HurricaneJosh Posted July 6, 2011 Author Share Posted July 6, 2011 50%. Woo! 70%. Woo hoo! Cherry time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted July 6, 2011 Author Share Posted July 6, 2011 The models are still mostly fishing this, but-- surprise, surprise!-- the GFDL and HWRF bring it more poleward. (Ring a bell? ) The SHIPS peaks this at ~55 kt. Nothing too exciting-- but a bit more bullish than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted July 6, 2011 Share Posted July 6, 2011 The GFDL and HWRF tracks are so predictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted July 6, 2011 Author Share Posted July 6, 2011 The GFDL and HWRF tracks are so predictable. Last time they were right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Last time they were right. <img src='http://208.71.34.143/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/sun.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' /> LC was right about no landfalls last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted July 7, 2011 Author Share Posted July 7, 2011 LC was right about no landfalls last year. Stop trolling da tacocane thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 DMAX should bring 03E by morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 DMAX should bring 03E by morning... Models were right about the forward speed. It's really only got 48 hrs or so before it moves over cooler water west of 115W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted July 7, 2011 Author Share Posted July 7, 2011 Models were right about the forward speed. It's really only got 48 hrs or so before it moves over cooler water west of 115W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 how cute...josh's first meme ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted July 7, 2011 Author Share Posted July 7, 2011 how cute...josh's first meme ever I have a right to meme with y'all if I please. And Adam has angered me lately with his blatant disrespect for our basins here at home. The meme diss was appropriate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 I have a right to meme with y'all if I please. And Adam has angered me lately with his blatant disrespect for our basins here at home. The meme diss was appropriate. Pffft. You guys are in cahoots dis’n Carla... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted July 7, 2011 Author Share Posted July 7, 2011 Pffft. You guys are in cahoots dis’n Carla... We might even give a presentation about that... he he he. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 I have a right to meme with y'all if I please. And Adam has angered me lately with his blatant disrespect for our basins here at home. The meme diss was appropriate. Wake me when a real storm pops up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 We might even give a presentation about that... he he he. Bill Read will be ready...where's Strat when I need him... Wake me when a real storm pops up. It won't be along the MA during conference... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Convection is displaced northwest of center. All it needs is tower to go up near the center and I think we'll have TD 3E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Near 100% at 5a PDT. We'll have TD 3 some time today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 BEGIN NHC_ATCF invest_RENUMBER_ep932011_ep032011.ren FSTDA R U 040 010 0000 201107071252 NONE NOTIFY=ATRP END Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
k*** Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 It looks pretty decent. I'd love to see something like that in the caribbean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 Yeah, it looks better than that sheared crap in the SE Gulf... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 It looks pretty decent. I'd love to see something like that in the caribbean. Not anytime soon, if I had to guess. August, probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted July 7, 2011 Share Posted July 7, 2011 GFDL says close call on being Calvin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted July 7, 2011 Author Share Posted July 7, 2011 TD 3E has formed. It'll stay below 'cane strength and fish. Next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Avila was a bit hesitant to pull the trigger last Advisory. I suspect the next one will bring TS Calvin. How strong will be the question... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Avila was a bit hesitant to pull the trigger last Advisory. I suspect the next one will bring TS Calvin. How strong will be the question... 40 kts, most likely. TAFB was T3.0 and SSD was T2.5 at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 We have TS Calvin!! EP, 03, 2011070800, , BEST, 0, 158N, 1037W, 35, 1003, TS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted July 8, 2011 Author Share Posted July 8, 2011 It'll peak at 55 kt, as per the Discussion. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 Forecast, almost a cane before cold water and death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 I'm thinking NHC might have to revise their forecast intensity significantly upwards in the next package. First light visible suggests a well embedded llc and hints of a formative eyewall. Would love to see microwave, although there haven't been any passes recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted July 8, 2011 Share Posted July 8, 2011 LOL... this will soon be Hurricane Calvin. Might be time to update the subtitle Josh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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