated due to spinning down over colder waters. Can't remember any other recent system at least being declared dead with tropical storm force sustain winds without becoming an extratropical cyclone system or losing it's low level circulation It does seem kind of abrupt. The EPAC gets a ton of action that doesn't affect anyone, so I guess it makes sense from an advisory perspective, although I wonder if they'll continue to track the system for the best-track database-- just so the cyclone's lifecycle is complete in the records. I would assume so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan88 Posted August 7, 2011 Share Posted August 7, 2011 Last couple updates have still shown it producing 35kt winds 1. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF EUGENE...LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...IS STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL- STORM-FORCE WINDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT... OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. IR finally looks like it is dying though, with very little if any convection at the moment. However much of yesterday afternoon and evening looked better than when they declared it dead, thanks to a temporary increase in convection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 7, 2011 Author Share Posted August 7, 2011 How ghastly-- like a dead body still writing after the head has been cut off. In other EPAC news... I liken the convection S of the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 13, 2011 Author Share Posted August 13, 2011 There are a couple of fruits in the EPAC right now-- a mandarin and a lemon-- but who cares, really? They're both destined to be fish and we're now getting into peak season for the NATL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted August 13, 2011 Share Posted August 13, 2011 98E has the chance, if it develops, to make it to the Central Pacific as the first hurricane there since 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 14, 2011 Author Share Posted August 14, 2011 Cherry waaaaay out in the EPAC tonight. Whatevz. Like tmagan says, maybe it can make itself interesting in the CPAC. Also a lemon S of Acapulco. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gil888 Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 Seems like we are likely to get two storms in the next few days out there-- perhaps it is the burst of activity there right before the Atlantic tropics heat up-- no more of this high latitude junk please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 Seems like we are likely to get two storms in the next few days out there-- perhaps it is the burst of activity there right before the Atlantic tropics heat up-- no more of this high latitude junk please Agreed! I can't take it anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 There's a new lemon tonight-- near the Gulf of Tehuantepec. There's lots of convection associated with it, and it looks a tad interestin'. There are also a couple of other fruits way out in the ocean-- a cherry and a lemon-- but they're boring, so I won't discuss them: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 There's a new lemon tonight-- near the Gulf of Tehuantepec. There's lots of convection associated with it, and it looks a tad interestin'. There are also a couple of other fruits way out in the ocean-- a cherry and a lemon-- but they're boring, so I won't discuss them: Your new lemon is pretty boring, too. Fish storm likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 Invest 99E is mildly interestin'. It's got a noice shape on IR imagery this afternoon, the SHIPS brings it up to a 'cane by Day 3, and early model guidance suggests it's not an autofish. I'll keep an eye on it for y'all: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 15, 2011 Author Share Posted August 15, 2011 Your new lemon is pretty boring, too. Fish storm likely. You think? See my helpful overview, above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted August 15, 2011 Share Posted August 15, 2011 You think? See my helpful overview, above. Thank you for making me aware of the model graphics. Do you have a link where I can see these "models?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Get a room Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 16, 2011 Author Share Posted August 16, 2011 Get a room Get hep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toad strangler Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Am I out of line in my personal thoughts that this basin is just flat out BORING? Yeah, I know some of you die hard tropical dudes get a chubby watching some real nice meat fly off to ice cold water and it is cool to track and drool over images at peak ,but, come on man These EPAC systems make Cape Verde versions look like sure shot Terra firma! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted August 16, 2011 Author Share Posted August 16, 2011 Am I out of line in my personal thoughts that this basin is just flat out BORING? Yeah, I know some of you die hard tropical dudes get a chubby watching some real nice meat fly off to ice cold water and it is cool to track and drool over images at peak ,but, come on man These EPAC systems make Cape Verde versions look like sure shot Terra firma! You better hush up. The fish aspect is boring, but there are usually one or two hurricane landfalls a year on this side, and occasionally-- especially in October-- they can be very severe (Cat 4 or even Cat 5). This aside... Since I live in CA, this is kind of like my backyard, so that makes it a little more interesting to me, personally. I chased a really decent, 90-kt Cat 2 on the Baja Peninsula in 2009-- Jimena-- and it was a cool chase. So there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted August 16, 2011 Share Posted August 16, 2011 Maybe a lil Hawaii action? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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