dendrite Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 at 36 hours here's the feature...heavy snow banding will be along and north of that feature at 700. Poorer sg and more showery precip to the south. Nice omega Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Do you think models like the NAM are ignoring the climo sensibility that says that Ray would generally stay cold enough in a storm like this, with not much of a difference between his area and ORH? It seems like a lot of the guidance really wants to rip that warm tongue into NE CT and E MA, but I wonder if that warmth will stay somewhere, and there'll be a boundary with heavy snow on the north side around Ray. If this verified verbatim, that would not work.....it happens on occasion, like last Feb....but normally I'll manage about 2\3 of what Will would get. I still think this is too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 [quote name='ski MRG' timestamp='1301531393' post= Colder than 97 , dynamics as impressive for only 8 hours though, elevations win but Western CP love. Final calls LOL. Funny Steve. Lots of time on your hands tonight? I'll think of the 12-16 when I'm skiing on top of 120-160". Very happy that everyone's seasonal totals get pushed higher. Hope you get some love. Yea but as I found out in Maine it's just not the same when it's not your homestead. I just watched an incredible Nova show on the Tsunami, watch it online if you missed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 The 00z GFS will be near ACK, and the toasters will slowly rise out of the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Well I got my weenie run for the event...it can only get worse from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Thundersnow possible? Does good lift help with this? It will be neat for the NNE folks to have a lot of this during the daylight hours, even if it cuts back a teeny bit on accum I wanna see vids of Ekster outside Gray in thundersnow doing a Cantore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Its the NAM...lol. I knew it was going to come in with an amped up qpf bomb at some point. Other guidance (most notably the best model) is in your camp, so I wouldn't sweat a ridiculous NAM run. See my last post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Its the NAM...lol. I knew it was going to come in with an amped up qpf bomb at some point. Other guidance (most notably the best model) is in your camp, so I wouldn't sweat a ridiculous NAM run. Even cutting QPF by a messenger-approved 30% is still a hell of a storm up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Well I got my weenie run for the event...it can only get worse from this. Wow...my old campground in Heniker, NH is the jackpot. Neighboring Hilsboro would likely do btr because they are higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Keene can handle 2.5 feet of cement, right? I hope they make it... this is life threatening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 If this verified verbatim, that would not work.....it happens on occasion, like last Feb....but normally I'll manage about 2\3 of what Will would get. I still think this is too far west. Man this run is just cruel for me, 0C line right on top of me at 30, talk about a raping for northern Westchester/Putnam Hudson Highlands: Looks like Hartford may be in trouble Ryan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Okay, NAM is awful. Jeez, what a run for me up here in Central NH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Well I got my weenie run for the event...it can only get worse from this. Would love to be around 2000 ft somewhere in Sullivan County if that verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Yea but as I found out in Maine it's just not the same when it's not your homestead. I just watched an incredible Nova show on the Tsunami, watch it online if you missed it. Well therewill still be snow here at my homestead when I return. Don't want to see anything about tsunamis right now as I'll be in prime tsunami country at least briefly.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 This is an uniformed kooky run for SNH, ME folks... Dom, Sam, Dendrite, Dryslut, Eric, etc are going to be sorely disappointed when BIrritant finds out winter is not over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Thundersnow possible? Does good lift help with this? It will be neat for the NNE folks to have a lot of this during the daylight hours, even if it cuts back a teeny bit on accum I wanna see vids of Ekster outside Gray in thundersnow doing a Cantore I definitely think there could be some thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 It actually looks like the SREF snow probs got worse here even though they trended a tick colder. Go figure. it may be from the spread lessening? im actually not very impressed with the snow probs on the SREF for SNE outside of W mass..... they look pretty bad actually IMHO. hopefully that doesnt verify and it is the SREF after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 This is an uniformed kooky run for SNH, ME folks... Dom, Sam, Dendrite, Dryslut, Eric, etc are going to be sorely disappointed when BIrritant finds out winter is not over Looks like this uninformed kook does well too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 it may be from the spread lessening? im actually not very impressed with the snow probs on the SREF for SNE outside of W mass..... they look pretty bad actually IMHO. hopefully that doesnt verify and it is the SREF after all. They can change drastically from run to run, and often spike up as the event gets closer. I don't get too worked up over them. They are more of a weenie thing to look at for fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 it may be from the spread lessening? im actually not very impressed with the snow probs on the SREF for SNE outside of W mass..... they look pretty bad actually IMHO. hopefully that doesnt verify and it is the SREF after all. Nohing else really matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Obviously further w than I'd like, but what I find appealing is that it is maxing out @ a perfect time for my area.....just gotta tic it east. That is more correctable than the former issue imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Looks like this uninformed kook does well too. You do well in June... let them have their April fun. Is it hard to pack all those skis? Powder Pigs, AT boards, etc etc etc. or do you borrow from your buds? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Holy ****e on the NAM!! North of MA/NH border is just crushed. I'd say at least 100K without power for PSNH easy. I'd be worried if the other models were still trending west, but they are actually shifting slowly east each run since 12z, which is a great sign. I feel like the NAM is just playing catching and will start trending east like the other models have. I wonder what 15" of snow with the weight of tons in 10 hours is like Will do you think places like ASH and MHT get into that WCB you were talking about or would we need a tic east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 http://www.youtube.c...h?v=ruJqI0QKbPM LMFAO thats a favorite of mine but man those lyrics really are suicide inducing....never really 'read' the lyrics before lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Holy ****e on the NAM!! North of MA/NH border is just crushed. I'd say at least 100K without power for PSNH easy. I'd be worried if the other models were still trending west, but they are actually shifting slowly east each run since 12z, which is a great sign. I feel like the NAM is just playing catching and will start trending east like the other models have. I wonder what 15" of snow with the weight of tons in 10 hours is like Car alarms going off... Agree, lots of power issues, esp if there is any wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Hey guys, missed the 2-5pm posts while at a seminar, though got a glimpse of the 12z Euro excitement just before... Impressions: 1- Euro and Euro ensembles have been most consistent in the past 18 hours 2- NW trend has halted, and perhaps seeing a correction back SE 3- NAM still having difficulty, organizes low too late in an inconsistent fashion... this may however be keeping a further SE track Given #1, any reads on Euro ensembles for Boston metro? The low res maps are worthless. #2 is exactly what happened today... NAM finally consolidated quickly enough and consequently now among the furthest NW we still have the Euro and Euro ensembles which have been the most consistent, and 30 hours to go... not looking good, but it ain't over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 wow congrats dendrite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 They can change drastically from run to run, and often spike up as the event gets closer. I don't get too worked up over them. They are more of a weenie thing to look at for fun. Even though the 850 temps got cooler the 2m temps got a tick warmer. I'm guessing the snow probs struggle with 2m temp progs of 32-33F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 Man this run is just cruel for me, 0C line right on top of me at 30, talk about a raping for northern Westchester/Putnam Hudson Highlands: Looks like Hartford may be in trouble Ryan Dude you're not getting anything on the NAM. You know enough meteorology (at least I thought you did) to not rely on the 850 0c line as the end all be all. Come on man. You honestly have been more irritating than Kevin this storm (which is a remarkable feat). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 31, 2011 Share Posted March 31, 2011 The 00z GFS will be near ACK, and the toasters will slowly rise out of the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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