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Tulip Trouncer Threat IV


Baroclinic Zone

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Call me Chris...thumbsupsmileyanim.gif

and I've felt good about this all along at 970'. The top of my hill literally right up the road is almost 1100 I think. It should be wild.

One of my teachers in high school told us a story about him coming to school one day...rain all the way up from Manchester into collinsville then 11" of snow in Burlington at about 1k...if you're not familiar Collinsville is about a 10 minute drive from Lewis Mills High School. He didn't even check to see if school was closed cause it was raining, but when he got there there was a foot of slop and a closed school.

Happens all the time. I've been in Collinsville and seen 2" or 3" on the ground only to drive up Rt 4 and see 8" or 9" by Lewis Mills

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Happens all the time. I've been in Collinsville and seen 2" or 3" on the ground only to drive up Rt 4 and see 8" or 9" by Lewis Mills

yep, it's pretty cool. If you guys go out that way tomorrow night, let me know! I'll be in the area. Maybe Paul can come and we can meet up haha. thumbsupsmileyanim.gif

as for now, have to go to bed despite the GFS about to come out. 2 exams starting at 930...school responsibilities take over the weather fetish in times like these unfortunately. alasarrowheadsmiley.png

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Monadnocks of SW NH or the foothills of SW ME I think would be the two "safest" places to get ripped. Any further NW and you might risk getting skunked by less qpf and further SE could involve taint issues...like that I am trying to avoid.

What are you thinking for the upper Ct Valley. Money Pit Mike and Pete etc. have the elevation but I still like my latitude/location despite only 400' el.

MBY is only about 14mi. from the Vt/SW NH border (4 mi. N of Rt 2) and I hope that we can cash in on some of the heavier precip. that hangs up over the hills of the Monads.

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so so close to even being good here

It looks like you are only a 30-50 mile model tic from being in the thump zone. I'm thinking as it stands now everyone N of Northampton is 6"+. Intensity of precip will make all the difference in the Springfield area. If it rips 25-35dbz for a while before dawn you get plastered.

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lol the RGEM is close to being good here.

It would destroy Kevin, lol. A compromise between the NAM and RGEM though would probably prompt him to take an electrical bath since that would probably crush the southern ORH hills while he gets tainted. So close, yet so far.

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Man if the NAM was like 1 degree off those 850-800 temps, what a bomb for you..lol.

My experience with the NAM is that these borderline 0c flirt kind of deals always wind up a degree or two warmer than progged. I can't even count the number of times the NAM verbatim has been a foot with a deep isothermal barely subfreezing sounding.

If we were a solid -2 or -3 at 850 I'd be singing a totally different tune.

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