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Tulip Trouncer Threat II - End of March/ Early April


Baroclinic Zone

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850's touch 0C for us.

It's a rain event down here per that model awt. East is good for me but you guys can have it.

It's the 72 hr gfs. A model that performed horrifically in being too far nw in the last event. When it gets down to 36-48 hours I'll have much more enthusiasm. Every model was too far nw last time at this stage

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Speak for yourself down there along the south coast.  I am at almost 200% of my seasonal snowfall.  No complaints here.

I'm about 115%.

But nearly every storm was tainted down here. We needed 20-30 mile ticks east with many of the storms in late Dec and Jan but instead they went in the opposite direction.

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Here is what I mean. We have tremendous lift, but note how the deeper RH is west. Of course we are still 72 hrs out, but just a couple of things to note. Can't really complain on 4/01

post-33-0-83458600-1301415339.gif

post-33-0-54651000-1301415352.gif

That is a pretty nice H7 track for interior areas... about as good as it gets. And that definitely looks like bands of snow would be further NW than the model indicates. Now if only the surface low would follow a track similar to that.... ski country would be buried into mid-May haha.

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