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Tulip Trouncer Threat II - End of March/ Early April


Baroclinic Zone

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The NAM is a shortwave disaster.

Thats the perfect storm of shortwave spacing we don't want. I don't think it will happen like that, but thats how you'd get the unlikely whiff. The way March has gone, you'd almost expect it to find a way to happen.

That piece of energy on the back side is very strong though, its hard to say if the NAM still wouldn't get a storm in here anyway later than the last frame.

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Since we're reminiscing in anticipation of this weekend...

Anyone remember how well April 97 was forecast... how far in advance? Which were the earliest models to depict the scale of the blizzard? Any models show a miss?

I don't have the NCEP suites archived, but I vaguely remember the forecast for Boston metro not being epic until March 31 (I saw the tv forecast clips on the other threads), and even then it was under-forecast.

We actually have an April Fool's thread, but the storm was forecasted to be a doozy, but it wasn't until that day..when we flipped to snow by afternoon, that many outlets were starting to hit it hard. Barry Burbank went for 12-18" for the BOS area and spots had double that.

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Little more amped with the first s/w, and the second trough isn't digging as much. But far from a disaster IMO

It throws its support to the last wave, but it's kind of a mess I think. However, we have gone over the possibilities of models waffling between the middle s/w and the last s/w.

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It throws its support to the last wave, but it's kind of a mess I think. However, we have gone over the possibilities of models waffling between the middle s/w and the last s/w.

Still has discernible s/w ridging between the two disturbances which is good enough for me right now ... and of course it's at the end of the range of the NAM lol

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I don't remember March of 96 warming after that early snow. Yes it moderated but we had a monster cutoff a few days later which spun around and eventually gave most areas cold rain.

No frisbee players that year. BOS had already hit 100 so I was relaxed.

BOS:

DateIdMaximum Temperature

in ºFMinimum Temperature

in ºFPrecipitation

in inchesSnow Fall

in inches1996-03-0119077036.020.0001996-03-0219077035.028.00.313.91996-03-0319077039.023.00.080.51996-03-0419077031.020.00.0050.0051996-03-0519077038.024.00.370.91996-03-0619077034.030.00.231.11996-03-0719077034.025.00.416.51996-03-0819077028.017.00.233.91996-03-0919077025.013.0001996-03-1019077035.015.0001996-03-1119077039.019.0001996-03-1219077041.024.0001996-03-1319077048.031.0001996-03-1419077058.035.0001996-03-1519077051.040.00.101996-03-1619077045.030.00.0050.0051996-03-1719077053.029.0001996-03-1819077054.034.0001996-03-1919077046.033.00.00501996-03-2019077052.039.00.5501996-03-2119077048.038.00.0801996-03-2219077046.035.00.0050.0051996-03-2319077039.031.00.0050.0051996-03-2419077050.030.0001996-03-2519077061.035.00.00501996-03-2619077062.042.00.00501996-03-2719077042.029.0001996-03-2819077043.026.0001996-03-2919077041.034.0001996-03-3019077053.033.0001996-03-3119077060.035.000

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Description:

A low pressure system developed along the mid-Atlantic coast and intensified to 984 mb (29.06 in.) as its center passed right over Nantucket Island, MA at 10 AM on April 10th. The storm brought a record late-season snowfall to much of the state and especially to the higher elevations of northern Rhode Island. North Foster had the maximum total of 21.5 inches, followed by North Smithfield with 16.9 inches and Clayville with 16.0 inches and a water equivalent of 2.05 inches. Providence had 7 inches, Block Island had 7 inches, yet less than 6 inches of snow fell in Newport County. New snowfall records were established for a single April storm and for a 24-hour period during the month of April. At Providence, a new record monthly total for April was established at 12.9 inches. Snow depths on the ground reached new record maxima for April and for so late in the season. Seasonal snowfall totals hit all-time new record highs of well over 100 inches in many locations, especially in northern Rhode Island. Since this was a late-season event, considerably less snow accumulated on pavements, but the heavy, wet snow stuck to trees and power lines, which resulted in scattered power outages. There were numerous reports of lightning accompanying the snow between 8 PM on the 9th and 5 AM on the 10th. Some final seasonal totals included: North Foster, 129.1 inches; Warwick (T.F. Green Airport), 106.1 inches (old record 75.6 inches in 1947-1948); and Woonsocket, 93.7 inches.

