CT Rain Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 You get about that. It has me around 0.65-0.70. But I don't like the lack of the big omega bomb. So it would be snow that takes longer to accumulate. It's also warmer at mid levels. You def flirt with 0c at 850 now which is a lot toastier than previous Euro runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Dare we say: Happy April Fool's Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 It's over. Congrats noone. fail me..fail everyone No, chrome dome. I win. I already collected five bucks from my coworker, who has made his concession speech prior to the first drop. Zeus wins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Can someone recap Kevin's calls over the last 48 hours? I believe we've gone from 1-2 feet down to 1-2 inches. Lol. I guess this wasn't the streak breaker but in fairness the models are really horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 You get about that. It has me around 0.65-0.70. But I don't like the lack of the big omega bomb. So it would be snow that takes longer to accumulate. I still think I'd pull like 3" of slop. I'll take it....I can deal with this over Dec 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Can someone recap Kevin's calls over the last 48 hours? I believe we've gone from 1-2 feet down to 1-2 inches. do people actually listen to him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Can someone recap Kevin's calls over the last 48 hours? I believe we've gone from 1-2 feet down to 1-2 inches. I think he's 0 for March.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I wouldn't be 100% resigned to that, but.... The models this morning started looking somewhat disorganized with everything. Who knows what will happen, but that's not a nice sign to see the euro like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 48 hour QPF...1" goes from BML to CON to EWB...0.5" goes BTV to BAF to ISP. Haha, I'd take 0.5" QPF and run at this point... wow these 12z runs have been awful. The afternoon packages from the NWS should be good. Winter Storm warnings all the way to central NY state? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I still think it pull like 3" of slop. I'll take it....I can deal with this over Dec 1996. Yeah verbatim you get probably a few inches of slop this run. Its pretty close to bombing E MA, its just a shade late so we'll see how things look as the afternoon progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Haha, I'd take 0.5" QPF and run at this point... wow these 12z runs have been awful. The afternoon packages from the NWS should be good. Winter Storm warnings all the way to central NY state? oops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 You stupid bitches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Sam--you might want to delete the map you recently posted. Alas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I think he's 0 for March.... You definitely seem to be picking a fight here, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I still think I'd pull like 3" of slop. I'll take it....I can deal with this over Dec 1996. maybe 3.5! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 If we didn't have such an awesome late Dec and January this wouldn't be as funny as it really is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Skimrg there's your can of woop ass Gfs is a horrible model suffering from a horrible feedback issue originating in the carolinas almost at init. This one has looked like toast for six hours and now the king has ruled LOL, typically I'd be bummed but today I just don't care. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I really wish I could see the EURO QPF map right now on paper... my source isn't ready for like an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yeah verbatim you get probably a few inches of slop this run. Its pretty close to bombing E MA, its just a shade late so we'll see how things look as the afternoon progresses. Probably a nowcast event, but could very well be a suicide watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 no one lives in your area so who cares You've never understood the bb dynamic have you. Just an angry guy in Fairfield, CT. Enjoy the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I TOLD YOU SO.... It was the 30 hour overtrend... I'm writing a meteorogical paper.. I don't care. There is always a trend that corrects within 30 hrs. I think it's just more the sampling of the kicker. In pretty much convinced of it now...so is ncep. INTERESTINGLY...THIS MORE OFFSHORE SOLUTION WAS THE PREDOMINATE ONE OUT AT DAY 5...AND AS OFTEN HAPPENS...THE DAY 3 CONSENSUS WAS THE ODD GROUPING OUT...MOST LIKELY OWING TO THE SPARSE DATA SAMPLING OF THE CRITICAL ENERGY OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 You definitely seem to be picking a fight here, lol. He's about to get suspended actually....almost all of his posts are troll posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 were good...we get pounded...although I wouldn't want to be any further south than I am. Yeah, 1.25" of cement on the way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yeah verbatim you get probably a few inches of slop this run. Its pretty close to bombing E MA, its just a shade late so we'll see how things look as the afternoon progresses. Yea, I'd bet against it, but not out of the realm of possibility that we see it get going a hair quicker than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I think it's just more the sampling of the kicker. In pretty much convinced of it now...so is ncep. INTERESTINGLY...THIS MORE OFFSHORE SOLUTION WAS THE PREDOMINATE ONE OUT AT DAY 5...AND AS OFTEN HAPPENS...THE DAY 3 CONSENSUS WAS THE ODD GROUPING OUT...MOST LIKELY OWING TO THE SPARSE DATA SAMPLING OF THE CRITICAL ENERGY OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC. It's amazing how often we go from great consensus in the 60-72 hour period only to have the storm go to crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 LOL, typically I'd be bummed but today I just don't care. I know and I'm not knocking...just pointing out that's what I meant. Had a feeling the euro wouldn't have the gfs feedback issue. Big dud. Scott, but look where it's heading. It's slipping east and later. Given the 45 day history what is the chance it stops shifting right now? Slim imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Trying to draw up my map here... What's the QPF look like for VT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 oops Yeah this is definitely no better than Advisory level snow across pretty much all of BTV's zones except maybe far eastern along the NH border. Plus, this time of year after a snowy winter, it doesn't make sense to keep a warning up. People see Warning and expect at least a foot... maybe it would cut it if this was November, but I lowered my operational forecast for the ski resort to 3-6" which is really just another day at the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Well guys, I hope things trend a little better later today, and I hope you all get some snow. Tough pill to swallow only because this maybe it even up there, hope it trends better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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