phil882 Posted October 14, 2011 Share Posted October 14, 2011 This has been a craptastic season. Too much troughing over Kamchatka, imo. Its been quite a while since the West Pacific has had a super active season. At least they are doing better than last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 we've had several Super Typhoons already this year and only one last year so yeah it's not that craptastic... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aslkahuna Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 We had 8 warned systems and 4 typhoons in September which is well above the average of 5.6/3.3 respectively for the month. Steve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 this basin's not dead yet! TD 26W is meh, but we do have 27W: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 13, 2011 Author Share Posted December 13, 2011 this basin's not dead yet! TD 26W is meh, but we do have 27W: LOL. I was just about to post a complaint that I have to forecast these two garbage systems. I have no idea what JTWC is looking at for their intensity forecast for 27W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted December 15, 2011 Share Posted December 15, 2011 It looks like Washi will pass 80 to 100 miles North of me here in Davao. There have already been some gusty showers to move through this morning. Being South of the center it should not be too bad here outside of some heavy downpours throughout the day. Even though this is a weak system, it doesn't take a lot of rain to cause serious flooding around here with the mountainous terrain. Even everyday tropical downpours cause problems. For example, in June of this year over 30 people were killed and 15,000 families displaced inside the city proper during an overnight thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 Looks like Washi will be moving a little closer to my area than expected earlier. The center should pass within 40 to 50 miles North of Davao City. Local forecasts are calling for 3 to 4 inches of rain between now and 6 am local time. I would expect some flooding to be an issue especially in Northern Mindanao where 6 to 10 inches of rain is expected. Here are a couple of sat. shots. I put a red dot on the visible shot to show my location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 woohoo, another poster from the Philippines!! anyway yeah, i can't remember the last storm that moved in that south... i've heard storms in Zamboanga are very rare, even for this time of the year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 woohoo, another poster from the Philippines!! anyway yeah, i can't remember the last storm that moved in that south... i've heard storms in Zamboanga are very rare, even for this time of the year... Yes, it is very rare for this area to experience a Typhoon. Locals here claim that Davao City is typhoon free and has never experienced a typhoon. Even some of the local tourist websites claim this too. However; in 1970 Typhoon Kate devastated the area in and around Davao City. I guess they forgot about that one. lol That is the only record I have been able to find of a typhoon actually having a direct hit on Davao so it is rare for sure. The problem here in Mindanao is that there are no radar sites that are available. At least I haven't been able to find any. So tracking storms is difficult to say the least. They are about to have a network of doppler radar sites up and running early next year so that will help. With the amount of rain they have here and the problems with flooding you would have expected them to already have such a system in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 They have a radar in Hinatuan City in Surigao but PAGASA are not releasing any images yet... they said they will put up radar info on their website as soon as the upgrading of networks are finished which probably wont happen til next year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 16, 2011 Share Posted December 16, 2011 core looks good on microwave! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 reports out of Mindanao say nearly 200 people have already been killed (number expected to rise)... this was due to numerous flash floods and landslides that happened over night--probably catching many residents off guard.. rainfall reports in the region range from 150 to 200mm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 reports out of Mindanao say nearly 200 people have already been killed (number expected to rise)... this was due to numerous flash floods and landslides that happened over night--probably catching many residents off guard.. rainfall reports in the region range from 150 to 200mm... Although there were warnings about this storm four days in advance, most people didn't pay attention to them. It has been 12 years since the last typhoon made landfall in Mindanao. Here in Davao City it was not a big deal. I picked up a little over 1/2 inch (12mm) of rain and there were a few gusty squalls that moved through during the evening and overnight. The rivers and streams were a bit high early this morning, but they receded pretty fast. Certainly a different story a few miles North of here. Some of the images are sad to say the least. Davao City is completely surrounded by mountains with several peaks over 7000 ft, and Mt. Apo (The highest mountain in the Philippines) at 9692 ft about 20 miles Southwest of here. There are also mountains to the East on the other side of the Davao gulf so it would almost take a direct hit to feel the effects from a tropical system. My apartment is less than 200 yards from the beach and I could hardly tell the difference in the wave activity from any other day. Just a little more choppy than usual. Other than the almost nightly tropical downpours, that is about as exciting as the weather gets around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted December 21, 2011 Share Posted December 21, 2011 Typhoon Washi that swept across Mindanao in the Southern Philippines and caused extensive flooding to the Northern portion of the island. Fortunately here in Davao City it only resulted in a little rain and some gusty winds. However; just a few miles to the North it was far worse. Countless villages were swept into the sea and the metropolitan areas of Cagayan de Oro and Iligan to the Northwest of here were particularly hard hit. The storm has left over 200,000 people homeless and the death toll now exceeds 1000! There are still hundreds missing and the death toll will continue to rise in coming days. Here is a link to a recent Youtube video that shows some of the scenes from these areas in recent days. *WARNING* Some of the images are disturbing and may not be sutible for some. For those who would like to help the victims of the recent Typhoon, there are a several international organizations that everyone is familiar with such as the Red Cross who have set up special donations for the areas affected. As for local groups, I have been in touch with the Iligan Bloggers Society and know for certain that 100% of the funds raised by them will go to aiding the victims. They have been doing a lot all across the Philippines once the scope of the disaster was realized by setting up drop off points throughout the country and delivering essentials to those in need. Here is a link to their page where you can donate as little as $1 via paypal. http://iliganblogger...endong-victims/ If you are in a position to help financially please do so, if not, please keep the people in Mindanao in your prayers this Christmas season as they have a very long road to recovery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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