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Tulip Trouncer Threat IV


Baroclinic Zone

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WOW, we get bombed between 06z and 12z....esp N CT. Dont have past 12z yet on qpf. But that would be a huge snow bomb for Union or close. They flirt at 30h so its a very fine line...but def N of the MA/CT border gets smoked.

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It's a little better with the mid level action too. I can see 700 vv and rh and the DS is a little further east, hence the better qpf from 18Z until 00z. The low at 18z Friday is almost exactly the same place as 12z had it, only 4mb stronger. I see some minor fluctuations in temps, but overall looks a hair colder.

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Euro gives me snow then sleet and rain then about 8" of snow with some nasty winds too

Given the slightly colder trends of the other models and now the Euro dropping the hammer, I think I'm going pretty big for Union...like 5-9. Perhaps they could get even more, but I think that is a decent guess right now. The 30h flirt is bothering me to go too much higher.

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Tossing a :weenie: for Will ORH

FRI 06Z 01-APR 0.7 -1.4 1007 97 94 0.18 544 538

FRI 12Z 01-APR 0.2 -2.1 997 96 99 0.65 539 541

FRI 18Z 01-APR 0.4 -4.5 988 92 93 0.40 529 539

SAT 00Z 02-APR 0.3 -5.3 990 89 93 0.25 524 532

SAT 06Z 02-APR 0.3 -5.4 990 87 76 0.06 523 532

Monadnocks are probably going to be the jackpot north of me, but I feel pretty good on the northern edge of ORH right now at 900+ feet.

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Ditto... as a lurker without access, Scooter can you give a rundown for your backyard SNE coastal plain when you're done looking through... thanks!

It's better for us, but we still may have boundary layer issues. If we can get a real strong burst of lift, we could have a 33F paste. Lift is going bonkers at 12z.

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And Ray. Enjoy fellas

In order Date, 2m temp, 850 temp, pressure, rh, 700rh, 6 hr qpf, 500 height, 1000-500 thk

FRI 06Z 01-APR 1.5 -1.8 1007 97 96 0.13 544 538

FRI 12Z 01-APR 0.8 -1.7 998 97 100 0.52 540 541

FRI 18Z 01-APR 0.9 -2.8 987 94 81 0.50 530 540

SAT 00Z 02-APR 0.8 -6.3 988 87 92 0.25 523 532

SAT 06Z 02-APR 0.7 -5.4 988 85 79 0.04 522 531

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