ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Well i guess I'd have to enjoy the snow thump for the first 4-5 hours if this verified. Before it gets crippled with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Front Royal, VA maybe for Thursday night..... I'll wait till after theb12z runs to decide. On 3/30/2011 at 3:58 AM, dendrite said: I get tainted. Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Is anyone still more concerned about about whiff versus a low going up Kevin's fanny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Nice swift kick in the nuts by the GFS, Hope its the western outlier, Will be interesting to see where the ensembles go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Well that's an interesting solution for KLEB... i'd love how the surface is at 933 mb's... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Lets hope this doesn't give LEKing his long overdue synoptic dump of snow. LOL On 3/30/2011 at 4:02 AM, ORH_wxman said: Well i guess I'd have to enjoy the snow thump for the first 4-5 hours if this verified. Before it gets crippled with rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Seems to me to be what Noyes was saying. Not a strong enough High to keep the low to our South. On 3/30/2011 at 4:04 AM, Dryslot said: Nice swift kick in the nuts by the GFS, Hope its the western outlier, Will be interesting to see where the ensembles go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:02 AM, Arnold214 said: Likewise...I get choded. Actually I'm close. It goes to hell around 63hr here, but cools back down as the TROWAL scoots NE. It would probably be a hell of a hit before any mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Looks VD07 esque actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:06 AM, dendrite said: Actually I'm close. It goes to hell around 63hr here, but cools back down as the TROWAL scoots NE. It would probably be a hell of a hit before any mixing. It would be border line here, Definitly some taint after a pretty good thump on the front end.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 This is shockingly far west with the 7H low etc... Truthfully the best stuff is probably even west of ALB. JB must be rejoicing in UNV. I find the GFS qpf a little weird really ..think the best deformation should be more like central PA to the Dacks...with that track.... On 3/30/2011 at 4:06 AM, dendrite said: Actually I'm close. It goes to hell around 63hr here, but cools back down as the TROWAL scoots NE. It would probably be a hell of a hit before any mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Ukie is trouble for the CP as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Someone would get a round of 3in/hr rates before a changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:05 AM, bboughton said: Seems to me to be what Noyes was saying. Not a strong enough High to keep the low to our South. I don't think this verifys and it will end up further east in time, I would have preferred to skip over the GFS and get to the Euro, Its garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:06 AM, dendrite said: Actually I'm close. It goes to hell around 63hr here, but cools back down as the TROWAL scoots NE. It would probably be a hell of a hit before any mixing. You'd rock for quite some time. Heckuva storm regardless of ptype. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 This run is bullsh*t; remeber that I said it and hold me to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:09 AM, wxwatcher91 said: Someone would get a round of 3in/hr rates before a changeover VT gets clobbered on the 0z GFS. I am off from work this weekend, going to take the trip to chase since I am not going to Chicago as planned (panel of teaching tests was too poorly timed/expensive). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:09 AM, Dryslot said: I don't think this verifys and it will end up further east in time I think we would get our azzes kicked even if the gfs verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:10 AM, Arnold214 said: You'd rock for quite some time. Heckuva storm regardless of ptype. Yea, not often you'll see heavy rain in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:12 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, not often you'll see heavy rain in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 1:35 AM, CoastalWx said: DST sucks. This is going to kill me, I just hope the 00z runs don't smash the low into BDR. You mean like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:11 AM, Arnold214 said: I think we would get our azzes kicked even in the gfs verified. GFS actually has a snow sounding here through 54h and would dump like 0.70" of qpf before a flip. I'd take a Ukie type solution and run if I could right now...even though I probably taint eventually on it, it absolutely blasts here with heavy snow (>1" qpf) before that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:12 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, not often you'll see heavy rain in April. Do you have a bicycle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Probably some convection as well with this system if the GFS verified...a decent burst of instability comes over the region...TT's over 50, KI near 30, SI gets near 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:09 AM, wxwatcher91 said: Someone would get a round of 3in/hr rates before a changeover Berks and W. Ma up through the Monads. Crushing snow with rain on top. Not ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:11 AM, Arnold214 said: I think we would get our azzes kicked even if the gfs verified. Pretty dam close, Its a big front end dump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 00Z GFS soundings appear to keep it snow (albeit barely) here at 54 and 60 hours. Verbatim, this run is a crushing hit for western zones including PSF, AQW, ALB, GFL, etc. Still 48+ hours to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:13 AM, Arnold214 said: Do you have a bicycle? Yea, let me bike it up to where the folks are inbred and so aren't the forecasts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 Andy said today he didn't want more snow ...ready for fishing. Dunno what came over him. LOL On 3/30/2011 at 4:14 AM, wxmanmitch said: 00Z GFS soundings appear to keep it snow (albeit barely) here at 54 and 60 hours. Verbatim, this run is a crushing hit for western zones including PSF, AQW, ALB, GFL, etc. Still 48+ hours to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2011 Share Posted March 30, 2011 On 3/30/2011 at 4:13 AM, weatherwiz said: Probably some convection as well with this system if the GFS verified...a decent burst of instability comes over the region...TT's over 50, KI near 30, SI gets near 0. Hopefully your power would go out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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