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Tulip Trouncer Threat II - End of March/ Early April


Baroclinic Zone

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Big hit for SNE, and just a hair east of 06z. Mid level tracks look good, especially interior areas..but even to the coast, where maybe a little CF action. Still some semblance to Boxing Day in terms of mid levels.

On Boxing day was it mid levels temps that screwed C. & W. Ma. with poor snow growth and then dry slotting?

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On Boxing day was it mid levels temps that screwed C. & W. Ma. with poor snow growth and then dry slotting?

You guys would be good I think on this run.

Boxing Day had a large dryslot that got shoved west into your area. There are some similarities, but that does not mean it has to be the same outcome.

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It would be nice if the Nam caught on at 18z today.. the couple big storms we had this year, the Nam was the front runner, boxing day, 1/12, also messengers storm where the Nam had that split between the surface low and the 500 low( I forget when that was)..

Nonetheless huge run of euro today, not the biggest (that will come later lol)

What's good is that were far out but not THAT far out.. we should see a consensus starting at 00z tonight

Could we have 5 KU storms in one year and 8 in the past 2 years?? Also, can we not forget Where big storms have tracked this year? Ack to the cape with a north trend 24 hours out..

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A little more east would be benefit the entire area. You usually like to be along or just west of the 700 low, unless you can get into the mega low level frontogenesis that Boxing Day had.

Yeah, the 700 low tracks right along the S coast of LI and looks like across the canal.

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Now we have 2 runs of the GFS that are very similar with placement and strength of the low. That gives me a little more confidence that something will happen similar to those lines now. I really like the 12Z GFS..:snowman:

I would like it better if it was bombing when it was getting here instead of occluding..

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A little more east would be benefit the entire area. You usually like to be along or just west of the 700 low, unless you can get into the mega low level frontogenesis that Boxing Day had.

A 'little more east' is what SE mass didn't get all year from almost every storm.. wagons west was the seasonal trend it seems.

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