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Tulip Trouncer Threat III - April Fool's Joke


Baroclinic Zone

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Every model thus far has taken a significant jump NW at 00z. That is not a good sign. If the GGEM/Euro stabilize that trend a bit, then its probably fine, but if not, then the idea of a huge snow event for SNE is in serious trouble.

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Euro is going to be a pretty huge run tonight. If it goes a bit SE, it will change the entire feel of the 00z suite. If it goes NW again, then you can almost start writing the eulogy for winter here.

Its going over the canal

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Will, what do you think of the Day 8-9 system? Can that get sheared by the impressive confluence and form a second wave in the Mid-Atlantic that hits us?

Temps look plenty cold at that point, -10C 850s get down to NYC after the system. We just need to avoid too much WAA and have the primary further south like the 12z GGEM, not over the Dakotas like 0z GFS. Still seems like the +PNA may be in place at that juncture.

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