Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Tulip Trouncer 5........The Comeback


Mr Torchey

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Why isn't the dewpoint rising if you're getting evaporational cooling? You can't have cold air advection on a due east wind off the water, can you?

Similar temp drops in SEPA yesterday and coastal NJ and LI today. Latent heat of melting. Probably some vertical mixing as well.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Moderate snow 34/33 here on the Bay in Rhode Island. I can't believe NW RI doesn't have an advisory or even a warning. I would expect advisory for all of RI and Winter storm warning for Providence County and Western Kent. It is coming down and it will occur during the overnight hours, ie 1997 redux.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ncep diagnostic final....preference was the euro

...CYCLONE LIFTING UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD DAY 1...

 

PREFERENCE: ECMWF

 

ALL THE SHORT RANGE MODELS HAVE TRENDED OFFSHORE WITH THIS

SYSTEM...WITH A MORE STRUNG OUT SHORTWAVE TRAIN WHICH DELAYS THE

RAPID DEEPENING STAGE UNTIL THE LOW PASSES CAPE COD.  THE LATEST

ECMWF SEEMS TO HAVE THE SMOOTHEST TRANSFERS OF ENERGY...AND SHOULD

AFFORD THE BEST GUIDANCE. INTERESTINGLY...THIS MORE OFFSHORE

SOLUTION WAS THE PREDOMINATE ONE OUT AT DAY 5...AND AS OFTEN

HAPPENS...THE DAY 3 CONSENSUS WAS THE ODD GROUPING OUT...MOST

LIKELY OWING TO THE SPARSE DATA SAMPLING OF THE CRITICAL ENERGY

OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC AT THAT TIME.

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NAM gives me like 11"...

I'm concerned that I'm @ 36.4\31.....that implies that my WB is like 34*

It can probably get lower than that. We had drier dewpoint advection here a while ago, when we fell like 3 or 4 degrees without the dewpoint rising.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

NAM gives me like 11"...

I'm concerned that I'm @ 36.4\31.....that implies that my WB is like 34*

But it's much cooler just aloft. While your WB might be 34, aloft the WB is probably 26 or so. That cold might make it's way to the surface and the overall column will cool as well. That's usually how it works.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...