subdude Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Man..many of us in the hills and interior are gonna get crushed. I love how BOX has the little dot of 12 inches right over MT Tolland.. I am so amped up for this This is amazing, we're in for possibly the biggest single snowfall totals of the season for my area and it will be on 4/1. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Lol. Just spoke with Delta about changing to an earlier flight. They said, "we have nothing indicating a storm for Friday." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 What an FU to the coast..lol. Pretty bullish for ORH. December 1996. ...I don't buy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm sure it's way too premature to answer accurately. But, best guess of when rain might flip to snow? The western zones have either 30 or 40 pop of rain on Thursday and have snow on Thursday night. No reference to timing. It would be funny if the gfs qpf played out. We'd have :snowman: Mike, don't bother fretting. We're going to get buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Huge changes overnight, just looked at the gfs, its all rain for ct. Euro wagons west, gfs wagons west, nam wagons west.................congrats Pete! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Huge changes overnight, just looked at the gfs, its all rain for ct. Euro wagons west, gfs wagons west, nam wagons west.................congrats Pete! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I might get to pass Scooter, Ray and some others in the totals if this verifies like BOX thinks Not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 It takes a very "special" storm to produce prolific snows on th CP this time of year outside of 97'. If the Euro and its ens are correct, no matter how good it looks from Boston south on the CP I just dont see big time accumulations. BDR 0 DXR 2 BDL 3 TOLL 2 ORH 5 KGAY 3.5 BOS 1 PVD 0 PETE 14 Greens 1-2 ft DOM 5 I think the Berks greens and to some extent whites get absolutely crushed, Maine gets blasted as H5 closes off perfectly for them. Huge accumulations in the mountains. Loving this call, only thing that may need adjusting would be to scale back in ct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Don't go jumping off bridges yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Most have lately but I'm not counting on it here. Shocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 By the way lost in all the insanity, sunny with light winds, widespread 50s everywhere today in sne, should be a beaut clark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Loving this call, only thing that may need adjusting would be to scale back in ct. I'm not getting 3.5" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 I'm not getting 3.5" of snow. Ok Ray, I wished you best of luck on your 9-15 inch call yesterday, I hope that happens for you, I just dont see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Ok Ray, I wished you best of luck on your 9-15 inch call yesterday, I hope that happens for you, I just dont see it. My first call may not pan out, but 3.5" will be too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 If i was anyone else on here, I would not be dropping toasters in the tub just yet, We should all know by now what happens with these storms in the last 24-48 hrs, There will still be some adjustments and most may be more favorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 My first call may not pan out, but 3.5" will be too low. ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 My first call may not pan out, but 3.5" will be too low. A canal track is going to hurt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Off to work. Ray...text me NAM/GFS when you know it if I can't log in. Tyia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 If i was anyone else on here, I would not be dropping toasters in the tub just yet, We should all know by now what happens with these storms in the last 24-48 hrs, There will still be some adjustments and most may be more favorable What I think is clear is that e MA is not going to jackpot because the low is likely to go over the cape, but the notion that e of ORH is mainly rain isn't going to work out, either. The GFS is a western outlier and we saw the same thing happen with respect to the last event, when it kept trying to snow on me....I ended up with mood flakes....this probably ends up a bit e of the EURO....hills of central and w MA jackot, but I still see a good, warning criteria 6-12" of slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 A canal track is going to hurt Not optimal, but not a disaster, either. It is for Logan airport, but not for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 What I think is clear is that e MA is not going to jackpot because the low is likely to go over the cape, but the notion that e of ORH is mainly rain isn't going to happen, either. The GFS is a western outlier and we saw the same thing happen with respect to the last event, when it kept trying to snow on me....I ended up with mood flakes....this probably ends up a bit e of the EURO....hills of central and w MA jackot, but I still see a good, warning criteria 6-12" of slop. Thats about where i envision this going, We know its not where the 0z GFS has it, The Nam made a subtle shift west at 06z, I think we see it make another at 12Z, But this ends up outer cape oir just east of there, Euro is a pretty good consensous right now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Not optimal, but not a disaster, either. It is for Logan airport, but not for me. If the euro happened, I think you would have more than 3.5". That is if the euro verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 If the euro happened, I think you would have more than 3.5". That is if the euro verified. No doubt, Euro was a hefty dump on the front end.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 At hour 60 on the EURO, we are @ the height of the event and the 32* isotherm runs from about Pepperell to Shrewsbury...knowing what we know about 2m temps on globals, it would probably be over mby. We are likely @ the apex of the westward adjustment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 What I think is clear is that e MA is not going to jackpot because the low is likely to go over the cape, but the notion that e of ORH is mainly rain isn't going to work out, either. The GFS is a western outlier and we saw the same thing happen with respect to the last event, when it kept trying to snow on me....I ended up with mood flakes....this probably ends up a bit e of the EURO....hills of central and w MA jackot, but I still see a good, warning criteria 6-12" of slop. And for the hills of Ne CT?? HPC FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 And for the hills of Ne CT?? HPC FTW? You'll be A winner, but not sure about THE winner....I think somewhere n of CT will take that honor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 And for the hills of Ne CT?? HPC FTW? You must have drawn that map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 If the euro happened, I think you would have more than 3.5". That is if the euro verified. Exactly....and it's likely a hair too far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 At hour 60 on the EURO, we are @ the height of the event and the 32* isotherm runs from about Pepperell to Shrewsbury...knowing what we know about 2m temps on globals, it would probably be over mby. We are likely @ the apex of the westward adjustment. Even a 15 or 20 mile tick east, is exponentially better for us...esp me. Temps aloft get a little dicey on this run, but any pube east is all the better. I'm prepared for a crappy solution just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Even a 15 or 20 mile tick east, is exponentially better for us...esp me. Temps aloft get a little dicey on this run, but any pube east is all the better. I'm prepared for a crappy solution just in case. I've made similar preparations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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