HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 lack of heavy precip, tough to get any dynamical cooling with that nam run Yeah, the entire Ct River Valley will have a lovely 35 degree drizzle if the nam verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Ouch the NAM is awful Akin to the crappy solution like last week. Disconnected disjointed but it was right a week ago doing the same thing. Time to wait it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I feel bad for southern NE, but the NAM is amazing for Maine Heavy amounts of total annihilation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I feel bad for southern NE, but the NAM is amazing for Maine Some parts of southern New England had over five feet of snow in a month, and over six feet in a six week period. There's no reason to feel bad for us. I'd take a foot per week for six weeks even if the rest of the winter was torch city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Akin to the crappy solution like last week. Disconnected disjointed but it was right a week ago doing the same thing. Time to wait it out Yeah real disjointed. The problem is going to be still the mid level lows are tracking awfully far west which warms things up too much across a lot of SNE. I think the areas closest to the mid level low track (Litchfield Co and the Berkshires) will do best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 There has been a lot of convection down along the Gulf Coast and Florida over the past 24 hours... not uncommon for convection to rob moisture transport further north. Hopefully this thing can at least get some of those good H85 u-wind anomalies into the interior if there's any hope for some of the large QPF progs from the past couple of days. If the greatest low level jet velocities skirt the coastline and move up into Maine, it'll be difficult to get that 1" of QPF back into ALB and BTV like some models were previously showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Huge smokejob just away from coast in ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Heavy amounts of total annihilation. Saddleback and Sugarloaf will be the place to ski this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Stick a big fork in this one folks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I think it's garbage, to be perfectly honest certainly could be. i was more just commenting on the run itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Some parts of southern New England had over five feet of snow in a month, and over six feet in a six week period. There's no reason to feel bad for us. I'd take a foot per week for six weeks even if the rest of the winter was torch city. How about averaging a foot per week all winter long? 190" so far this season outside my office at 1,500ft. That's a foot per week for 16 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 certainly could be. i was more just commenting on the run itself. it hasn't had a good handle on the situation whatsoever for the past 3-4 days...and most of the winter for that matter lol. It initialized the southern shortwave incorrectly as I alluded to earlier. The Euro and it's ensembles are colder..and so was the 06z GFS...i'd go with that over the NAM any day of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Saddleback and Sugarloaf will be the place to ski this weekend. Yeah the Maine ski areas are going to clean up... no doubt about that one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 How about averaging a foot per week all winter long? 190" so far this season outside my office at 1,500ft. That's a foot per week for 16 weeks. Slant sticker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yeah the Maine ski areas are going to clean up... no doubt about that one! carrabassett valley is the place for april skiing. (yes, stowe too) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 LOL LOL BOX SNOWFALL MAP NOW SAYS NO SIG SNOWFALL FORECASTED ACROSS THE WHOLE AREA WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ISSUED FOR THE LOWER CT VALLEY FOR THREE TO FIVE INCHES AND NOW THE NAM IS EAST BUT THERE IS NO BIG STORM I THINK I WOULD SHOOT MYSELF IF I HAD TO FORECAST THIS STORM AS PART OF MY JOB LOL LOL TO HOW THIS WHOLE THING HAS UNFOLDED THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND IF THE NAM IS RIGHT IT IS THE PERFECT FU TO EVERYONE EXCEPT PARTS OF MAINE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yeah real disjointed. The problem is going to be still the mid level lows are tracking awfully far west which warms things up too much across a lot of SNE. I think the areas closest to the mid level low track (Litchfield Co and the Berkshires) will do best. Everything else east and colder and yet the NAM seems to be right according to some lol??? What will you do when the GFS ticks colder again? No jumping back on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I cannot believe how the axis of heavy has shifted SE on NAM. Ruh roh... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 LOL LOL BOX SNOWFALL MAP NOW SAYS NO SIG SNOWFALL FORECASTED ACROSS THE WHOLE AREA WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ISSUED FOR THE LOWER CT VALLEY FOR THREE TO FIVE INCHES AND NOW THE NAM IS EAST BUT THERE IS NO BIG STORM I THINK I WOULD SHOOT MYSELF IF I HAD TO FORECAST THIS STORM AS PART OF MY JOB LOL LOL TO HOW THIS WHOLE THING HAS UNFOLDED THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND IF THE NAM IS RIGHT IT IS THE PERFECT FU TO EVERYONE EXCEPT PARTS OF MAINE stop yelling at us lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 it hasn't had a good handle on the situation whatsoever for the past 3-4 days...and most of the winter for that matter lol. It initialized the southern shortwave incorrectly as I alluded to earlier. The Euro and it's ensembles are colder..and so was the 06z GFS...i'd go with that over the NAM any day of the week. 99% of mets would Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I'd like to know what Ekster's forecast for this area would be.. he has 11+ for ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 I'd like to know what Ekster's forecast for this area would be.. he has 11+ for ORH No, it was 10.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 No, it was 10.3" Well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Trends are east which are good, as long as there is a productive ccb to go along with it, otherwise it useless. No dynamics, no fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 carrabassett valley is the place for april skiing. (yes, stowe too) Haha, yeah we may not have any spring skiing this season... we're closing April 17th regardless of the fact that we'll be 100% open with a 3-9 foot natural base. I love Sugarloaf... I think Mansfield is a pretty asthetically pleasing mountain, but Sugarloaf is like the end-all of sweet looking mountains. It was just begging for someone to put a ski area on it. Slant sticker Nahh, at Stowe we just measure in centimeters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 This is like a really bad tv movie for the week or like when you are at the movies and see a great trailer and then when you see the movie you find out that the preview was the best part of the film with the main event not delivering note I did not use all caps this time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 LOL LOL BOX SNOWFALL MAP NOW SAYS NO SIG SNOWFALL FORECASTED ACROSS THE WHOLE AREA WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ISSUED FOR THE LOWER CT VALLEY FOR THREE TO FIVE INCHES AND NOW THE NAM IS EAST BUT THERE IS NO BIG STORM I THINK I WOULD SHOOT MYSELF IF I HAD TO FORECAST THIS STORM AS PART OF MY JOB LOL LOL TO HOW THIS WHOLE THING HAS UNFOLDED THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND IF THE NAM IS RIGHT IT IS THE PERFECT FU TO EVERYONE EXCEPT PARTS OF MAINE Don't think Springfield sees more than an inch out of this mess. Further up the line maybe 3-5 for Greenfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Very little... you should be in good shape Thanks. Flakes in the air here @2k right now.Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Flurries I was wondering if they would make it after seeing obs of rain snow mix on long island this morning. YAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Well? 4.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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