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Tulip Trouncer Threat II - End of March/ Early April


Baroclinic Zone

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FINAL...

UNFORTUNATELY...THE 12Z/28 DETERMINISTIC MODELS HAVE NOT COME INTO

ANY AGREEMENT WITH THE HANDLING OF THE SHORTWAVES OVER THE EASTERN

TWO THIRDS OF THE NATION DAYS 3 THROUGH 5. THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE

MANUAL PROGS FOR THE FINAL ISSUANCE DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE

FORECAST WAS TO DEEPEN THE CYCLONE NEAR NOVA SCOTIA DAY 5 AND PULL

IT SLIGHTLY WESTWARD...IN DEFERENCE TO THE ENORMOUS CYCLONE BOTH

THE DETERMINISTIC GFS AND UKMET SHOW IN THE GULF OF MAINE. THE

CONCERN DAYS 6 AND 7 IS HOW QUICKLY THE NEW TROUGH PUSHES ACROSS

THE NORTH CENTRAL STATES. THE UKMET IS CLOSE TO THE SLOWER

PROGRESSION INDICATED BY THE MANUAL PROGS...HONORING THE MASSIVE

BLOCKINESS WHICH NEEDS TO RESOLVE DOWNSTREAM BEFORE ANY BIG WARM

UP OCCURS OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

...By the way, the previoius post was an experiment to see what kind of responses would come out -

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I got it...if you put /ukm at the end of the website page you get the directory.

Uh did not want to reveal that but yea, been doing that ever since they pulled it

Tip, your fantasy NCEP buddy called, new chair, rope on the way, spring frisbee golf half naked with coeds cancel.

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That first wave is just se of the BM, but it seems like another wave is forming over inland NC at hr 102 in response to a significant s/w.

Extrapolation looks like a massive bomb that might end up closer to NS - but we'll see... Frankly, for 120 hours, that would a beautiful run!

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