Not a surprise. I was in Queens and had a good 4 inches before 10pm, but the snow began melting by midnight. This was the year the Yankees opened up at home against Kansas City and played in steady light snow but they were able to play because the snow wasn't accumulating.

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Not a surprise. I was in Queens and had a good 4 inches before 10pm, but the snow began melting by midnight. This was the year the Yankees opened up at home against Kansas City and played in steady light snow but they were able to play because the snow wasn't accumulating.

Yea I posted a pic of that, check back a few pages.

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I don't remember March of 96 warming after that early snow. Yes it moderated but we had a monster cutoff a few days later which spun around and eventually gave most areas cold rain.

No frisbee players that year. BOS had already hit 100 so I was relaxed.

BOS:

DateIdMaximum Temperature

in ºFMinimum Temperature

in ºFPrecipitation

in inchesSnow Fall

in inches1996-03-0119077036.020.0001996-03-0219077035.028.00.313.91996-03-0319077039.023.00.080.51996-03-0419077031.020.00.0050.0051996-03-0519077038.024.00.370.91996-03-0619077034.030.00.231.11996-03-0719077034.025.00.416.51996-03-0819077028.017.00.233.91996-03-0919077025.013.0001996-03-1019077035.015.0001996-03-1119077039.019.0001996-03-1219077041.024.0001996-03-1319077048.031.0001996-03-1419077058.035.0001996-03-1519077051.040.00.101996-03-1619077045.030.00.0050.0051996-03-1719077053.029.0001996-03-1819077054.034.0001996-03-1919077046.033.00.00501996-03-2019077052.039.00.5501996-03-2119077048.038.00.0801996-03-2219077046.035.00.0050.0051996-03-2319077039.031.00.0050.0051996-03-2419077050.030.0001996-03-2519077061.035.00.00501996-03-2619077062.042.00.00501996-03-2719077042.029.0001996-03-2819077043.026.0001996-03-2919077041.034.0001996-03-3019077053.033.0001996-03-3119077060.035.000

Boston didn't break 100 until the Easter storm Jer.

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I don't remember March of 96 warming after that early snow. Yes it moderated but we had a monster cutoff a few days later which spun around and eventually gave most areas cold rain.

No frisbee players that year. BOS had already hit 100 so I was relaxed.

BOS:

DateIdMaximum Temperature

in ºFMinimum Temperature

in ºFPrecipitation

in inchesSnow Fall

in inches1996-03-0119077036.020.0001996-03-0219077035.028.00.313.91996-03-0319077039.023.00.080.51996-03-0419077031.020.00.0050.0051996-03-0519077038.024.00.370.91996-03-0619077034.030.00.231.11996-03-0719077034.025.00.416.51996-03-0819077028.017.00.233.91996-03-0919077025.013.0001996-03-1019077035.015.0001996-03-1119077039.019.0001996-03-1219077041.024.0001996-03-1319077048.031.0001996-03-1419077058.035.0001996-03-1519077051.040.00.101996-03-1619077045.030.00.0050.0051996-03-1719077053.029.0001996-03-1819077054.034.0001996-03-1919077046.033.00.00501996-03-2019077052.039.00.5501996-03-2119077048.038.00.0801996-03-2219077046.035.00.0050.0051996-03-2319077039.031.00.0050.0051996-03-2419077050.030.0001996-03-2519077061.035.00.00501996-03-2619077062.042.00.00501996-03-2719077042.029.0001996-03-2819077043.026.0001996-03-2919077041.034.0001996-03-3019077053.033.0001996-03-3119077060.035.000

Nah, we brave the cold and snow to play anytime, as long as the winds aren't too strong :)

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Ah Boston had only 1.3 inches in the Easter storm, bummer

Wrong. I know because I was in FL. at my mother's memorial service. We broke 100 at the tale end of the early March storm. We finished with 107.6 and April total was 7.3.

Your numbers are off. 7.3 in April that year.

Yea 1.3 Easter and 6 on the 9 th I corrected my earlier statement before you posted, premature ejeriulation, happens at 64 ya know.

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