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Tulip Trouncer Threat II - End of March/ Early April


Baroclinic Zone

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How many times have I heard this spoken before a storm.

Yeah seriously...ensembles and the mean of all other guidance is east...def better for E SNE right now. Euro verbatim is W but last night it was east. No locking in anything yet...people slapping high fives at 72h out will undoubtedly be humbled eventually.

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Yeah seriously...ensembles and the mean of all other guidance is east...def better for E SNE right now. Euro verbatim is W but last night it was east. No locking in anything yet...people slapping high fives at 72h out will undoubtedly be humbled eventually.

But what this run does show is just how tenuous this whole storm is. Below 1000 feet getting a big April snowstorm takes a near perfect 700mb/850mb and sfc low track. There's very little wiggle room.

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Kevin just gave the 72hr jackpot kiss of death..lol. Nobody should be doing naked hi-fives right now.

I think the issue for some initially with the Euro is that it's tucked in toward the coast so the boundary layer is going to be an issue until the thing bombs out and then we get big time dynamic cooling.

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