simpsonsbuff Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 If the NAM doesn't go majorly west given the SREF, I'll be shocked. Does put an interesting twist on an afternoon of eastern trend of the models... and makes GYX look right on with keeping the watch up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Can someone remind this idiot what the significance of the red dashed line is? I thought it was a rain/snow line indication. Canal Cutter, raining at your house, snowing at 600 feet on RT 6 , slopfest at my house all changing to heavy wet snow, 4-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 wow the srefs give me like 1.4", Not sure how much is snow though... Even the lowest QPF members are around 1" QPF up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Can someone remind this idiot what the significance of the red dashed line is? I thought it was a rain/snow line indication. Its the 540dm thickness line... generally useless in a dynamic situation like this. The rain/snow line would be inside of that to the SE. Here's the furthest NW the H85 0C line gets.... I think this is what NZucker was referencing, could be snowing in White Plains and raining in Hartford? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Even the lowest QPF members are around 1" QPF up here. Nam will have someone seeing 2" qpf up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Canal Cutter, raining at your house, snowing at 600 feet on RT 6 , slopfest at my house all changing to heavy wet snow, 4-6 Got it. Elevation is king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 If the NAM doesn't go majorly west given the SREF, I'll be shocked. Does put an interesting twist on an afternoon of eastern trend of the models... and makes GYX look right on with keeping the watch up... Nice snow probs on the SREFs for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Even the lowest QPF members are around 1" QPF up here. My question would be... what did they pick up on that they didn't see at the 9z run? 15z is starkly different than 9z on pretty much all fields. The surface low track isn't all that different, maybe a hair NW from 9z, but it is a heck of a lot stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Nice snow probs on the SREFs for us. Haha, somehow the greatest probs for 12"+ ended up in the Adirondacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 WOW new srefs are juicy! SLP tucked in to the coast in line now with the gfs and euro, cant say for certain up there, but they are very warm down here. Upton says you get accumulation too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Nice snow probs on the SREFs for us. They really don't like central/eastern mass... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 My question would be... what did they pick up on that they didn't see at the 9z run? 15z is starkly different than 9z on pretty much all fields. The surface low track isn't all that different, maybe a hair NW from 9z, but it is a heck of a lot stronger. Amped and more energy diving in the base of the trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 They really don't like central/eastern mass... They are better for us in the frames before the one he posted, more like 42-45 hours...but they really like N ORH county. Given how ridiculously amped the SREFs are, I'm encouraged that the probs are still decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 They really don't like central/eastern mass... I think it just depends on what time frame you look at. Edit.. Ahh looks like Will cleared it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 They are better for us in the frames before the one he posted, more like 42-45 hours...but they really like N ORH county. Given how ridiculously amped the SREFs are, I'm encouraged that the probs are still decent. I think it just depends on what time frame you look at. Yeah my bad...can I have the link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Looks like the NAM will cave a bit on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Amped and more energy diving in the base of the trough 18z NAM might actually be interesting now. That was a pretty huge change on the SREFS if you look at the past couple of runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Yeah my bad...can I have the link? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ewall.html bottom right for 15z SREFs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 18z NAM might actually be interesting now. That was a pretty huge change on the SREFS if you look at the past couple of runs. Sooner or later it had to come west, I thought it would have been at 12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Looks like the 18z NAM is still screwing around. Kind of disorganized through 42 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Looks like the 18z NAM is still screwing around. Kind of disorganized through 42 hours. CCB gets cranking for NE MA/SE NH/SW ME by 45hr. Should be a huge hit for ME.Baby steps with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 http://www.meteo.psu...mski/ewall.html bottom right for 15z SREFs Thanks. 18z nam looks more amped then 12z but not to the levels of the euro or gfs...looks kind of unorganized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 CCB gets cranking for NE MA/SE NH/SW ME by 45hr. Should be a huge hit for ME. Baby steps with the NAM. Congrats Ekster at 48h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Nam is strange, gives me almost a half inch of liquid with storm one, seems cold enough for snow too, must be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Arnold Annihilator on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 CCB gets cranking for NE MA/SE NH/SW ME by 45hr. Should be a huge hit for ME. Baby steps with the NAM. Yeah the Maine folks are sitting pretty right now... if its a late-bloomer they'll still do well, and look like they can afford a tick east or west at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I think i know where the 2" qpf maybe..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Arnold Annihilator on this run. Kill ... maim ... pummel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 CCB gets cranking for NE MA/SE NH/SW ME by 45hr. Should be a huge hit for ME. Baby steps with the NAM. yeah seems to be just slowly adjusting. it's gradually separating the two features in question with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Here comes the rain de de de de. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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