40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Based on the mid level low tracks on the GFS many of us have a ways to go before this turns into something exciting. The major snowstorm look from yesterday with the 500mb low closing on the south coast and really blitzing most of us is gone. Oh well. Maybe March/April 2012 will work out. Get real, dude....many low lying spots come away w 6-12" on that GFS run. What a wx snob you are lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Based on the mid level low tracks on the GFS many of us have a ways to go before this turns into something exciting. The major snowstorm look from yesterday with the 500mb low closing on the south coast and really blitzing most of us is gone. Oh well. Maybe March/April 2012 will work out. really feeling that bad about it huh? Like I said, you can park the NBC truck in my driveway when I get a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Another weenie bomb on the GFS next week..lol. Tip's teleconnector convergence fetish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Get real, dude....many low lying spots come away w 6-12" on that GFS run. What a wx snob you are lol ORH gets 15-20" on that GFS run possibly lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 Based on the mid level low tracks on the GFS many of us have a ways to go before this turns into something exciting. The major snowstorm look from yesterday with the 500mb low closing on the south coast and really blitzing most of us is gone. Oh well. Maybe March/April 2012 will work out. It's all about expectations Ryan. Your exciting may not necessarily be mine or Will's or Ray's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Debbie has grabbed the toaster, the snack cakes and is headed for the tub. I'm anticipating heavy snow here. The east shimmy by the GFS has me looking for the l-l-l-l-l-lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Get real, dude....many low lying spots come away w 6-12" on that GFS run. What a wx snob you are lol The ironic part is that Hartford will probably end up doing fine in this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 That is just a monster omega bomb between 06z and 09z on the GFS. Probably like 6-7" of snow in 3 hours type stuff. Then look or expect TS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 HOLY CRAP WHAT A BOMB NEXT WEEK~!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Get real, dude....many low lying spots come away w 6-12" on that GFS run. What a wx snob you are lol lol I think the GFS is going to be problematic for more places than people are expecting. It may look borderline OK but in reality in April borderline frequently isn't good enough, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 The ironic part is that Hartford will probably end up doing fine in this storm. Are you nuts? At this point I'm expecting little if any accumulation here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Debbie has grabbed the toaster, the snack cakes and is headed for the tub. I'm anticipating heavy snow here. The east shimmy by the GFS has me looking for the l-l-l-l-l-lock. Lock in at least 9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 lol I think the GFS is going to be problematic for more places than people are expecting. It may look borderline OK but in reality in April borderline frequently isn't good enough, "If" the GFS has the thermal profile correctly modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Debbie has grabbed the toaster, the snack cakes and is headed for the tub. I'm anticipating heavy snow here. The east shimmy by the GFS has me looking for the l-l-l-l-l-lock. What you going to lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 "If" the GFS has the thermal profile correctly modeled. If you're east of the mid level low track in early April I say forget big snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 HOLY SH T WOULD THAT EVER BE HISTORIC!!! That is a bible buster at 192 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 If you're east of the mid level low track in early April I say forget big snows. No ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 lol I think the GFS is going to be problematic for more places than people are expecting. It may look borderline OK but in reality in April borderline frequently isn't good enough, Maybe in the CT river valley of CT, but I'll take my chances on receiving about 2\3 of what ORH does...anecdotal, sure.....but I know my local climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Ignore the gfs bounce se from 0z to 12z at your peril. If the euro is at all se closer to the nam I'll take a blend of those two ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 What you going to lock Reliable sources tell me at least 9". I want to see what the good Doc has to say. Your first guess totals (10-14) seem like a nice range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Another weenie bomb on the GFS next week..lol. I can't believe what it has now..wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 HOLY SH T WOULD THAT EVER BE HISTORIC!!! That is a bible buster at 192 hours Will and I just commented on it. The Tip Gale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 12z GEM is close to 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Maybe in the CT river valley of CT, but I'll take my chances on receiving about 2\3 of what ORH does...anecdotal, sure.....but I know my local climo. I don't think the GFS verbatim is as good for you as you think it is. That said there certainly is room for this to wiggle east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I can't believe what it has now..wow Appetizer snow on Tuesday and then a death blow on Thursday. I can deal with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Reliable sources tell me at least 9". I want to see what the good Doc has to say. Your first guess totals (10-14) seem like a nice range. Yeah, I am officially going with that ,10-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Those areas in mass that get the snow...it might not be one of those events that dry out the snow in the middle of the storm. Looks like a blueberry snowcone for some with some power fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Will and I just commented on it. The Tip Gale. that's a helluva a lot more than a gale my friend.... Pure storm force with hurricane gust a slam dunk, with 30" snow totals over a massive area. Eh, that's as is modeled... For the record, the GGEM had something hugely suggested like this in 12z run yesterday, and the 00z Euro was not far behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Maybe in the CT river valley of CT, but I'll take my chances on receiving about 2\3 of what ORH does...anecdotal, sure.....but I know my local climo. WCB snows can and have produced huge totals in April. They are generally rarer because in April you usually do not have the wiggle room to get much WAA and still be cold enough for snow in the mid-levels....however, in this particular setup we do have some wiggle room for that. Not much, but enough to get a monster omega WCB thump. It might not pan out that way and we see something different 2 days from now, but as modeled, I think its plausible. The April 1987 bomb that dumped 17" here (and like 9-10" at your place) was almost totally WCB with the 700 low back in NY State. I'd feel a lot better if things ticked another few miles SE, but we can still survive a GFS scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 12z GEM is close to 00z Links plz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.