TalcottWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Jay, Did you post your updated one? You were waiting on the Euro... I'm actually in the weightroom... I have been checking about every ten minutes here.. thank god for the droid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I have to be allowed to stick up for myself after a post like that. When are you guys gonna get rid of him? Seriously A month ago that's exactly what you said to me almost to the word. That post didn't get edited or deleted though. +1 for equal moderation. It's a nice looking system. I hope you get the snow you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I might have missed it but did anyone post this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I think his final call map will look totally different.. It'll probably look closer to his first guess map... basically the same thing shifted eastward. For this map, he moved everything westward. There's no way Syracuse, NY gets 4-8" out of this system though, lol. We'll be lucky to get 4-8" this far west, much less in central NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm actually in the weightroom... I have been checking about every ten minutes here.. thank god for the droid I'm about to this the weights, too.....not quite as heavy as the ones you prob are, though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 5 to 8 flakes looks good for TAN. Maybe they can be huge 2" aggregates. I think it'll be very close for you but let's see what the 0z shows. The 18z Nam should make a definitive move.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm actually in the weightroom... I have been checking about every ten minutes here.. thank god for the droid I'm also very curious to see if some models drop that 1.5-1.7 qpf zone that would likely result in 15-20" somewhere... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Euro tracks the D7 storm through BUF. Yeah it's been oscillating between BUF and a coastal track every other run. I think ...didn't the current one do this, too - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Anyone else ready for a good old fashion 34 degree, raw, windy, just plain awful rain storm.....i know i am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 It'll probably look closer to his first guess map... basically the same thing shifted eastward. For this map, he moved everything westward. There's no way Syracuse, NY gets 4-8" out of this system though, lol. We'll be lucky to get 4-8" this far west, much less in central NY. No it won't; his 1st guess was for a HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Amended You know it, frisbee players in their short shorts with flip-flops screaming in pain, Daisy Duke wearing teenie boppers running for the bus, hacky sack playing long hair hippie types flailing their arms screaming at mother nature. Oh the agony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 I think it'll be very close for you but let's see what the 0z shows. The 18z Nam should make a definitive move.... My expectation is 0.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Still feeling ok about this one. Here's why: 1. Biggest push comes before dawn or shortly after. 2. Anomalously cold upstairs for the date prior. 3. Ray's logic. Winter has to fire back before the old man goes on a 6 months sabattical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Don't forget to start the new thread for this threat... It is getting up there. Dave will this be our largest snowfall of the season? Sure starting to look that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeatMizer Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm actually in the weightroom... I have been checking about every ten minutes here.. thank god for the droid You interupt your workout for this ???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 By 7:00PM April 1st?? Lol..the snow's been over for 8-10 hours by then Hope so. We will be at the Mansfield drive-in Friday night for opening night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 You interupt your workout for this ???? lol - glad you said it. I wasn't the only one who was thinking it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Hope so. We will be at the Mansfield drive-in Friday night for opening night. IS it Triple X night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 You interupt your workout for this ???? I've interrupted sex and cancelled dates for this....no joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I think it'll be very close for you but let's see what the 0z shows. The 18z Nam should make a definitive move.... That was said yesterday at 18z... if someone keeps saying it before each run, its bound to happen eventually, lol. I'm still astounded at how lack-luster the meso-scale models are... the AWF and NMM are pretty much non-events. Even the ETA and NAM aren't impressive though they do bring some snows to eastern area... the lift is pretty weak though so it may just be a cold light rain. If any of these solutions happen it would be an epic fail for the global models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Model consensus looking very good for a warning level snowstorm for this area. My gut call is 8-12 inches in the Berkshire valley (elevation ~1K) with as much as 15 or 16 inches possible near 2K. 2K could be a wind whipped snow bomb with temps near 27-28, allowing for decent ratios and fast accumulation. Barring a dramatic last minute shift to the E or W, 2K is going to absolutely rock and roll. As is often the case with these storms, meso banding could add more to some select locations. Sounds good. Hopefully some of those high amounts/winds can meander to the northeastern portion of the hills. Meanwhile, this just screams "Incoming snows!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 In any event ... I suggest Ray keep that vomit bag handy just in case. "...ONE NOTEWORTHY TREND CONCERNS FORECAST MODEL H85-H7 THICKNESSES WHICH HAVE EXHIBITED A WARMING TREND TO THE WEST AND A MORE WELL-DEFINED BAROCLINIC ZONE THRU WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND...." Rain rain go away, come back some other day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 That is absolutely disgusting WOW....you went there.....beastiality...really.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 In any event ... I suggest Ray keep that vomit bag handy just in case. "...ONE NOTEWORTHY TREND CONCERNS FORECAST MODEL H85-H7 THICKNESSES WHICH HAVE EXHIBITED A WARMING TREND TO THE WEST AND A MORE WELL-DEFINED BAROCLINIC ZONE THRU WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND...." Rain rain go away, come back some other day Sounds to me like that is acknowledging an old trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Okay - enough...jesus. Why don't you guys start a new thread, and the toss this one in the OT for that - It's time anyway. Will - help! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 IS it Triple X night? Nope. Just the typical double feature. We'll be on the kids screen (Some Easter bunny movie, and some other cartoon movie with a lizzard in it) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 DT 1st call: He says changing to all snow by 7:00p.m. on the 1st. I must have the timing really off on this--I thought the event would primarily be taking place prior to 1:00p.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 lol - glad you said it. I wasn't the only one who was thinking it. No time for workouts when there is a snowstorm in the wings... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Just checking in. Looks like heavy snow is almost "likely" here. I'm getting a touch excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Easy. No accumulation. Even on the Euro I think Hartford is hard pressed to get more than a 2-4 of slop kind of deal. the good news for them is that a lot of qpf falls at night. storm definitely not as dynamic, runs the risk of being mostly a slopfest for some. def gon be fun to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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