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Tulip Trouncer 5........The Comeback


Mr Torchey

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GFS tracks it near ACK, its a pretty cold run, but also drier than its 12z run. It does have the commahead exploding over SNE during the overnight hours...it will be a close call that is probably a nowcast thing.

This has nowcast written all over it. I'm excited to see what happens...fail or no fail. Fingers crossed though.

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This has nowcast written all over it. I'm excited to see what happens...fail or no fail. Fingers crossed though.

Yeah I think this storm probably has a few tricks up its sleeve. We probably won't see the huge 18"+ potential that we had a day ago (except maybe for some lucky spots in Maine), but it should be a fun event to track. Hopefully we get a nice commahead going tonight.

Its funny how I never really even considered getting into the commahead, but now we can given the SE trend.

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Yeah I think this storm probably has a few tricks up its sleeve. We probably won't see the huge 18"+ potential that we had a day ago (except maybe for some lucky spots in Maine), but it should be a fun event to track. Hopefully we get a nice commahead going tonight.

Its funny how I never really even considered getting into the commahead, but now we can given the SE trend.

I really don't know how I don't have a WSW here.. the Nam beefing up on 18z is really telling IMO.. also the NMM and ARW hammer SE NH, SW ME.. not to vouch for MOBY, but I really think a deform band will set up somewhere from extreme N ma to CON..

Will What are your opinions on deform band and could this overperform?

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Sorry for off topic

On tarmac at lga...why groindstop at logan? Not snowing hard? Thx

There is a ground-stop for all arrivals until at least 6:30 PM EST due to low clouds. The winds and low visibility are forcing BOS to use instrument approaches and potentially some less-than-favorable runway conditions. Combine that with peak arrival timing and you have your ground stop. It's not because of the upcoming storm.

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This has nowcast written all over it. I'm excited to see what happens...fail or no fail. Fingers crossed though.

Thanks Scott. Was starting to feel like I was on ignore because I've never met you guys / not involved in the bickering.

The toaster talk that ended thread IV was definitely premature. I think we've been riding the Euro / Euro ensembles hard (it has been the most consistent model until 12z), so when it drops an egg it hurts. I hate to bring this down to nowcast, but have yet to see a consensus model solution. Definitely confusing among the worst modeled storm this season.

AWT... nowcast because literally within 12hrs of showtime no model consistency apparent

we should be glad this has trended earlier and heavier qpf will begin overnight, ballistic commahead stuff over eastern SNE on NAM/GFS/RGEM looks like early AM

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