wokeupthisam Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I would expect when the heaviest precip falls, daytime vs. nightime, to be a big factor here in accums at this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 First call is 9-15" Looking good Ray, you said 12+ in the hills and 6-12 on the cp two days ago. Kudos, hope it happens for you! Best case scenario for me is a non accumulating snowfall here, and everyone else gets buried, pulling for you guys!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Bump for my rump from mets Tip may swing from that chandelier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I would expect when the heaviest precip falls, daytime vs. nightime, to be a big factor here in accums at this time of year. It's not a big factor is we have a gread deal of OMEGA, which we would in a system of this ilk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I wonder what the tone of this forum would be if the 18z GFS came in horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I wonder what the tone of this forum would be if the 18z GFS came in horrible. Considering the ensemble guidance is hammering this pretty hard, I don't think people would be too concerned. If the 00z suite laid a turd, that's a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I wonder what the tone of this forum would be if I came out of the closet at 18z. A great deal of mutual nodding, maybe.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I'll swing from your Tip and b-zalls. No..no you won't be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Does this last into Saturday or is over Friday? Another bump till an answer is given Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 No..no you won't be Ebonics laden quote alteration... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Ebonics laden quote alteration... Snoop got ahold of my laptop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Another bump till a handy is given Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Considering the ensemble guidance is hammering this pretty hard, I don't think people would be too concerned. If the 00z suite laid a turd, that's a different story. Then there would be concerns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Can I get a hells yeah on that AFD? That was a sweet read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I wonder what the tone of this forum would be if the 18z GFS came in horrible. dismissive "18Z runs are always garbage / inadequate sampling", though it was the 18Z run yesterday that really fired up this potential or better yet, watch the 0z NAM come in intense and west of the consensus until then, let's relish in the fact that right now, the NAM is truly alone on this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Best case scenario for me is a non accumulating snowfall here, and everyone else gets buried, pulling for you guys!! Lol, SW CT can't get accumulating snowfall in April? The 12z GFS and 12z ECM probably give you 6-12", Joe. NYC gets 1.6" of QPF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 It's not a big factor is we have a gread deal of OMEGA, which we would in a system of this ilk. Lower right panel from 12z UK valid for 12z Friday morning here's your omega : Pretty strong PIVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Another bump till an answer is given Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Lol, SW CT can't get accumulating snowfall in April? The 12z GFS and 12z ECM probably give you 6-12", Joe. NYC gets 1.6" of QPF... I know what the models are giving me Tubes, I dont want it, but I also know that at any other time of the year I would be dying for this, and that the rest of the board wants it, so I am hoping for a win win scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Why don't you look at the Euro or GFS!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Euro ensembles almost directly over the BM...potent too. Throw us a bone out here......maybe Vineyard run..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I know what the models are giving me Tubes, I dont want it, but I also know that at any other time of the year I would be dying for this, and that the rest of the board wants it, so I am hoping for a win win scenario. Big accumulating snow during the day is tough to do in coastal CT. It's not impossible but it's not easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 I know what the models are giving me Tubes, I dont want it, but I also know that at any other time of the year I would be dying for this, and that the rest of the board wants it, so I am hoping for a win win scenario. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Big accumulating snow during the day is tough to do in coastal CT. It's not impossible but it's not easy. True, but it looks like much of the precip down here comes thur night into the morning fri, unlike much of sne where its during the heating of the day friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Big accumulating snow during the day is tough to do in coastal CT. It's not impossible but it's not easy. I'm starting to think a decent portion of this could fall during the predawn and early morning hours where the sun angle will be less of a factor...especially down in S CT where it will come in sooner. It seems the models have been speeding up the timing of this a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 18z nam with the benefit I think of the 12z data finally is coming west. Tonight's runs should be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Lower right panel from 12z UK valid for 12z Friday morning here's your omega : Pretty strong PIVA. Man that 12z UKMET looks nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Why don't you look at the Euro or GFS!? You've been awful today? Ragging it? All I asked was for a met to answer me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2011 Share Posted March 29, 2011 Why don't you look at the Euro or GFS!? Meaningful precip looks to be out by nightfall Fri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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