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Tulip Trouncer Threat IV


Baroclinic Zone

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LOL Kev's gonna eat you alive.

But that does look nice as long as the precipitation actually makes it back westward. SREFs continue to be favorable for WNE up into NNE.

TBH I can't really say I put much thought into Kev's area.

Very good agreement on all model suites for very impressive deformation zone across Catskill to CD to SVT.

Looks like potential too for some banding as well esp over WNE early Friday.

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I last looked at this with 14 pages--came down to 55. Always a good--and daunting--sign.

Looks like a nail-biter for many. Feeling pretty good out here. I notice BOX has not updated it's map. Probably wise given the narrow margin of error for much of the region. Agree they should at least have some type of advisory for much of the area.

My warning has 6-14". Pretty large range. Hopefully the rain today will quickly go to snow--I imagine that'll be the determiner between low-end and high-end.

Off to a rough start this morning--34.4/19. Ugh.

Good luck everyone!

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FYE, a three-day time lapse of CTBlizzs dwindling expectations

Mar 29th "Wow..buried with 2 feet all of interior SNE"

Mar 28 "LOL..1-2 feet of heavy wet snow would cripple power for a week..including yours"

Mar 29"Just excited for a big snow dump here. Fine 12-18 will suffice"

Mar 30 "Well...this was all I needed to see . This is going to be a major hit for most of SNE away from the coast.

WSW's should be flying by tomorrow morning for 10-16 of Deck Destroying snow"

Mar 30 "Man am I feeling good..Ukie east, GFS east..GEFS east... I'm locking 8+ in Tolland"

Hard to believe BOX has nothing issued here. Hopefully when the next shift shift comes on they realize the error. Someone who didn't follow the wx wold think Northern CT and ORH area would be getting no snow

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I last looked at this with 14 pages--came down to 55. Always a good--and daunting--sign.

Looks like a nail-biter for many. Feeling pretty good out here. I notice BOX has not updated it's map. Probably wise given the narrow margin of error for much of the region. Agree they should at least have some type of advisory for much of the area.

My warning has 6-14". Pretty large range. Hopefully the rain today will quickly go to snow--I imagine that'll be the determiner between low-end and high-end.

Off to a rough start this morning--34.4/19. Ugh.

Good luck everyone!

Enjoy your 10-15" interior inches.

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Only 2-6" for Will?

Very hard to believe BOX doesn't have any statement at all for the ORH area. Point 'n Click for 748ft over the city (ORH) has 1-2" of snow. Usually I think Kevin is just a weenie about these things, but that forecast seems questionable... I'd think you'd want to have at least an Advisory for up to 6". That way you can adjust up or down if need-be.

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What the hell is going on here? I could go for a 5 mile walk into the 6-14" warning zone but I don't even have an advisory...rolleyes.gif

That said...2 predictions for tonight:

1. I think 4-8" is a good call for me at lower elevation. For Will I would go 6-12" probably.

2. Very little sleep for me

This storm needs to over achieve here....it is my birthday today guitar.gif

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Very hard to believe BOX doesn't have any statement at all for the ORH area. Point 'n Click for 748ft over the city (ORH) has 1-2" of snow. Usually I think Kevin is just a weenie about these things, but that forecast seems questionable... I'd think you'd want to have at least an Advisory for up to 6". That way you can adjust up or down if need-be.

Yeah see my most recent post...I could go for a short walk into the warning zone and I don't even have an advisory. i know its a fine line between rain/snow, but not that fine laugh.gif

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Very hard to believe BOX doesn't have any statement at all for the ORH area. Point 'n Click for 748ft over the city (ORH) has 1-2" of snow. Usually I think Kevin is just a weenie about these things, but that forecast seems questionable... I'd think you'd want to have at least an Advisory for up to 6". That way you can adjust up or down if need-be.

Yeah doesn't make any sense. It's like some folks are simply discarding the Euro and RGEM..both crush my area up to Will's

What do you think for amounts here up to Will?

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Very hard to believe BOX doesn't have any statement at all for the ORH area. Point 'n Click for 748ft over the city (ORH) has 1-2" of snow. Usually I think Kevin is just a weenie about these things, but that forecast seems questionable... I'd think you'd want to have at least an Advisory for up to 6". That way you can adjust up or down if need-be.

They usually won't unless the average accumulation across the entire forecast zone meets the minimum criteria for an advisory (or a warning for that matter). Perhaps there are enough spots where they don't feel like criteria will be met so it drags down the average. Or it is simply just a mistake.

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What the hell is going on here? I could go for a 5 mile walk into the 6-14" warning zone but I don't even have an advisory...rolleyes.gif

That said...2 predictions for tonight:

1. I think 4-8" is a good call for me at lower elevation. For Will I would go 6-12" probably.

2. Very little sleep for me

This storm needs to over achieve here....it is my birthday today guitar.gif

Happy Birthday young man!! Let's get some snow in here to celebrate.

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Nice coating of graupel overnight here@ 2k. Only a dusting at 1400'.Glad to still have a snowpack as the snow will accumulate instantly. Looks and feels like snow. Poor BIrving has to troll Kevin in a failed attempt to distract from his awful "Winter was over in February" call. Lol

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Nice coating of graupel overnight here@ 2k. Only a dusting at 1400'.Glad to still have a snowpack as the snow will accumulate instantly. Looks and feels like snow. Poor BIrving has to troll Kevin in a failed attempt to distract from his awful "Winter was over in February" call. Lol

Show me how much snow BOS, PVD, HFD have had since 2/16.

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